Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY CHARLEE 2 3 11 11   12 1 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 122 2.50 19% 4.30 1.30 W
SHALL RETURN 5 4 43 32   22 2 (bennett )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 36% 1.80 1.80 P
CSILLA 3 2 33 4   32 33 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 4.90  
READY TO FILM 4 1 21 21   4 4 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70 5.00  
WHISKARITA 1 5 5 5   5 54 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00 8.60  
SCR  RASMALAI               (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00    
SCR  TRUE ATKA               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
 
TAM-2   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD BERRIER 5 1 1nk 1½   15 110 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 4.00 11% 8.00 2.40 W
THAT'S MY BOI TOY 7 3 5¾ 4¾   25 210 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 122 5.00 11.20  
ODDS ON 6 2 4¼ 2½   35 312 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.50 16% 5.20 3.80 S
CAMPTOWN RACES 1 8 61 5   48 414¾ (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 50.50  
GOLOVKIN 3 4 3.2 7   6 515 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 10% 8.70 12.90  
TAPSOLUTE 4 6 71 6   711½ 618½ (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 11.30  
ALMASHRIQ 2 5 2nk 3½   5 718¾ (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 40% 1.50 1.30  
BEASTFROMTHEEAST 8 7 8 8   812½ 819¾ (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 10.00 25.00  
 
TAM-3   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC FANTASY 5 8 54 54 2½ 1½ 1 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 10.40  
I'M NERVOUS NOW 3 3 4 4 4 32 2 (dini mike)CENTENO E 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.70 P
SALIT 6 9 75 7 5 43 3 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 4.50 9.40 S
BABY LUCK 8 4 31 21 1½ 2½ 43 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 124 6.00 14.40  
THREE COINS 9 7 8 8 85 66 5 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 124 3.50 42% 1.40 11.10  
MYLASTREDCENT 1 1 21 3 63 56 6 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 10% 8.90 10.90  
FREEDOM ROSE 2 6 6 6 75 78 7 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00 3.60  
PARISIAN VIBE 7 2 11 11 31 8 810¾ (sacco d)FERRER C 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
CAYMAN QUEEN 4 5 912½ 9 97 913¼ 918¼ (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00 27.30  
 
TAM-4   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN WARRIOR 2 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (barboza vict)BATISTA A 123 2.00 1.50  
10  JACKSON STRONG 9 1 3½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 6.00 13% 6.50 5.40 P
FREELANCE 5 5 4 41   4 3 (manning denni)MARTIN MATTIE 116 10.00 14.00  
AWKWARD PAUSE 8 4 6 63   5 4 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50 10% 9.30 8.70  
SKIPPERINI 4 9 9 7   83 5 (wasiluk peter )CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 4.50  
AGENT COOPER 6 6 7 9   94 6 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 116 12.00 23.40  
THEJIGISUP 1 7 5 52   31 7 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 116 10.00 12.50  
THORN 3 8 8 8   7 87 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 8.00 18% 4.40 18.40  
GUNMAN 7 2 2nk 3½   6 9 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 12.00 32% 2.20 5.80  
SCR  THOUSAND LOVES               (cascallare)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:133 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROBLUE 4 6 74 4 2½ 2nk 1½ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 126 2.00 2.80  
  (by ARROGATE out of BLUE WATCH by TAPIT)
ASPEN 6 3 32 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ (walsh p)FERRER C 126 1.60 55% 0.80 1.10 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
E M'S TREASUREGIRL 1 4 6 7 42 34 3 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 6.00 15% 5.70 5.30 S
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of AUNT JUDY'S FIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ROUWAY 7 7 53 6 52 4 4 (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 15.00 19.00  
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of ROUGH WAY by DUNKIRK)
RED TIARA 2 1 21 5 65 5 58 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 126 6.00 4.10  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of REACH THE STARS (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
KEENE ON JENNY 3 2 43 31 3 614¼ 628½ (cordero anto)ARROYO S 126 12.00 27.20  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
JULIANNA'S RUBY 5 5 11 2nk 76 717¼ 731¾ (cordero antoni)SUAREZ JESUS 126 15.00 31.20  
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
SCR  APACHE RIDE               (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of APACHE QUEEN by INDY WIND)
 
