Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/2)-(10/9/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(10/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(10/9/3)-(2/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/3)-(10/9/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/9/3)-(10/9/3/2)-(10/9/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/9/3)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/9/3)-(2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(10/4/6/5)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/6/5)-(10/4/6/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/6/5)-(10/4/6/5/9)-(10/4/6/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/6/5)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/4/6/5)-(1/6/4)-(1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDICT (ARG) Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec06 Nov18 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
2  ECONOMIC POWER Mar16 Mar02 Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  APACHE Apr26 Mar30 Feb15 Jan04 Dec12 (simone michael)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
4  GRAND WISER Apr19 Mar16 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
5  BLOOD MOON Apr03 Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
6  DEVOTED KITTEN Mar29 Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec06 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
7  LAKE NAKURU May04 Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET MESA Apr20 Mar10 Apr29 Apr06 Mar02 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
2  GATITA SUAVE Apr30 Dec03 Nov12     (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  CANDY ARCADE Apr20 Nov30 Nov05 Oct14   (nixon justin)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  COSMOLOGICAL Apr20 Apr10 Mar16 Mar10 Mar01 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
5  HAPPY RIDE Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
6  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Mar29 Feb09 Jan15     (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
7  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Apr20 Mar23 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PEN-3   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METANOIA Apr26 Apr04 Feb20 Jan24 Jun14 (krebs st)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 15.00    
2  WEST ABBOTT Apr20 Feb23       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 ★    
3  WINGS OF A SONG Apr16 Sep20 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAYLEE         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
5  MS KAYS COWGIRL Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Nov30 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
6  TICK ALERT Oct24 Sep29       (crane clovis)CORA D 121 10.00    
7  PRIZE DEBATE Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 Dec12 Oct22 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00    
8  PEACEMON May03 Mar22 Mar15 Feb15 Feb07 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00    
9  VANILLA BEAN Nov05 Oct20 Sep22 Sep03   (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
10  WARRIOR'S MISS Apr26         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 67% 0.50    
11  END OF THE RAINBOW May01 Mar14 Jan24     (pattershall)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
SCR  LET'S GO MO Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Feb17 Feb01 (miller a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL OR WON'T Apr14 Mar23 Aug18     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
2  CABRA CHICA Apr10 Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan18 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  KAREN'S WAY Apr21 Aug17 Jul07 Jun29 May13 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
4  POSITIVE FORCE Apr21 Mar31 Mar09 Feb09 Jan19 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 3.50 ★    
5  BOWL OF CHERRIES Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20 Jan22 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
6  MI CLEOPATRA AND I Aug17 Jul23 Jun10 May27 May07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
7  MISS CONVEYOR Apr21 Mar29 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-5   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROSSELMOON Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
2  STREET TAIL Apr19 Mar20 Feb27 Sep06 Aug15 (guerrero )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00    
3  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Apr28 Dec21 Oct21 Aug31 Aug04 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 30.00    
4  BEYOND THE BEND Apr28 Apr01 Mar16 Mar03 Jan09 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  SPEEDY MOONLITE Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Sep21 Aug31 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 7% 14.00    
6  C C'S WARRIOR Apr28 Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
7  EVEN THUNDER Jan27 Jan06 Nov13 Oct27 Oct11 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 4.00    
8  WHO YOU SAY I AM Mar09 Feb23 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (smith r)CORA D 124 50.00    
9  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Mar29 Feb02 Dec30 Nov02 Oct19 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 114 30.00 ★    
10  NICE WEATHER Nov04 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-6   05/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNDER BOSS Apr13 Mar19 Jan20 Dec29 Nov21 (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 117 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  TROPICALDEPRESSION Apr28 Mar29 Mar01 Dec07 Nov09 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 5.00    
3  SILENT SCARLET Mar24 Feb17 Jan14 Nov17 Oct13 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.50    
4  HIGHWAY QUEEN May04 Apr08 Mar31 Mar22 Feb10 (miller marl)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAKARI May04 Mar31 Mar15 Mar03 Feb22 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
6  BLIND SIGHT Apr26 Dec21 Nov05 Sep11 Aug13 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
PEN-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILL VALLEY Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 Nov18 Nov01 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  HIT A HOMER HONEY Nov25 Nov14 Oct12 Sep12 Aug31 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00 ★    
3  ONE TOUGH ROSE Apr27 Mar24 Mar08 Feb24 Jan25 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  LUSCIOUS LOLA Apr27 Feb10 Jan11 Nov29 Oct26 (albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00    
5  STARSHIP REINA Apr24 Mar24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 ★    
6  SUSIKIN Apr27 Mar31 Mar01 Feb09 Dec16 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
7  HAD THE NOTION Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 (harting ch)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.