Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/6/5/3)-(9/3/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/3)-(9/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/3)-(9/3/1/7)-(8/3/10/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/7)-(9/3/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/7)-(9/3/1/7/6)-(9/3/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/1/7)-(8/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/7)-(8/3/10/9)-(7/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/4)-(8/3/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/10/9)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/9)-(7/2)-(7/11/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7/11/8)-(8/9/3/4/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/11/8)-(7/11/8/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/8)-(7/11/8/12/6)-(7/11/8/12/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/11/8)-(8/9/3/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/11/8)-(8/9/3/4/7)-(6/4/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/9/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/4/7)-(8/9/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/4/7)-(8/9/3/4/7)-(8/9/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/3/4/7)-(6/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/4/7)-(6/4/10)-(9/10/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/10)-(6/4/10/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/10)-(6/4/10/11/8)-(6/4/10/11/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/10)-(9/10/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/4)-(9/10/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/4)-(9/10/8/4/6)-(9/10/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKARITA Apr01 Feb19 Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00    
2  SASSY CHARLEE Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 Dec24 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  TRUE ATKA Apr08 Mar08 Mar01 Feb10 Feb03 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
4  CSILLA Apr05 Mar18 Mar03 Feb19 Jan28 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50    
5  READY TO FILM Apr05 Feb26 Feb08 Jan22 Dec22 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  RASMALAI Feb25 Nov23 Jun30 May06   (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00 ★    
7  SHALL RETURN Feb11 Jan01       (bennett )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-2   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPTOWN RACES Mar18 Mar04 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
2  ALMASHRIQ Mar18 Dec17 Nov26 Oct21 Apr08 (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  GOLOVKIN Mar29 Feb17 Jan27 Jan07 Oct25 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 10% 8.70    
4  TAPSOLUTE Mar04 Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Oct22 (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00    
5  LORD BERRIER Apr02 Mar03 Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
6  ODDS ON Apr02 Mar08 Feb18 Feb01 Jan25 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Mar25 Mar17 Feb22 Feb04 Jan15 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
8  BEASTFROMTHEEAST Oct04 Sep06 Apr10 Mar25 Mar09 (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLASTREDCENT Apr01 Mar01 Feb08     (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 10% 8.90    
2  FREEDOM ROSE Apr02 Feb11 Jan15 Apr13 Mar03 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00    
3  I'M NERVOUS NOW Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Nov27 (dini mike)CENTENO E 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  CAYMAN QUEEN Apr05 Mar05 Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
5  ROMANTIC FANTASY Apr01 Mar04 Jan25     (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
6  SALIT Mar24 Mar08 Feb08 Apr23 Feb10 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 4.50 ★    
7  PARISIAN VIBE Mar22 Jan25 Dec23 Mar18   (sacco d)FERRER C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BABY LUCK Mar10 Aug10 Jul27 Feb19 Jan08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 124 6.00    
9  THREE COINS Oct07 Sep29 Sep10 Aug24 Jul28 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-4   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEJIGISUP Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb10 Jan15 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 116 10.00    
2  HIDDEN WARRIOR Mar15 Dec09 Nov05 Oct14 Sep18 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 123 2.00    
3  THORN Apr02 Mar18 Feb11 Jan11 Nov30 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 8.00 18% 4.40    
4  SKIPPERINI Feb19 Jan29 Jan11 Dec09 Aug07 (wasiluk peter )CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 ★    
5  FREELANCE Mar05 Jan29 Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 (manning denni)MARTIN MATTIE 116 10.00    
6  AGENT COOPER Aug31 Jul20 Jul05 Jun17 Jun01 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 116 12.00    
SCR  THOUSAND LOVES Feb15 Jan15 Dec21 Aug06 Jul17 (cascallare)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
8  GUNMAN Mar26 Mar12 Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 12.00 32% 2.20    
9  AWKWARD PAUSE Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan28 Jan15 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
10  JACKSON STRONG Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Sep28 Aug15 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
TAM-5   04/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APACHE RIDE         (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of APACHE QUEEN by INDY WIND)