TAM-6   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTFUL SIS 7 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 1 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00 56% 0.80 2.00 W
11  RITABOOK 11 3 4 3   33 2 (rigattieri john)MENA E 125 4.50 14% 5.90 2.20 P
LAVEAU 8 6 7 4   4 32 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 3.50 8% 11.60 4.10 S
ATHENA'S WISDOM 4 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 4 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 12.00 12.10  
OPEN SKY 3 8 6 5   54 5 (burns patric)BATISTA A 125 8.00 8.40  
COWGIRLLOVER 6 9 9 8   710 612 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 20.90  
NEVER WALK ALONE 5 4 2nk 6   68 717¾ (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00 77.20  
10  FINAL NOTE 10 11 10 1011¼   915½ 823¾ (hernandez sandin)FERRER C 118 20.00 76.30  
12  SOPRISE ASTRAY 12 1 8 910¼   1016½ 926½ (cascallares n)LUGO D 125 12.00 26.20  
CELEBRATION DANCE 2 7 5 7   815 1029 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 16.90  
LAVERN 1 12 1221¾ 1217¾   1120½ 1130¾ (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00 42.50  
HAVANA HELEN 9 10 1114¾ 1117¼   1221½ 1233¼ (pimental john )COTTO L 118 30.00 77.10  
 
TAM-7   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:124 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET GLIDE 7 5 5 31 3.2 1½ 1 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 122 2.50 32% 2.20 1.20 W
LORD OF THE NILE 8 4 31 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 21% 3.90 3.10 P
MAGIC WIZARD 3 8 7 7 6 54 3 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 10% 9.30 21.70 S
RAGING WHIRLWIND 1 6 6 5 4¾ 33 4 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 6.00 12.00  
FINLANDIAS NEAT 2 3 42 6 5 64 510¼ (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 11% 8.30 5.90  
KENJI'S EMPIRE 6 7 11 1½ 1nk 4 612 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
SAN ANDRES 5 1 21 41 7 79 717¾ (poole a)FERRER C 122 12.00 11.00  
RECTANGLE 4 2 8 8 8 810 819¾ (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 122 20.00 23.80  
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY               (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROLIC MAN 2 9 7 64   5 1 (pita daniel)FERRER C 122 3.50 9.60  
HEFFNER 8 8 5 33   3 2 (correa maxine)EVANS CECILY 122 12.00 17.90  
BLAME BISHOP 1 5 21 22   1½ 3 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00 2.70  
11  PREFERRED OUTCOME 10 2 9 8   7 4 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 122 12.00 14.70  
CAJUN MANDATE 4 4 11 12   2½ 5 (delgado gust)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00 11.80  
GREAT BLAKE 5 3 3 43   4 6 (ward dennis)ALLEN D 122 4.50 68% 0.50 5.60  
ROAD BIBLE 7 1 4 5   6 7 (house gary)ALLEN M 122 6.00 5.90  
MOONSHINE NOW 6 6 6 7   83 8 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 14.10  
END ALL GET ALL 3 10 1013½ 1011¼   97 9 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
10  RIDGEPOINTE 9 7 8 9   1015 1033 (woodard walte)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
SCR  GOLD WING               (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
 
TAM-9   04/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:212 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACY ANN'S LEGACY 7 2 4 3½   1nk 1½ (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 119 2.00 28% 2.50 1.30 W
10  BLAZE AWAY N HIDE 8 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 19% 4.40 6.00 P
LADY FRIJOLES 3 5 5 41   31 3 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 9% 10.00 3.70 S
ITSAKEYPER 1 7 8 73   6 4 (albertrani t)BATISTA A 119 8.00 16.70  
IDEAL BREEZE 2 4 32 5   4 5 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 41.20  
PROPER MANNERS 4 8 6 6   7 6 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 6.00 12.90  
BAHAMIAN MOON 6 3 1½ 1nk   5 78 (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 4.00 18% 4.40 4.60  
HUNTRESS MOON 5 6 7 85   8 89 (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 12.00 13.90  
12  THE ISABEL ASTRAY 9 9 9 97   9 912¾ (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 30.00 27.40  
SCR  MAMA LONGLEGS               (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS TERESKA               (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
SCR  TRIPLET               (holtzinger ca)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.