Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6-4 $7.30 $1.30 22%
PEN-2   EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $20.60 $8.60 72%
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5-3 $37.60 $31.60 527%
PEN-4   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $50.80 $26.80 112%
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-7-3 $103.90 $79.90 333%
    SFT (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-7-3-4 $35.12 $32.72 1363%
PEN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-5 $28.20 $10.20 57%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAPPIN JOSIE 4 3 33 23   22 12¼ (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 1.40 37% 1.70 0.50 W
6  ORGANIZED CHAOS 5 1 13 13   12 22¼ (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 3.00 29% 2.40 2.20 P
4  CHARM ALARM 3 2 23 34   34 34¼ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 13% 6.70 9.40 S
1  I CAME TO DANCE 1 5 44 49   411 49¼ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 117 12.00 20.60  
2  PHANCY PHILLY 2 4 54½ 59   511 59¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 4.50 6.90  
SCR  SCHNUER WILL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK 5 5 4¾ 31 11 14 16½ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 0.50 W
5  JUMP FOR THE WIN 4 3 2½ 2½ 21 24 26½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 21% 3.80 16.50 P
3  SUNSHINE JACK 2 1 3½ 42½ 43 46½ 37¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 16% 5.20 4.70 S
2  TUCKERTON BAY 1 6 66¾ 54½ 53½ 36 47¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 28.90  
7  KIDYOUNOT 6 4 1½ 1½ 32½ 56½ 59¾ (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 12.80  
4  SCANDALISSIMO 3 2 54¾ 66 67 611½ 613½ (doming)GONZALEZ JR 117 3.50 3.60  
SCR  JUST GOT STARTED               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
 
PEN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :473 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUT OF AMMO 5 4 2nk 12   1½ 1¼ (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.00 ★ 3.80  
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
1  STASSI 1 5 55 22   2½ 2¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 8.00 11.50  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
4  WISE CHOICE 4 2 31 43   47 39¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 3.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SKY WISE by SMARTY JONES)
6  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 6 6 610 68   510 410¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 9.20  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SPEEDBOAT SALLY by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL 2 3 42 32   35½ 513 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 65% 0.50 1.10  
  (by MINESHAFT out of FIX YOU by FLYING CHEVRON)
3  CALERA LOVE 3 1 1nk 56½   614 636¾ (pickett crysta)HIRALDO JOHN 123 4.00 ★ 6.70  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
 
PEN-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:144 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DYNAMITE KARMA 5 4 3½ 21 1½ 1nk 1hd (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 14% 6.30 3.80 W
7  CHRIS AND DAVE 6 1 1nk 11 2½ 2nk 2hd (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.40 P
3  A T M AWESOME 2 2 2nk 43½ 37½ 49¼ 310½ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
4  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 3 7 74¼ 65 47½ 39 410¾ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.00  
5  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 4 3 4¾ 33 57¾ 514¼ 527¾ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 2.50  
1  TRUE DAKOTAN 1 6 52¾ 53½ 615¾ 638¾ 671¾ (castillo sanc)OCASIO M 122 8.00 8.30 DQ↓7
8  HOLD THE IRISH 7 5 62¾ 76 7100 7100 7100 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 30.80  
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OUR RONNY ALAN 8 4 22 21½   1½ 14 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 ★ 1.50  
3  WARRIOR'S CAUSE 3 3 12 11½   2½ 24 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 2.00  
5  GURT'S WARRIOR 5 5 33 35½   36½ 36¼ (beattie tod)INIRIO J 121 4.00 34% 2.00 5.10 S
6  FIERCE AND STRONG 6 2 43½ 45½   47 46¾ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 19% 4.30 7.00  
1  ALLIWORSHIPNADORE 1 8 812 812¾   711 511 (allard edward )CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 34.90  
7  HE AROSE 7 9 912½ 914¼   912¼ 611½ (shea lydee)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 19% 4.30 46.90  
2  FLETCHER STATION 2 7 711½ 612½   611 711¾ (houghton )VARGAS L 121 10.00 6% 17.00 15.60  
9  RAY OF LIGHT 9 6 611 712¾   811¼ 812½ (bracho she)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00 12.50  
4  BARN SWALLOW 4 1 54 57   510 916¾ (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 12.00 51.30  
 
PEN-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:253 :51 1:172 1:311   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 5 53½ 53¼ 42 22½ 1¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.10 W
1  SWITCHRATTLENROLL 1 1 3½ 31 1nk 12½ 2¼ (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 3.60  
6  RIDGELYSREDHOT 5 2 41½ 43 52¼ 34 37½ (johnson carlo)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
4  MISS MORENO 3 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 45 412 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00 3.40  
3  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 2 3 2nk 2nk 31 57½ 514 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50  
SCR  WICKED T               (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00    
 
PEN-7   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 5 2 2½ 12½   110 113 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 14% 6.00 3.30 W
3  TELL ME IM AWESOME 3 5 41½ 32½   210 213 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 1.40  
2  FAIRVIEW 2 6 63½ 57   513½ 316 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 40% 1.50 4.20 S
1  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 1 4 31½ 45   413½ 416½ (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 3.20  
6  BABY BLUE 6 3 52 69½   617½ 520¼ (rodriguez f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 12.00 12% 7.70 16.00  
4  TRAJEC HOLIDAY 4 1 1½ 22½   313 621½ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00 11.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.