The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 1 $7.00 $7.00 -5.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-2-7 3 0 $11.50 $0.00 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $25.80 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7-5 2 0 $44.80 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 7-5-3 3 0 $35.50 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (2/4/6)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-7 2 0 $53.00 $0.00 -12.00
PEN-3   Win (3/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (3/9/10)-(2/3/9/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-9 2 1 $12.20 $12.20 -5.80
    Trifecta (3/9/10)-(2/3/9/10)-(2/3/9/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 3-9-11 3 0 $122.20 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (2/3)-(3/9/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3 2 0 $56.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(2/3)-(3/9/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 4-7-3/4/12 3 0 $31.50 $0.00 -9.00
PEN-4   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $23.60 $23.60 17.60
    Exacta (2/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 0 $66.20 $0.00 -18.00
    Trifecta (2/6/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 6-5-7 3 0 $76.10 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (3/9/10)-(2/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-6 2 1 $60.40 $60.40 42.40
    Pick Three (2/3)-(3/9/10)-(2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-3/4/12-6 3 0 $141.00 $0.00 -9.00
PEN-5   Win (4/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (4/5/6/10)-(4/5/6/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 10-7 2 0 $41.60 $0.00 -32.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6/10)-(4/5/6/9/10)-(4/5/6/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 10-7-4 3 0 $59.40 $0.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (2/6/7)-(4/5/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-10 2 1 $74.40 $74.40 50.40
    Pick Three (3/9/10)-(2/6/7)-(4/5/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3/4/12-6-10 3 1 $38.25 $38.25 20.25
PEN-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $13.00 $13.00 1.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1-4 3 1 $16.00 $16.00 10.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6/10)-(1/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 10-6 2 1 $13.60 $13.60 -10.40
    Pick Three (2/6/7)-(4/5/6/10)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-10-6 3 1 $37.30 $37.30 19.30
PEN-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.40 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (1/3)-(1/2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $20.80 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3-1 3 0 $22.70 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 0 $17.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6/10)-(1/4/6)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 10-6-5 3 0 $11.65 $0.00 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:252 :492 1:141 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND WISER 3 3 31 3 3 1nk 1¼ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 18% 4.40 1.30 W
ECONOMIC POWER 2 4 1½ 11 1 2nk 2¼ (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 P
LAKE NAKURU 6 6 6 6 611 5311¾ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 12.60  
BLOOD MOON 4 2 2½ 21 2 36 412 (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 5.40  
DEVOTED KITTEN 5 5 5 53 4 48 514½ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 10.00 18% 4.50 18.50  
EDICT 1 1 41 4 5 6618¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 19.00  
 
PEN-2   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:223 :464 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 6 6 68 5   1nk 1(meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 11.90  
HAPPY RIDE 4 1 3½ 2   3.2 2(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 0.60 P
CANDY ARCADE 2 3 2nk 1   2nk 32 (nixon justin)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 61% 0.60 2.40 S
COSMOLOGICAL 3 5 52 3   4410 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 12.30  
FIVEALARM FREAKOUT 5 2 41 43   5511¼ (rubley kelly)CONNER TYLER 119 12.00 17.90  
GATITA SUAVE 1 4 1nk 6   611¼ 622 (sanchez-salomon r)BEATO INOEL 114 4.00 13% 6.50 9.40  
 
PEN-3   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:223 :46 1:10 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGS OF A SONG 3 2 1½ 11 1 14 1(schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 5% 19.00 0.80 W
VANILLA BEAN 8 8 8 7 69 38 2(hendriks mcl)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 5.00 9% 10.10 4.80 P
11  END OF THE RAINBOW 10 10 912¾ 914½ 7 63(pattershall)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00 60.00  
WEST ABBOTT 2 1 31 3 2 24 46 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 6.70  
METANOIA 1 7 66 67 5 75(krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00 44.50  
10  WARRIOR'S MISS 9 5 43 4 47 5610 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 67% 0.50 5.70  
TICK ALERT 5 4 56 57 810 8713¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 121 10.00 37.40  
PRIZE DEBATE 6 3 2½ 21 33 4815¼ (rubley kelly)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 10.60  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 4 9 1015¼ 1018½ 918 916¼ 922¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 24.90  
PEACEMON 7 6 7 811½ 1021 1027¼ 1042 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00 59.20  
SCR  LET'S GO MO               (miller a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI CLEOPATRA AND I 6 3 1 11   3.2 1nk (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 17% 5.00 10.80 W
BOWL OF CHERRIES 5 7 5 31   2nk 2nk (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 1.00  
MISS CONVEYOR 7 1 2 21   1nk 3¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12% 7.60 4.40 S
CABRA CHICA 2 6 6 4   44(castillo sanche)PEREZ M 120 4.50 36% 1.80 8.20  
POSITIVE FORCE 4 4 4 5   5513¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 3.50 3.50  
KAREN'S WAY 3 2 3 66   610¼ 616¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 12.40  
WILL OR WON'T 1 5 7 710   719¼ 732¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 19.80  
 
PEN-5   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:221 :452 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NICE WEATHER 10 5 3½ 1½   14 1(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
EVEN THUNDER 7 4 66 56   24 2(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 124 4.00 8.20  
BEYOND THE BEND 4 8 7 66   33(graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 16% 5.20 2.90 S
DROSSELMOON 1 7 5 7   64(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 9.00  
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 3 9 1010½ 1011½   711½ 5(shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 30.00 73.80  
C C'S WARRIOR 6 3 4 4   45 6(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 11% 8.20 4.80  
SPEEDY MOONLITE 5 1 2½ 2½   5713 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 7% 14.00 18.90  
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN 9 6 8 810½   914½ 816 (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 114 30.00 33.70  
STREET TAIL 2 2 1½ 3   812½ 920¼ (guerrero j )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 18.20  
WHO YOU SAY I AM 8 10 99 911   1015 1020¾ (smith r)CORA D 124 50.00 91.50  
 
PEN-6   05/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:24 :49 1:144 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLIND SIGHT 5 4 3½ 3.2 13 13 12 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 15% 5.80 1.80 W
DUNDER BOSS 1 5 5 4 44 23 22 (sillaman richard)CONNER TYLER 117 2.00 58% 0.70 1.40 P
HIGHWAY QUEEN 3 3 4 5 5 336 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
SAKARI 4 2 2nk 2nk 23 4410 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 5.80  
SILENT SCARLET 2 1 1nk 1nk 33 518½ 536¾ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.50 4.00  
 
PEN-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:223 :464 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP REINA 5 3 32 2½   11¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 2.70  
ONE TOUGH ROSE 3 5 44 4   22¼ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40 P
HILL VALLEY 1 6 7 5   53(rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 38% 1.60 3.00 S
LUSCIOUS LOLA 4 1 2 3   44 4(albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00 7.40  
SUSIKIN 6 2 1 1½   34 5(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 8.60  
HAD THE NOTION 7 7 67 6   6612¼ (harting r)HIRALDO JOHN 117 5.00 6.30  
HIT A HOMER HONEY 2 4 57 7   712½ 714¾ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00 21.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.