Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC MALIBU 7 1 2     1½ 1 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 5.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCENT OF SUMMER by ROCK HARD TEN)
ICY STARE 1 3 3     3 2 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 24% 3.10 0.80 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of TURN TO LASS by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
DEVIN ON EARTH 6 2 1     2½ 38 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 5.60 S
  (by GRAYDAR out of TRAVEL WISH by INTO MISCHIEF)
DEAREST M. A. 2 6 613     59 410 (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 37.30 DH
  (by DIVINING ROD out of HAYLEY AGNES by REDEEMED)
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 3 5 4     47 410 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.00 31% 2.20 3.00 DH
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
AMERICAN DREAMER 4 4 512     610½ 610¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 12.00 21.50  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
NO SHARING 5 7 713½     711 712¾ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 18% 4.50 20.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
 
CT-2   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:144 1:422   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMMIN STILL 5 4 4 4 2nk 1½ 1nk (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 3.60  
DUSTWHIRL WONDER 4 3 710¾ 713 6 64 2nk (pennella m)LARROSA G 117 30.00 48.30  
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE 2 7 5 54 5 32 3¼ (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 4.20  
MY CANDY BIZ 3 2 23 32 4¾ 42 4 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 32% 2.20 1.70  
REY O REYES 7 5 3 21 1nk 2½ 5 (adorno jea)RIVERA R 115 2.00 28% 2.50 2.40  
GOT FLOFFY 1 1 13 11 3½ 5 6 (adorno l)ADAMS L 115 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
MAKE WAY 6 6 6 67 715¼ 716 719¼ (barber dona)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 6% 16.90 22.50  
 
CT-3   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:15     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO MO 1 1 67 6   23 1 (miller mar)RIVERA R 117 12.00 13.20  
LINDA'S TAJ 7 4 1nk 1nk   13 2 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 2.50 34% 1.90 2.60 P
WAY LUCKY 3 3 5 5   45 3 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 2.90 S
WICKED SAUCY 8 5 2nk 2nk   33 45 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 5.00 3.20  
SWEET FACTOR 2 2 3 32   5 5 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 6.00 9.10  
MUNNIS PRETTY 5 6 44 4   611¼ 618¼ (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 10.10  
AWESOME LUCKYCHARM 4 7 812 813¾   725¼ 738¾ (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00 55.10  
SUPER SWEETIE 6 8 79 710¾   841¼ 871¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 36% 1.80 4.90  
 
CT-4   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL 2 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 6.00  
LATE IN THE GAME 4 6 6 56   42 2 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 3.00 19% 4.20 1.50 P
FREEDOM RIDER 6 4 4 31   31 32 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 10% 9.10 3.70 S
PYEONG CHANG 3 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 42 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 3.50 2.50  
CANDY INVASION 1 1 33 4   5 53 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 46% 1.20 7.80  
SANTO 7 7 7 7   6 6 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 27.40  
STEAL THE CASH 5 5 5 6   7 7 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 28.90  
 
CT-5   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:144     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST PARTY 3 1 11 11   15 1 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 10.90  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LADIES PARTY by SEATTLE SLEW)
COMEONTURNMELOOSE 9 9 8 7   5 2 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 16.00  
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
LIEUTENANT BROWN 8 8 7 6   6 34 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 7.90 S
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
KING OF LUCK 1 3 5 5   35 4 (brown ro)BUTTERFLY L 116 5.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
UNCLE PRESS 4 4 21 21   25 57 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 10% 8.70 12.70  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BACK DOOR CUT by CIVILISATION)
MOON FALL 7 6 6 8   8 68 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 59% 0.70 0.80  
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE 5 7 31 42   46 7 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 4.50 6.50  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of GEORGIA MOON by MAKIN)
SCARE DEM 6 5 42 32   7 8 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 13.60  
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
CRUISE ON BY 2 2 9 9   913¾ 915¾ (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 20.00 40.50  
  (by JUBA out of THREE ARCH BAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
CT-6   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MIRACLE MAN 7 5 1½ 11   17 19 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00 22.10  
CHEERS FOR KITTEN 4 2 2½ 42   3 29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 61% 0.60 0.90 P
SULEMAN 5 7 54 5   4 310 (laguna homero)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 6.20 S
AMICALOLA FALLS 1 1 3 21   27 410¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 3.10  
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR 3 3 710½ 714½   713¼ 514½ (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 31.40  
SLOE GIN BIZ 6 4 42 32   5 615 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 3.80  
STAVANGER 2 6 68 68   611¾ 719 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 37.40  
SCR  STRONGER THAN DEX               (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS               (buckley ri)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
 
CT-7   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMY SONDE 2 5 21     2½ 1¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 47% 1.10 1.80 W
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 4 6 64     42 2¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 12.00 22.10  
LA MADDALENA 3 7 3     32 3½ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00 6.20  
CAT WITH A NOTION 1 8 11     1½ 4¾ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 6.00 9.00  
TRUE FLIRT 6 2 8     5 5 (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 8.00 18.10  
MARINA GRANDE 8 3 4     6 6 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 22% 3.50 1.70  
LIVANA 5 4 5     7 7 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 10% 9.50 8.50  
PURE NONSENSE 7 1 7     8 810¾ (mckee e)CECIL Y 116 20.00 19.20  
 
CT-8   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:221 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISHING FOR SPRING 4 7 5     33 1½ (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00 7.20  
BLUE MOUNTAIN 7 2 1nk     11 2½ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 65% 0.50 1.40 P
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 5 6 7     56 3¾ (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 15.00 14.10  
LET'S DO THIS 1 9 45     43 4 (pickett cr)RIVERA R 111 10.00 7.40  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 2 10 911     6 54 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 13.00  
10  POWER SONDE 10 5 810     913¼ 67 (bourne l)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 10.00  
MICHEAUX 6 4 68     7 78 (clement ro)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 5% 19.00 7.80  
VEGAS PRINCESS 3 8 2nk     21 8 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9% 10.60 5.50  
A BLONDE THING 8 3 1018     1017¾ 912 (shanley tim)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 20.00 20.80  
MARLEESBEEBEE 9 1 32     811¾ 1021 (bowman d)CECIL Y 113 50.00 44.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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