Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-9   EXA (3/11/1/10/4)-(3/11/1/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-1 $24.60 $4.60 23%
    DD (10/2/4)-(3/11/1/10/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00  10-10 $37.80 $7.80 26%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE CASTLE 2 3 23     2 1¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 42% 1.40 0.50 W
CAT WITH A NOTION 5 2 13     1 2¼ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00 5.70  
IT'S A REAL HONOR 1 6 45     36 36 (perez ernesto)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50 11.00 S
BLUE MOUNTAIN 3 4 33     4 4 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 28% 2.60 3.60  
AWESOME MOON 6 1 5     5 5 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 11.20  
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE 4 5 612¾     6 69 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 23.90  
SCR  VAN HOOK               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
 
CT-2   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE FASHION 5 7 6 5   5¾ 1½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 31% 2.20 0.80 W
GOLDEN SWEETS 7 6 42 31   2½ 2½ (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 16.40  
TEQUILA FOG 6 3 21 1nk   1½ 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 27% 2.70 3.80 S
DAT DARES GOLD 1 1 31 4   3½ 4 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 6.70  
SAX 2 5 7 6   6 5 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 36.40  
SHERIFF'S KID 3 2 5 7   7 6 (price r)ADAMS L 115 12.00 9.70  
KALENJIN 4 4 11 2nk   4¾ 714¼ (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 17% 4.90 5.80  
SCR  KATY THE CAT               (kravets m)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
 
CT-3   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:22 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SHUGS 4 7 23     2½ 1 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.00 3.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of OUR IRISH LASSIE'S by YES IT'S TRUE)
SEAP 2 5 13     1½ 2 (merryman )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 6.00 3.90 P
  (by HOLY BOSS out of SISTA by TWO PUNCH)
GILDED QUEST 6 4 5     4 35 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 126 12.00 7% 14.20 18.30 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TALENTED CORINNA 7 1 4     3 45 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 46% 1.20 3.90  
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 8 3 912     710½ 5 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 126 8.00 22% 3.60 8.70  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CLARIFICATION 9 2 69     67 6 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 126 20.00 36.10  
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
STELLAR LEGACY 3 8 811½     911¼ 7 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00 3.40  
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
WICKED SAUCY 5 6 3     56 8 (lane scott)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 3.00 6.60  
  (by WICKED TUNE out of DISCREET CONCORDE by DISCREET CAT)
KILLDRESS KAY 1 9 710     811 916 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 126 20.00 33.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
 
CT-4   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGIDGETMARIE 1 1 1½ 14   1 1 (huet k)BAEZ M 117 15.00 11.80  
IRISH SAMURAI 6 2 3 24   2 2 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 47% 1.10 5.50 P
ULTIMATE BREEZE 4 5 8 810¼   312½ 312 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 30.00 48.40  
SUPERSNAKE 7 8 7 6   817¾ 421¼ (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00 22.20  
TWIN CAUSE 2 3 4 45   416½ 522¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 2.40  
WHY LEA 3 4 6 5   717½ 623½ (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 13.10  
HARPER'S DO 5 6 5 7   617½ 728¼ (serey jr)LARROSA G 124 15.00 8.40  
YAZZERA (PER) 8 7 2½ 3   517 830½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60 29% 2.40 1.20  
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT               (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
 
