Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/10/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/10/9/5)-(7/6/9/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/9/5)-(7/10/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/9/5)-(7/10/9/5)-(7/10/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/10/9/5)-(7/6/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/10/9/5)-(7/6/9/1)-(6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/9/1)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/1)-(6/4/3)-(6/8/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/3)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/3)-(6/4/7)-(7/8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE J P Jun09 May06 Sep27 Sep01 Jun09 (padilla h)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOVE ME ARCHIE Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 Dec29 Aug24 (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Jun18 May26 Oct20 Sep30 Sep06 (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 3.00    
4  FIERCE AND STRONG May26 May11 Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
5  KNOCKDOWN KID Jun09 May04 Apr19 Apr01 Mar08 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 4.00    
SCR  CHIEF REIDER Jun09 Sep24 Jul29 Jul09   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 73% 0.40    
 
PEN-2   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JO JO KATZ Jun20 May24 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK Jun22 Sep27 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  POLITICAL Jun21 May17 May05 Apr12 Mar24 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
4  MINE TO HOLD Jun20 Jun02 May05 Apr07 Mar03 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
5  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Jun27 Jun16 Jun06 May27 May14 (gallimore tr)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 8.00 9% 9.60    
6  DRONE SWARM Jun16 May24 May06 Apr18 Apr05 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 118 12.00    
7  CASTAGNO Jun15 Jun02 Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 (hayford jenn)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  DRAMATIZED Jun20 May22 May13 Oct22 Aug24 (bouchard lesly)CORREA JULIO 118 10.00    
9  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jun22 May26 Apr28 Dec21 Nov22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
10  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jun20 May30 May17 Apr11 Mar10 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-3   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FED CHAIR Jun09 Apr26 Mar17 Feb15 Jan13 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
2  DEVOTED KITTEN Jun22 Jun14 May12 Mar29 Feb10 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
SCR  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) May31         (hendriks ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
4  AMUSING MISCHIEF Jun14 Apr18 Mar27 Nov18   (graham ed)CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
SCR  HOLY MOLY MOSES Jun16 May23 Mar13     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
6  SAMARONTI Jun22 May26 May04 Mar17 Feb08 (kulp brando)INIRIO J 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  SACHMO Jun21 May29 Nov29 Oct11 Sep20 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  BAVARIA Jun22 Mar29 Mar17 Feb24 Feb15 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
9  MEAN MACHINE Jun09 May04 Mar15 Mar03 Feb10 (dimitriou h)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SAKETUMI Jun09 May06 Oct11 Sep25 Aug04 (dowling w)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
SCR  BENNY HAVENS Jun09 May19 May05 Oct22 Sep25 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 120 5.00    
SCR  WRECKING BALL Mar31 Feb05 Jan22     (alvarado diane)MENA E 118 4.00    
 
PEN-4   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER AND THUNDER Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
2  UNCLE DAR Jun14 May24 Dec06 Nov07   (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 4.00    
3  SANTO Jun15 May18 Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MITROPANOS Jun16 May08 Mar31 Mar13 Feb08 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  MACHO HONCHO Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Dec21 Dec02 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00    
6  MOBEER Jun02 May06 Mar29 Mar02 Feb15 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  GOLDEN TREASURE Jun14 May19 Mar29 Feb28 Jan24 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
 
PEN-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Jun20 May24 Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 118 3.50    
2  NAIL POLISH May24 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
3  DESI'S REWARD Jun20 Jun01 May06 Apr20 Mar29 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WE'LL SEE Jun09 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 111 8.00    
5  UNION RALLY Jun09 Apr26 Mar29 Feb17 Feb01 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
6  MORGANS COVE Jun22 Mar10 Feb23 Jan20 Dec21 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
7  KILIMANJARA Jun19 Jun10 May06 Jun30 Jun18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
8  SONG SAVER Feb01 Dec30 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-6   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVET MOON Nov13 Oct22 Jan08     (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 8.00    
SCR  JOKER BOY May20 Apr08 Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
SCR  MY BLUE EYES Jun25 May18 May04 Mar29 Feb15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
4  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jun15 May18 Apr28 May19 Apr27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  KAZ'S BEACH Apr01 Feb18 Mar27 Mar05   (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
6  MARTINKELLY Jun20 May17 Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 (beattie m)CORA D 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  SAFFA'S DAY Jun17 Jun09 May19 Mar31 Feb19 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
8  UPSTATE AND BACK Jun02 May06 Mar29 Mar06 Jan25 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
 
PEN-7   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENT CONTROL Jun24 Jun18 May13 Jan20 Dec27 (chichakly)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00    
2  MISS MIA LIA Jun22 May19 May05 Apr20 Mar08 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  TRECHMO GIRL May25 May05       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 20.00    
4  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Jun16 May11 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
5  MAMMA KATZ         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA Jun15 May25 May05 Apr26 Mar30 (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00    
7  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Jun16 Apr20 Mar10 Jan27   (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 1.50 35% 1.80    
8  TELL ME IM AWESOME Jun22 May25 May11 Apr27 Mar30 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.