Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $23.60 $17.60 293%
    DD (10/9/3)-(2/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-6 $60.40 $42.40 236%
PEN-5   DD (2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-10 $74.40 $50.40 210%
    PK3 (10/9/3)-(2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3/4/12-6-10 $38.25 $20.25 113%
PEN-6   EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $13.00 $1.00 8%
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1-4 $16.00 $10.00 167%
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5)-(1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-10-6 $37.30 $19.30 107%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:141 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAND WISER 3 3 31 31½ 31½ 1nk 1¼ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 18% 4.40 1.30 W
2  ECONOMIC POWER 2 4 1½ 11 11½ 2nk 2¼ (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 P
7  LAKE NAKURU 6 6 68½ 69½ 611 58¼ 311¾ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 12.60  
5  BLOOD MOON 4 2 2½ 21 21½ 36 412 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 5.40  
6  DEVOTED KITTEN 5 5 52½ 53 43½ 48 514½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 10.00 18% 4.50 18.50  
1  EDICT (ARG) 1 1 41 41½ 55½ 69¼ 618¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 19.00  
SCR  APACHE               (simone michael)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 6 6 68 53¼   1nk 11¼ (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 11.90  
5  HAPPY RIDE 4 1 3½ 21½   3.2 21¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★ 0.60 P
3  CANDY ARCADE 2 3 2nk 11½   2nk 32 (nixon justin)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 61% 0.60 2.40 S
4  COSMOLOGICAL 3 5 52 31½   44¼ 410 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 12.30  
6  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT 5 2 41 43   57¼ 511¼ (rubley kelly)CONNER TYLER 119 12.00 17.90  
2  GATITA SUAVE 1 4 1nk 65¼   611¼ 622 (sanchez-salomon)BEATO INOEL 114 4.00 13% 6.50 9.40  
SCR  SWEET MESA               (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:10 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WINGS OF A SONG 3 2 1½ 11 11½ 14 11½ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 5% 19.00 0.80 W
9  VANILLA BEAN 8 8 89¾ 79½ 69 38 21½ (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 5.00 9% 10.10 4.80 P
11  END OF THE RAINBOW 10 10 912¾ 914½ 79½ 68¾ 35¾ (pattersha)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00 60.00  
2  WEST ABBOTT 2 1 31 31½ 21½ 24 46 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 ★ 6.70  
1  METANOIA 1 7 66 67 58½ 78¾ 59¾ (krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00 44.50  
10  WARRIOR'S MISS 9 5 43 45½ 47 58½ 610 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 67% 0.50 5.70  
6  TICK ALERT 5 4 56 57 810 89¾ 713¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 121 10.00 37.40  
7  PRIZE DEBATE 6 3 2½ 21 33 48½ 815¼ (rubley kelly)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 10.60  
5  MS KAYS COWGIRL 4 9 1015¼ 1018½ 918 916¼ 922¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 24.90  
8  PEACEMON 7 6 76¼ 811½ 1021 1027¼ 1042 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00 59.20  
SCR  JAYLEE               (brion ker)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
SCR  LET'S GO MO               (miller a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MI CLEOPATRA AND I 6 3 11½ 11   3.2 1nk (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 17% 5.00 10.80 W
5  BOWL OF CHERRIES 5 7 53¾ 31   2nk 2nk (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 1.00  
7  MISS CONVEYOR 7 1 21½ 21   1nk 3¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12% 7.60 4.40 S
2  CABRA CHICA 2 6 66¼ 43½   43¾ 42¼ (castillo sanc)PEREZ M 120 4.50 36% 1.80 8.20  
4  POSITIVE FORCE 4 4 41¾ 55½   58¾ 513¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 3.50 ★ 3.50  
3  KAREN'S WAY 3 2 31½ 66   610¼ 616¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 12.40  
1  WILL OR WON'T 1 5 77¼ 710   719¼ 732¼ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 19.80  
 
PEN-5   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NICE WEATHER 10 5 3½ 1½   14 11½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
7  EVEN THUNDER 7 4 66 56   24 21½ (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 4.00 8.20  
4  BEYOND THE BEND 4 8 76½ 66   34½ 32¾ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 16% 5.20 2.90 S
1  DROSSELMOON 1 7 55½ 77½   69½ 47½ (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 9.00  
3  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 3 9 1010½ 1011½   711½ 58¼ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 30.00 73.80  
6  C C'S WARRIOR 6 3 42½ 43½   45 68¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 11% 8.20 4.80  
5  SPEEDY MOONLITE 5 1 2½ 2½   56½ 713 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 7% 14.00 18.90  
9  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN 9 6 88½ 810½   914½ 816 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 114 30.00 ★ 33.70  
2  STREET TAIL 2 2 1½ 31½   812½ 920¼ (guerrero )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 18.20  
8  WHO YOU SAY I AM 8 10 99 911   1015 1020¾ (smith r)CORA D 124 50.00 91.50  
 
PEN-6   05/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLIND SIGHT 5 4 3½ 3.2 13 13 12 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 15% 5.80 1.80 W
1  DUNDER BOSS 1 5 55½ 45¼ 44 23 22 (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 117 2.00 58% 0.70 1.40 P
4  HIGHWAY QUEEN 3 3 44½ 56¼ 55½ 35½ 36 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
5  SAKARI 4 2 2nk 2nk 23 47½ 410 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 5.80  
3  SILENT SCARLET 2 1 1nk 1nk 33 518½ 536¾ (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.50 4.00  
SCR  TROPICALDEPRESSION               (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 5.00    
 
PEN-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STARSHIP REINA 5 3 32 2½   11½ 1¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 ★ 2.70  
3  ONE TOUGH ROSE 3 5 44 42½   21½ 2¼ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40 P
1  HILL VALLEY 1 6 78½ 57½   56½ 35¼ (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 38% 1.60 3.00 S
4  LUSCIOUS LOLA 4 1 21½ 32½   44 45¾ (albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00 7.40  
6  SUSIKIN 6 2 11½ 1½   34 59¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 8.60  
7  HAD THE NOTION 7 7 67 67¾   69½ 612¼ (harting chris )HIRALDO JOHN 117 5.00 6.30  
2  HIT A HOMER HONEY 2 4 57 79¼   712½ 714¾ (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00 ★ 21.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.