CT-5   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:161     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COFFEE BEAN 6 5 11 1   16 1 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 126 5.00 8% 12.30 0.70 W
WAY LUCKY 2 2 6 2   26 2 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.00 14% 6.00 4.20 P
CREDIT COMMITTEE 3 3 4 3   36 310¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 6% 14.70 7.50 S
CHANTILLY MOON (PER) 8 8 8 7   49 410¼ (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 126 2.50 44% 1.30 5.30  
COWGIRL HOP 4 6 10 913¼   611¾ 513¼ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 50.30  
OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN 5 1 32 47   511½ 617 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 15.10  
10  AMERICAN LEGACY 9 9 5 8   712¾ 723¼ (butts e)LARROSA G 126 30.00 ######  
PACKIN 1 4 9 1014¼   923¾ 824½ (norris stepha)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00 81.10  
REGGAETONI 7 10 7 5   818¾ 927½ (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00 68.50  
11  BOSSTONIAN 10 7 21 6   1038¾ 1071¼ (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 15.00 6% 15.30 17.20  
SCR  BUTTERMILK GIRLZ               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:221 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARITABLY GIFTED 8 1 4     3½ 1 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 15.20  
LION OF THE SEA 2 8 3     41 2 (grams c)BOCACHICA O 126 6.00 4.40 P
POLITICAL DECISION 6 3 8     7 3 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 15.00 49.30  
CHIEF HOWCOME 5 4 6     5 4 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 2.90  
ABOUT TO RAGE 3 5 7     8 5 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 117 20.00 61.80  
HELL'S KITTEN 7 2 2nk     2nk 64 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 1.40 63% 0.60 1.70  
VICTORIOUS BEAR 4 6 1nk     1nk 7 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 42.70  
BAYTOWN JAKESTER 1 7 5     65 86 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 10% 9.40 2.40  
SCR  BILLINGSGATE               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
 
CT-7   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISHIHARA 5 3 42 2½   2nk 11 (runco c)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 6.50  
FANCY CONCHO 2 2 3 3½   3.2 21 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 4.70 P
PENGUIN POWER 4 5 11 1½   1nk 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 65% 0.50 0.30 S
COMMAND THE CAT 1 4 5 5   4 46 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 11.80  
ALLEN CAN DO IT 3 1 21 4¾   5 5 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 11.00  
SCR  FREEDOM RIDER               (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 6% 17.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE               (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
SCR  SUPER GARNER               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
 
CT-8   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Original Gold Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LUCYLOU WHO 9 7 2½ 2½   11 13 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
  (by SKY MESA out of R C'S DAISYDUKE by YES IT'S TRUE)
11  XANTHE 10 10 9 8   3 23 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 117 15.00 19.90  
  (by ALDRIN out of ROCHE by REPARATIONS)
MOONLIT SHADOW 7 3 1½ 1½   21 3 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 126 10.00 7.80  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MALIBU KITTEN by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
ALPINE MOON 3 6 7 54   4 4 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 15.00 44.40  
  (by SWISS YODELER out of SPLENDIFEROUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
THE SKY IS FALLING 2 1 6 7   7 5 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 5.00 23% 3.30 8.20  
  (by CUPID out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
CHANGE THE WORLD 4 5 5 6   8 6 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.50 9% 10.70 5.80  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
AZZURRA 8 9 8 96   9 710 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 6.00 15.20  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of WILD IN MANILA by WILD RUSH)
YOLO CHARLOTTE 6 4 41 43   6 811 (lyster s)ACOSTA D 126 15.00 28.60  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WHIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SENECA ROCKS 1 2 3½ 3   57 911¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 126 4.00 3.40  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
OCEAN LILLY 5 8 10 107   1012¾ 1017½ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 15.00 30.50  
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
SCR  NAVY SWORD               (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 126 15.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of WOODEN NICKEL by BRIDLEWOOD)
 
CT-9   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLEARLY VISIBLE 10 10 5 3   1 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 11% 8.20 4.20 W
SHINY PENNY 1 2 42 5   4 2 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 14% 6.10 4.20 P
DON'T TELL GRANDMA 6 3 7 8   7 3 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50 7.60  
JALEBI BABY 5 1 11 1½   2 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.50 3.50  
KIRBY 9 9 6 63   5 5 (neilson walla)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 46.30  
SWEET ANNABELLA 7 8 1010¾ 911½   9 6 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 10.00 5.20  
CENTERFOLD ANGEL 3 4 31 2½   33 79 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 23% 3.30 4.00  
DUSTWHIRL WONDER 2 5 910¼ 1011¾   87 8 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 32.90  
HURRICANE DIRECTOR 8 6 21 4   65 912½ (mcgill sylv)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00 64.90  
SCARLET TANAGER 4 7 8 78   109 1019¾ (spriggs)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
SCR  JACK'S LILLY               (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THUNDER PUNCH               (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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