Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/7/6/1)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/1)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(6/7)-(1/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(1/4/6)-(7/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(7/4/1)-(6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/8/1/5)-(7/4/8/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(6)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(2/8/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/8/5)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/2/1)-(7/3/6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY STARE Apr29 Apr19 Feb15 Jan21 Dec11 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TURN TO LASS by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
2  DEAREST M. A. Apr06         (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of HAYLEY AGNES by REDEEMED)
3  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Apr06 Mar17       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
4  AMERICAN DREAMER Dec08 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16   (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
5  NO SHARING         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
6  DEVIN ON EARTH Apr29 Sep16 Sep02     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GRAYDAR out of TRAVEL WISH by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  MYSTIC MALIBU May04         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCENT OF SUMMER by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CT-2   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT FLOFFY May06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Feb10 (adorno l)ADAMS L 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
3  MY CANDY BIZ Apr22 Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
4  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Apr15 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 (pennella m)LARROSA G 117 30.00    
5  JAMMIN STILL May05 Apr27 Apr07 Apr01 Mar17 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00    
6  MAKE WAY Apr27 Mar17 Feb23 Jan27 Dec01 (barber dona)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 6% 16.90    
7  REY O REYES Apr27 Apr13 Apr01 Feb25 Feb15 (adorno jea)RIVERA R 115 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-3   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Feb17 Feb01 (miller mar)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
2  SWEET FACTOR Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
3  WAY LUCKY May06 Apr15 Sep17 Sep04 Aug29 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 ★    
4  AWESOME LUCKYCHARM Apr28         (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
5  MUNNIS PRETTY May07 Apr16 Apr06 Mar11 Oct16 (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
6  SUPER SWEETIE Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar01   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  LINDA'S TAJ Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Jan13 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  WICKED SAUCY Apr27 Apr15 Mar08 Feb17 Feb01 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 5.00 ★    
 
CT-4   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY INVASION Apr22 Apr08 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
2  OVERLY CRITICAL Apr01 Mar01 May21 Apr09 Mar17 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00    
3  PYEONG CHANG Apr01 Feb18 Nov17 Sep25 Sep02 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 3.50 ★    
4  LATE IN THE GAME Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  STEAL THE CASH Apr08 Mar01 Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
6  FREEDOM RIDER Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb09 Jan19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 10% 9.10    
7  SANTO Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan07 Dec06 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF LUCK Apr29         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CRUISE ON BY May11 Mar24       (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of THREE ARCH BAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
3  LAST PARTY Apr29 Apr06       (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LADIES PARTY by SEATTLE SLEW)
4  UNCLE PRESS Apr27 Apr13       (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BACK DOOR CUT by CIVILISATION)
5  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Apr27         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 4.50 ★    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of GEORGIA MOON by MAKIN)
6  SCARE DEM Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 Jun16 May11 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
7  MOON FALL         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
8  LIEUTENANT BROWN Apr27 Apr06 Mar16     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 ★    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
9  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Apr27 Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 Feb17 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
CT-6   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONGER THAN DEX Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Dec29 Dec10 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 8% 11.80    
2  AMICALOLA FALLS Apr14 Jan21 Dec29 Nov21 Oct14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 ★    
3  STAVANGER Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 Jan19 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS May11 Apr05 Mar11 Feb26 Jan16 (buckley ri)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
5  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR May06 Apr14 Apr01 Jan21 Jan05 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
6  CHEERS FOR KITTEN May06 Apr21 Mar19 Feb04 Dec18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
7  SULEMAN Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 (laguna homero)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★    
8  SLOE GIN BIZ May04 Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Feb09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
9  MY MIRACLE MAN Apr14 Mar11 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT WITH A NOTION Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 6.00    
2  DREAMY SONDE Apr01 Mar09       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  LA MADDALENA Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Mar04 Jan06 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00    
4  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 12.00    
5  LIVANA Apr28 Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 Jul12 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
6  TRUE FLIRT Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 Sep03 Aug18 (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
7  PURE NONSENSE Sep17 Aug27       (mckee e)CECIL Y 116 20.00 ★    
8  MARINA GRANDE Apr20 Aug12       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
CT-8   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S DO THIS Apr07 Mar11 Feb04 Jan26 Nov24 (pickett cr)RIVERA R 111 10.00 ★    
2  I SHALLBE RELEASED Apr21 Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 ★    
3  VEGAS PRINCESS Apr07 Mar18 Jan11 Nov18 Nov06 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
4  WISHING FOR SPRING Apr13 Mar23 Feb04 Jan21 Nov24 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00    
5  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Apr07 Mar23 Mar02 Feb24 Feb08 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 15.00    
6  MICHEAUX Apr01 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 (clement ro)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  BLUE MOUNTAIN Apr15 Mar11 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
8  A BLONDE THING Apr07 Mar18 Feb16 Jan18 Dec16 (shanley tim)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 20.00    
9  MARLEESBEEBEE Apr07 Mar18 Jan18 Dec01 Jun18 (bowman d)BAEZ M 113 50.00    
10  POWER SONDE Apr07 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 (bourne l)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.