The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Penn National
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-3 2 0 $28.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-3-1 3 0 $32.70 $0.00 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
    Exacta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-5 2 1 $53.00 $53.00 29.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-5-9 3 0 $397.50 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-2 2 1 $54.80 $54.80 30.80
PEN-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
    Exacta (3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3-4 2 0 $8.20 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 3-4-6 3 0 $21.30 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/8)-(3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 2-3 2 1 $29.00 $29.00 13.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(2/4/5/8)-(3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-2-2/3/5/7/10 3 1 $31.25 $31.25 19.25
PEN-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 1 $7.40 $7.40 -4.60
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-4 3 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Daily Double (3/6)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1 2 1 $9.80 $9.80 -2.20
    Pick Three (2/4/5/8)-(3/6)-(1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-2/3/5/7/10-1/2 3 1 $10.80 $10.80 -1.20
PEN-5   Win (1/3/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 4.80
    Exacta (1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3/5/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-2 2 0 $45.20 $0.00 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3/5/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-2-9 3 0 $114.50 $0.00 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/3/5/9/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 1-1 2 1 $40.00 $40.00 10.00
    Pick Three (3/6)-(1/4/5)-(1/3/5/9/10) 30 $0.50 $15.00 2/3/5/7/10-1-1 3 1 $11.35 $11.35 -3.65
PEN-6   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
    Exacta (1/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3-4 2 0 $23.20 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (1/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 3-4-5 3 0 $116.40 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 1-3 2 1 $31.80 $31.80 11.80
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 1/2-1-3 3 1 $13.65 $13.65 -1.35
PEN-7   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $67.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5-6 3 0 $287.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 1 $27.60 $27.60 15.60
    Pick Three (1/3/5/9/10)-(1/3)-(1/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 1-3-4 3 1 $61.85 $61.85 46.85
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:241 :48 1:13 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONCE A GIANT 4 3 44 44½ 44½ 1nk 11 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 24% 3.10 4.10 W
3  EGOT A POKER FACE 3 4 2½ 3½ 32½ 2nk 21 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 1.30  
1  SHANGHAI CANDY 1 5 56 57½ 56½ 33 35½ (rathman elish)INIRIO J 120 6.00 19% 4.20 5.50 S
5  UNCLE YUDI 5 6 67½ 610 610½ 69½ 415¼ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 19% 4.40 16.20  
6  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 6 2 31 2nk 21 56½ 516¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 4.20  
2  OUCH OUCH OUCH 2 1 1½ 1nk 11 46 620¼ (flores-coba fel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 4.60  
 
PEN-2   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:45       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOOD SOURCE 2 2 11½ 11½   13½ 11¼ (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 117 4.50 24% 3.10 4.40 W
5  SURPRISINGLY SWEET 4 7 66¼ 64½   23½ 21¼ (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 36% 1.80 4.20 P
9  LOIS'S CAUSE 8 1 56 54   46 34½ (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 56.90  
4  COLOR FORCE 3 4 31½ 21½   34 45¼ (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.50 8% 11.20 1.50  
8  MY LADY'S AUNT MA 7 5 21½ 32   56 55¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 10% 8.60 3.30  
6  LAUGH IT OFF 5 8 810¼ 78   77½ 65¾ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 110 8.00 14.70  
7  GLOSSY MADRINA 6 6 78¼ 88¼   88½ 76¾ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 20.20  
1  SHARP CATCH 1 3 43 44   66½ 811½ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 117 5.00 10.80  
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:212 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHOSHANAH 2 1 11 1½   11 12¼ (horlacher k)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 65% 0.50 0.90 W
4  CHLOE ROSE 3 3 42½ 32   31½ 22¼ (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 115 8.00 2.20  
6  BEA BEA KAZ 4 6 54½ 54½   44½ 34¼ (synnefias dim)INIRIO J 117 10.00 7% 14.00 12.00 S
8  PROSPECTIVE CANDY 5 5 67 68   69½ 46½ (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 12.10  
1  LUCKY DAY DIVA 1 4 31½ 2½   21 56¾ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★ 4.40  
9  TRUE QUEEN 6 2 21 42½   59½ 610 (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 117 10.00 17.40  
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  THE BIGGEST ONE               (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00    
SCR  TRANSLATE               (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   05/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:244 :491 1:142 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA ROCKS 1 1 21 2½ 21 1nk 11 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.10 W
5  TIMELY TRADITION 4 3 11 1½ 11 2nk 21 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 36% 1.80 2.00 P
4  SALAGADOOLA 3 4 43 43½ 45 45½ 34¼ (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 15% 5.50 2.70 S
3  FAVORITE DOLL 2 2 32½ 33 33 35 47¼ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 10.00 11.40  
6  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 5 510½ 514½ 514½ 511½ 59¼ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 16.30  
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN               (farro patrici)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
 
PEN-5   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:222 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIUSEPPE 1 3 1½ 11½   13 11¾ (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 16% 5.40 6.40 W
2  GOLDEN TREASURE 2 5 62½ 75¾   36½ 21¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 2.20  
9  IF WE GET LUCKY 9 4 2½ 21½   23 35 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.60 S
6  NECCO 6 7 85 810¼   511 49½ (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00 10.60  
3  RIPKEN 3 9 1012 915¼   712 510½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.70  
4  LUCKILY LEYTON 4 6 41½ 34   49½ 613¼ (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00 15.40  
5  BOB'S OUR UNCLE 5 10 73 65¾   611½ 715 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 12.00 7% 14.00 28.90  
7  IOLA'S BLACK 7 8 98 1015¾   1016½ 818¼ (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 66.00  
8  AFLEET AIRO 8 1 31 45½   815 924¼ (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 52.00  
10  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON 10 2 51½ 55½   916½ 1034 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 6% 15.50 8.60  
 
PEN-6   05/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:223 :463 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIONESQUE 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.20 W
4  ABHAR 4 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 8.20  
5  NOTORIOUS REY 5 1 43½ 46   54¾ 31½ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 39.80  
6  SHADOW CHASER 6 6 65 67   65¼ 42¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 4.90  
2  BAILEY COFFEE 2 5 54 56½   44¾ 53¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★ 15.90  
1  COMMUNICATION FAIL 1 4 32 34   34½ 64¼ (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50 14% 6.10 1.50  
 
PEN-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:43
:223 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOP TO A DECISION 4 6 66¼ 41½   11 14½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 27% 2.80 5.80 W
5  WAHINE MEANIE 5 2 31½ 1½   21 24½ (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50 3.50  
6  RACE N RETURN 6 1 46 53   36 312½ (harigeorgiou )VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 6.00 19.30  
2  LITTLE MOOJI 2 3 21½ 31½   46 413¾ (fields kevi)VARGAS L 123 4.50 5.90  
3  MISS MIA LIA 3 5 56¼ 63½   57½ 515½ (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 113 5.00 7% 13.00 3.10  
1  DISCREETLIN JONES 1 4 11½ 2½   67¾ 619¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.