Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
PEN-2   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
PEN-3   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 0 $9.60  
PEN-4   Win (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
PEN-5   Win (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $5.00  
PEN-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPPIN JOSIE 4 3 33 23   22 1 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 1.40 37% 1.70 0.50 W
ORGANIZED CHAOS 5 1 13 13   12 2 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 3.00 29% 2.40 2.20 P
CHARM ALARM 3 2 23 34   34 3 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 13% 6.70 9.40 S
I CAME TO DANCE 1 5 44 49   411 4 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 117 12.00 20.60  
PHANCY PHILLY 2 4 5 59   511 5 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 4.50 6.90  
SCR  SCHNUER WILL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 5 5 4¾ 31 11 14 1 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 0.50 W
JUMP FOR THE WIN 4 3 2½ 2½ 21 24 2 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 21% 3.80 16.50 P
SUNSHINE JACK 2 1 3½ 4 43 4 3 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 16% 5.20 4.70 S
TUCKERTON BAY 1 6 6 5 5 36 4 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 28.90  
KIDYOUNOT 6 4 1½ 1½ 3 5 5 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 12.80  
SCANDALISSIMO 3 2 5 66 67 611½ 613½ (domingue)GONZALEZ JR 117 3.50 3.60  
SCR  JUST GOT STARTED               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
 
PEN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :473 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF AMMO 5 4 2nk 12   1½ 1¼ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.00 3.80  
STASSI 1 5 55 22   2½ 2¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 8.00 11.50  
WISE CHOICE 4 2 31 43   47 3 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 3.30  
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 6 6 610 68   510 410¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 9.20  
INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL 2 3 42 32   3 513 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 65% 0.50 1.10  
CALERA LOVE 3 1 1nk 5   614 636¾ (pickett crystal )HIRALDO JOHN 123 4.00 6.70  
 
PEN-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:144 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE KARMA 5 4 3½ 21 1½ 1nk 1hd (fields kevi)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 14% 6.30 3.80 W
CHRIS AND DAVE 6 1 1nk 11 2½ 2nk 2hd (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.40 P
A T M AWESOME 2 2 2nk 4 3 4 310½ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 3 7 7 65 4 39 410¾ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.00  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 4 3 4¾ 33 5 514¼ 527¾ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 2.50  
TRUE DAKOTAN 1 6 5 5 615¾ 638¾ 671¾ (castillo sanche)OCASIO M 122 8.00 8.30 DQ↓7
HOLD THE IRISH 7 5 6 76 7100 7100 7100 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 30.80  
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR RONNY ALAN 8 4 22 2   1½ 14 (allard t)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 1.50  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 3 3 12 1   2½ 24 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 2.00  
GURT'S WARRIOR 5 5 33 3   3 3 (beattie todd )INIRIO J 121 4.00 34% 2.00 5.10 S
FIERCE AND STRONG 6 2 4 4   47 4 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 19% 4.30 7.00  
ALLIWORSHIPNADORE 1 8 812 812¾   711 511 (allard t)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 34.90  
HE AROSE 7 9 912½ 914¼   912¼ 611½ (shea lydee)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 19% 4.30 46.90  
FLETCHER STATION 2 7 711½ 612½   611 711¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 121 10.00 6% 17.00 15.60  
RAY OF LIGHT 9 6 611 712¾   811¼ 812½ (bracho shere)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00 12.50  
BARN SWALLOW 4 1 54 57   510 916¾ (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 12.00 51.30  
 
PEN-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:253 :51 1:172 1:311   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 5 5 5 42 2 1¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.10 W
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 1 1 3½ 31 1nk 1 2¼ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 3.60  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 5 2 4 43 5 34 3 (johnson carlos )TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
MISS MORENO 3 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 45 412 (moreno-barban)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00 3.40  
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 2 3 2nk 2nk 31 5 514 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50  
SCR  WICKED T               (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00    
 
PEN-7   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 5 2 2½ 1   110 113 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 14% 6.00 3.30 W
TELL ME IM AWESOME 3 5 4 3   210 213 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 1.40  
FAIRVIEW 2 6 6 57   513½ 316 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 40% 1.50 4.20 S
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 1 4 3 45   413½ 416½ (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 3.20  
BABY BLUE 6 3 52 6   617½ 520¼ (rodriguez fra)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 12.00 12% 7.70 16.00  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 4 1 1½ 2   313 621½ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00 11.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.