Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
PEN-2   Win (5/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
PEN-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
PEN-5   Win (3/9/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 4.80
PEN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
PEN-7   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCE A GIANT 4 3 44 4 4 1nk 11 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 24% 3.10 4.10 W
EGOT A POKER FACE 3 4 2½ 3½ 3 2nk 21 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 1.30  
SHANGHAI CANDY 1 5 56 5 5 33 3 (rathman elish)INIRIO J 120 6.00 19% 4.20 5.50 S
UNCLE YUDI 5 6 6 610 610½ 6 415¼ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 19% 4.40 16.20  
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 6 2 31 2nk 21 5 516¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 4.20  
OUCH OUCH OUCH 2 1 1½ 1nk 11 46 620¼ (flores-coba fel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 4.60  
 
PEN-2   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:45       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SOURCE 2 2 1 1   1 1 (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 117 4.50 24% 3.10 4.40 W
SURPRISINGLY SWEET 4 7 6 6   2 2 (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 36% 1.80 4.20 P
LOIS'S CAUSE 8 1 56 54   46 3 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 56.90  
COLOR FORCE 3 4 3 2   34 4 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.50 8% 11.20 1.50  
MY LADY'S AUNT MA 7 5 2 32   56 5 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 10% 8.60 3.30  
LAUGH IT OFF 5 8 810¼ 78   7 6 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 110 8.00 14.70  
GLOSSY MADRINA 6 6 7 8   8 7 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 20.20  
SHARP CATCH 1 3 43 44   6 811½ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 117 5.00 10.80  
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:212 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHANAH 2 1 11 1½   11 1 (horlacher k)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 65% 0.50 0.90 W
CHLOE ROSE 3 3 4 32   3 2 (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 115 8.00 2.20  
BEA BEA KAZ 4 6 5 5   4 3 (synnefias dim)INIRIO J 117 10.00 7% 14.00 12.00 S
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 5 5 67 68   6 4 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 12.10  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 1 4 3 2½   21 5 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.40  
TRUE QUEEN 6 2 21 4   5 610 (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 117 10.00 17.40  
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  THE BIGGEST ONE               (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00    
SCR  TRANSLATE               (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   05/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:142 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA ROCKS 1 1 21 2½ 21 1nk 11 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.10 W
TIMELY TRADITION 4 3 11 1½ 11 2nk 21 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 36% 1.80 2.00 P
SALAGADOOLA 3 4 43 4 45 4 3 (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 15% 5.50 2.70 S
FAVORITE DOLL 2 2 3 33 33 35 4 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 10.00 11.40  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 5 510½ 514½ 514½ 511½ 5 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 16.30  
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN               (farro patrici)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
 
PEN-5   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIUSEPPE 1 3 1½ 1   13 1 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 16% 5.40 6.40 W
GOLDEN TREASURE 2 5 6 7   3 2 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 2.20  
IF WE GET LUCKY 9 4 2½ 2   23 35 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.60 S
NECCO 6 7 85 810¼   511 4 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00 10.60  
RIPKEN 3 9 1012 915¼   712 510½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.70  
LUCKILY LEYTON 4 6 4 34   4 613¼ (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00 15.40  
BOB'S OUR UNCLE 5 10 73 6   611½ 715 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 12.00 7% 14.00 28.90  
IOLA'S BLACK 7 8 98 1015¾   1016½ 818¼ (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 66.00  
AFLEET AIRO 8 1 31 4   815 924¼ (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 52.00  
10  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON 10 2 5 5   916½ 1034 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 6% 15.50 8.60  
 
PEN-6   05/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONESQUE 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.20 W
ABHAR 4 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 8.20  
NOTORIOUS REY 5 1 4 46   5 3 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 39.80  
SHADOW CHASER 6 6 65 67   6 4 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 4.90  
BAILEY COFFEE 2 5 54 5   4 5 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 15.90  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 1 4 32 34   3 6 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50 14% 6.10 1.50  
 
PEN-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP TO A DECISION 4 6 6 4   11 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 27% 2.80 5.80 W
WAHINE MEANIE 5 2 3 1½   21 2 (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50 3.50  
RACE N RETURN 6 1 46 53   36 312½ (harigeorgiou )VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 6.00 19.30  
LITTLE MOOJI 2 3 2 3   46 413¾ (fields kevi)VARGAS L 123 4.50 5.90  
MISS MIA LIA 3 5 5 6   5 515½ (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 113 5.00 7% 13.00 3.10  
DISCREETLIN JONES 1 4 1 2½   6 619¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.