The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.80 -4.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3-4 2 0 $13.40 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 3-4-1 3 0 $15.10 0.00
PEN-2   Win (5/7/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.20 -8.00
    Exacta (5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-7 2 0 $20.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-7-6 3 0 $29.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2)-(5/7/9/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 3-4 2 0 $16.60 -16.00
PEN-3   Win (1/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $10.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/6/7/9)-(1/6/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-6 2 0 $52.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/6/7/9)-(1/6/7/9)-(1/6/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-6-2 3 0 $80.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (5/7/9/10)-(1/6/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-4 2 0 $36.60 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/2)-(5/7/9/10)-(1/6/7/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3/6-1/2/3/4-4 3 0 $24.10 -16.00
PEN-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-2 2 0 $26.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2-4 3 0 $19.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/6/7/9)-(3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-6 2 0 $49.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/7/9/10)-(1/6/7/9)-(3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1/2/3/4-4-6 3 0 $40.90 -24.00
PEN-5   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
    Exacta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $38.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-1 3 0 $76.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-7 2 1 $53.20 $53.20 29.20
    Pick Three (1/6/7/9)-(3/4/6)-(3/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-6-7 3 0 $32.50 -24.00
PEN-6   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $14.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-1-4 3 0 $12.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-7 2 1 $19.00 $19.00 -5.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-7-2/3/5/7 3 1 $23.50 $23.50 5.50
PEN-7   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-7 2 1 $13.20 $13.20 -10.80
    Trifecta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-7-1 3 0 $28.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-5 2 1 $20.40 $20.40 -3.60
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7)-(2/5/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-2/3/5/7-5/6 3 1 $22.75 $22.75 -1.25

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:221 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON OUR WAY BOYZ 3 3 22 2½   1½ 1½ (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 3.00 1.40  
FIERCE AND STRONG 4 4 44 32   31 2½ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 1.80  
LITTLE J P 1 1 12 1½   2½ 3(padilla hug)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
LOVE ME ARCHIE 2 5 59 57   446 (kelly blake)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
KNOCKDOWN KID 5 2 3 43   5516¼ (salinas jose)CORA D 122 4.00 6.50  
SCR  CHIEF REIDER               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 73% 0.40    
 
PEN-2   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:234 :471 1:124 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE TO HOLD 1 6 3 3 1 14 1(synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 1.60  
CASTAGNO 4 3 7 7 6 35 2(hayford jen)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 28% 2.60 3.20 P
DRONE SWARM 3 4 5 4 32 24 3(diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 12.00 6.20  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 6 2 4 5 7 46 4(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 11% 8.50 13.00  
10  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 7 7 6 6 55 5511¼ (santaella-caldero)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00 24% 3.20 9.40  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 2 5 2½ 11 2 610 618½ (gallimore trev)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 8.00 9% 9.60 4.70  
DRAMATIZED 5 1 1½ 21 42 710½ 725 (bouchard lesly)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00 7.40  
SCR  JO JO KATZ               (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  POLITICAL               (johnston ro)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
 
PEN-3   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:234 :471 1:121 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUSING MISCHIEF 3 1 1 1 1 14 14 (graham edward)CORA D 120 12.00 4.00  
SAMARONTI 4 3 45 4 36 24 24 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 17% 4.80 6.20 P
DEVOTED KITTEN 2 6 610 612½ 6 534 (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 6.20  
SACHMO 5 4 2 2 2 34 44 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 32% 2.20 2.40  
FED CHAIR 1 2 3 3 4 45 56 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 14% 6.40 2.50  
MEAN MACHINE 6 5 5 5 5 67 613¾ (dimitriou har)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 15% 5.60 5.10  
SCR  BAVARIA               (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
SCR  BENNY HAVENS               (aguirre anthony )PEREZ XAVIER 120 5.00    
SCR  HOLY MOLY MOSES               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE)               (hendriks rich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  SAKETUMI               (dowling wil)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
SCR  WRECKING BALL               (alvarado diane)MENA E 118 4.00    
 
PEN-4   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:22 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBEER 6 1 1 11   12 1¾ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30 W
UNCLE DAR 2 3 2 21   22 2¾ (catalano l)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00 1.60  
MITROPANOS 4 2 4 4   435 (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 35% 1.90 2.20 S
OVER AND THUNDER 1 4 32 3   34(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 7.30  
SANTO 3 6 6 67   558 (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
MACHO HONCHO 5 5 5 57   69 6(salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 22.50  
SCR  GOLDEN TREASURE               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
 
PEN-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:01
:22 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILIMANJARA 6 4 43 31   1nk 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 12% 7.50 3.60 W
NAIL POLISH 2 3 2½ 2½   2nk 2¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 2.90  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 2 1½ 1½   33(beattie m)CHIAPPE R 118 3.50 6.50  
MORGANS COVE 5 6 78 78   57 4(houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 41% 1.50 2.20  
DESI'S REWARD 3 1 3 4   459 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
SONG SAVER 7 5 67 68   6611¼ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.80 3.20  
UNION RALLY 4 7 55 57   711½ 718 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 51.70  
SCR  WE'LL SEE               (beattie m)ROJAS MARTINA 111 8.00    
 
PEN-6   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:36
:22 :443 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFFA'S DAY 4 1 1nk 11   11(jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 17% 5.00 0.70 W
PRIVET MOON 1 4 3.2 21   22(alvarado diane)MENA E 120 8.00 4.00  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 2 4 42   337 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 28% 2.50 3.00 S
UPSTATE AND BACK 5 5 5 57   58 4(agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 12.80  
MARTINKELLY 3 3 2nk 3   4510¼ (beattie m)CORA D 120 5.00 31% 2.20 7.20  
SCR  JOKER BOY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
SCR  KAZ'S BEACH               (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  MY BLUE EYES               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-7   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMMA KATZ 5 3 3½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 16% 5.20 1.50 W
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 6 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 122 1.50 35% 1.80 1.60 P
RENT CONTROL 1 2 1½ 3.2   33 35 (chichakly a)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 4.60  
TRECHMO GIRL 3 6 6 6   746 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 20.00 35.60  
MISS MIA LIA 2 7 78 7   65(miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 7% 13.80 15.40  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 4 4 41 4   47 6(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 22.00  
TELL ME IM AWESOME 7 5 52 5   57 77 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 20% 4.10 6.30  
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA               (zalalas micha)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.