Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/5/3)-(2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(7/4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2)-(3/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2/8)-(5/6/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(3/5/6)-(2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I CAME TO DANCE Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 117 12.00    
2  PHANCY PHILLY Apr20 Mar16 Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
SCR  SCHNUER WILL Apr20 Jan02 Nov30 Nov01 Oct10 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
4  CHARM ALARM         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  TAPPIN JOSIE Mar18 Mar06 Feb11 Jan20 Dec30 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 1.40 37% 1.70    
6  ORGANIZED CHAOS Apr20 Mar29 Jan20 Dec14 Oct24 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-2   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST GOT STARTED Apr19 Mar17 Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
2  TUCKERTON BAY Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  SUNSHINE JACK Apr28 Mar17 Mar08 Feb08 Dec06 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
4  SCANDALISSIMO Apr17 Feb20 Jan23 Nov13 Jul23 (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 117 3.50    
5  JUMP FOR THE WIN Apr28 Mar23 Feb23 Feb15 Dec19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK Apr06 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  KIDYOUNOT Mar22 Feb12 Jan12 Dec17 Nov03 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STASSI         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
2  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL Apr20         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FIX YOU by FLYING CHEVRON)
3  CALERA LOVE Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 ★    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
4  WISE CHOICE         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SKY WISE by SMARTY JONES)
5  OUT OF AMMO Apr20 Mar10 Feb23     (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.00 ★    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
6  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SPEEDBOAT SALLY by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
PEN-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE DAKOTAN Apr25 Mar29 Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 (castillo sanc)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN Apr20 Mar15 Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
3  A T M AWESOME Apr27 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 Feb10 Jan11 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Apr06 Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
6  DYNAMITE KARMA Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 Oct24 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  CHRIS AND DAVE Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 Feb08 Jan27 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
8  HOLD THE IRISH Apr27 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 Dec20 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIWORSHIPNADORE Nov20 Nov04       (allard edward )CONNER TYLER 121 12.00    
2  FLETCHER STATION         (houghton )VARGAS L 121 10.00 6% 17.00    
3  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Nov09         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
4  BARN SWALLOW Apr28 Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 Feb02 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 12.00    
5  GURT'S WARRIOR         (beattie tod)INIRIO J 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  FIERCE AND STRONG Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 Jan02 Oct18 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  HE AROSE         (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00 19% 4.30    
8  OUR RONNY ALAN Apr17         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 ★    
9  RAY OF LIGHT Dec06 Oct14 Sep21 Aug31   (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Mar08 Jan11 Nov22 Oct28 Sep08 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80    
SCR  WICKED T May04 Apr19 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00    
3  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  MISS MORENO Apr19 Apr07 Mar12 Feb04 Sep21 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00    
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL Apr28 Apr19 Mar17 Mar08 Feb22 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  RIDGELYSREDHOT Apr19 Dec07 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 (johnson carlos )RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORDHEARMYPRAYER May03 Apr13 Apr05 Mar08 Feb10 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00    
2  FAIRVIEW Apr26 Mar10 Feb09 Nov15 Oct20 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  TELL ME IM AWESOME Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Feb08 Jan04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00    
4  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Dec14 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
5  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Apr20 Mar30 Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  BABY BLUE Mar29 Feb01 Jan13 Oct01 Sep11 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 12% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.