2  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Mar10 Feb08       (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of AUNT JUDY'S FIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  RED TIARA Mar18 Jan05 Sep10 Aug04 May07 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 126 6.00 ★    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of REACH THE STARS (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
4  KEENE ON JENNY Mar18 Mar01 Jan27 Nov07 Oct14 (cordero anto)ARROYO S 126 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
5  ARROBLUE Mar03 Jan14 Oct21 Sep10 Aug14 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 126 2.00 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of BLUE WATCH by TAPIT)
6  JULIANNA'S RUBY Mar01 Jan27       (cordero antoni)SUAREZ JESUS 126 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
7  ASPEN Mar12 Dec28       (walsh p)FERRER C 126 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
8  ROUWAY Sep05 Mar11       (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 15.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of ROUGH WAY by DUNKIRK)
 
TAM-6   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVERN         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
2  CELEBRATION DANCE         (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
3  OPEN SKY Mar25 Mar01 Dec23 Jun30 Apr22 (burns patric)BATISTA A 125 8.00    
4  ATHENA'S WISDOM         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 12.00    
5  NEVER WALK ALONE Jul10 Jun25       (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00    
6  COWGIRLLOVER Mar17         (arnett j)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 ★    
7  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Jan21 Dec23 Nov19 Oct08 Aug14 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
8  LAVEAU Mar25 Mar12 Feb12 Dec07 Nov13 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 3.50 8% 11.60    
9  HAVANA HELEN Mar26         (pimental john )COTTO L 118 30.00    
10  FINAL NOTE Mar08         (hernandez sandin)FERRER C 118 20.00    
11  RITABOOK Mar25 Mar12 Feb02 May14 May05 (rigattieri john)MENA E 125 4.50 14% 5.90    
12  SOPRISE ASTRAY Sep05         (cascallares n)LUGO D 125 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING WHIRLWIND Apr08 Mar24 Feb22 Feb12 Dec14 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 6.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 Nov30 Oct08 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
3  FINLANDIAS NEAT Apr05 Mar24       (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
4  MAGIC WIZARD Apr05 Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
5  RECTANGLE Mar04 Feb22 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
6  SAN ANDRES Apr02 Mar01       (poole a)FERRER C 122 12.00    
7  KENJI'S EMPIRE         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  STREET GLIDE Jan29 Jan11 Dec14 Nov30 May14 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
9  LORD OF THE NILE Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Feb12 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
TAM-8   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD WING Jan14 Oct13 Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
2  BLAME BISHOP Mar29 Mar12 Sep15 Sep03 Aug11 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00    
3  FROLIC MAN Mar25 Feb23 Jan27 Dec30 Nov18 (pita daniel)FERRER C 122 3.50    
4  END ALL GET ALL Oct08 Sep24 Aug26 Jul01 May30 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAJUN MANDATE Jan18 Nov18 Oct05 Aug20 Aug05 (delgado gust)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
6  GREAT BLAKE Sep12 Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 Jun09 (ward dennis)ALLEN D 122 4.50 68% 0.50    
7  MOONSHINE NOW Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Sep01 Jun23 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
8  ROAD BIBLE Mar10 Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov06 (house gary)ALLEN M 122 6.00 ★    
9  HEFFNER Sep30 Sep22 Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 (correa maxine)EVANS CECILY 122 12.00    
10  RIDGEPOINTE Mar12 Feb17 Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 (woodard h)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  PREFERRED OUTCOME Mar31 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct19 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 122 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   04/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSAKEYPER Mar26 Jan11 Nov10 Sep18 Aug18 (albertrani t)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
2  IDEAL BREEZE Feb05 Dec23 Dec10 Nov01 Oct05 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS TERESKA Mar29 Mar23 Jan09     (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
4  LADY FRIJOLES Dec30 May06       (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 119 10.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  TRIPLET Apr07 Aug28 Jul01 May12 Mar23 (holtzinger ca)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
6  PROPER MANNERS Feb03 Jan04 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 6.00 ★    
7  HUNTRESS MOON Apr07 Jul29 Jun12 May06 Mar18 (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 12.00    
8  BAHAMIAN MOON Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 Nov13 (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
9  TRACY ANN'S LEGACY Feb18 Feb03 Aug05 Jun12 May08 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
10  BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Sep11 Aug05 Jul24 Jun24 Jun03 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  MAMA LONGLEGS Apr05 Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
12  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Sep05         (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.