Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/7/4)-(7/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(7/8/6)-(7/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2/4)-(7/8/6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(7/9)-(9/3/7/4/11) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/9)-(7/9/1/3/2)-(7/9/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9)-(9/3/7/4/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/9)-(9/3/7/4/11)-(8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/3/7/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4/11)-(9/3/7/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4/11)-(9/3/7/4/11)-(9/3/7/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4/11)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/4/11)-(8/2)-(4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/5/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/5/3/6)-(8/2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(4)-(10/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-7   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(10/2/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(10/2/4)-(3/1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/1/3)-(10/2/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/2/4)-(3/1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/1/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/4)-(3/1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/4)-(3/1/10/4)-(3/1/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A REAL HONOR Apr01 Mar11 Mar01 Jul30 Jun30 (perez ernesto)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50 ★    
2  CHEROKEE CASTLE Apr01 Mar11 Jan11 Jul02 Jun16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  BLUE MOUNTAIN Mar11 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  VAN HOOK Mar23 Jan26 Jan06 Nov19 Oct13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
6  CAT WITH A NOTION Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00    
7  AWESOME MOON Mar18 Mar02 Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 ★    
 
CT-2   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAT DARES GOLD Mar30 Mar18 Mar04 Jan25 Dec08 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 ★    
2  SAX Mar18 Mar04 Jan05 Dec17 Nov25 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
3  SHERIFF'S KID Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan18 Jan05 (price r)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
4  KALENJIN Jan15         (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  DIVINE FASHION Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
SCR  KATY THE CAT Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 Dec14 (kravets m)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
7  TEQUILA FOG Mar30 Mar18 May20 Apr28 Mar30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  GOLDEN SWEETS Mar23 Feb23 Feb04 Jan27 Nov13 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KILLDRESS KAY Feb17         (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
2  SEAP Feb24 Feb17 Jan13 Aug20 Jul31 (merryman )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 6.00 ★    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of SISTA by TWO PUNCH)
3  STELLAR LEGACY Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Feb01   (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  SWEET SHUGS Apr02 Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of OUR IRISH LASSIE'S by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  WICKED SAUCY Mar08 Feb17 Feb01 Dec22 Dec16 (lane scott)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 3.00    
  (by WICKED TUNE out of DISCREET CONCORDE by DISCREET CAT)
6  GILDED QUEST Dec14 Dec02 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 126 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  TALENTED CORINNA Feb17 Jan13 Oct28 Oct05 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
8  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 126 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  CLARIFICATION Feb17         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 126 20.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
CT-4   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIDGETMARIE Mar30 Feb15 Jan25 Dec01 Oct29 (huet k)BAEZ M 117 15.00 ★    
2  TWIN CAUSE Mar17 Feb25 Dec14 Dec04 Oct22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 ★    
3  WHY LEA Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Dec17 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 ★    
4  ULTIMATE BREEZE Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 30.00    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Jan12 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
6  HARPER'S DO Dec31 Dec10 Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 15.00    
7  IRISH SAMURAI Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
8  SUPERSNAKE Mar30 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00    
9  YAZZERA (PER) Mar26 Mar16 Feb24     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
CT-5   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACKIN Apr05 Mar21 Feb14 Jan12 Dec28 (norris stepha)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  BUTTERMILK GIRLZ Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Dec31 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
3  WAY LUCKY Sep17 Sep04 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.00 14% 6.00    
4  CREDIT COMMITTEE Mar25 Feb18 Jan27 Sep23   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 6% 14.70    
5  COWGIRL HOP Mar26 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan13 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
6  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Mar25 Feb15 Jan21 Jan04 Jun16 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00    
7  COFFEE BEAN Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Feb20 Jan29 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 5.00 8% 12.30    
8  REGGAETONI Mar04 Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Dec01 (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00    
9  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Apr06 Mar25       (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
10  AMERICAN LEGACY Mar25 Feb15 Jan21 Dec17 Dec02 (butts e)LARROSA G 126 30.00    
11  BOSSTONIAN Mar12 Feb20       (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 15.00 6% 15.30    
 
CT-6   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BILLINGSGATE Feb22 Feb04 Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
2  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Mar25 Feb22 Feb04 Jan25 Jan04 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
3  LION OF THE SEA Mar25 Mar16 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 6.00 ★    
4  ABOUT TO RAGE Mar25 Feb22 Oct20 Sep16 Aug20 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 117 20.00    
5  VICTORIOUS BEAR         (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 ★    
6  CHIEF HOWCOME Mar16 Feb16 Jan05 Dec07 Nov09 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 ★    
7  POLITICAL DECISION Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 Feb02 Dec14 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
8  HELL'S KITTEN Feb09 Jan14 Nov27 Oct16 Sep10 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 1.40 63% 0.60    
9  CHARITABLY GIFTED Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 Dec16 Dec01 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND THE CAT Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
2  FANCY CONCHO Mar11 Feb09 Dec10 Oct08 Sep17 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★    
3  ALLEN CAN DO IT Mar31 Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
4  PENGUIN POWER Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 65% 0.50    
5  ISHIHARA Mar11 Oct08 Sep17 Jun16 May18 (runco c)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Apr01 Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM RIDER Apr08 Mar11 Feb09 Jan19 Jan07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 6% 17.00    
SCR  SUPER GARNER Feb23 Feb09 Nov18 Oct20   (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-8   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Original Gold Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENECA ROCKS Mar23 Dec08 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 126 4.00 ★    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
2  THE SKY IS FALLING Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun23 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CUPID out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
3  ALPINE MOON Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 Oct08 Sep16 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 15.00 ★    
  (by SWISS YODELER out of SPLENDIFEROUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  CHANGE THE WORLD Dec08 Nov16 Oct08 Sep10 Aug18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.50 9% 10.70    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  OCEAN LILLY Jan19 Jan07 Nov03 Oct08 Sep07 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 15.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
6  YOLO CHARLOTTE Mar10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 Aug26 (lyster s)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WHIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  NAVY SWORD Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Nov05 Oct08 (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 126 15.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of WOODEN NICKEL by BRIDLEWOOD)
8  MOONLIT SHADOW Feb25 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MALIBU KITTEN by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
9  AZZURRA Jan18 Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 6.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of WILD IN MANILA by WILD RUSH)
10  LUCYLOU WHO Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec08 Nov19 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by SKY MESA out of R C'S DAISYDUKE by YES IT'S TRUE)
11  XANTHE Mar10 Feb16 Dec17 Nov04 Oct21 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 117 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of ROCHE by REPARATIONS)
 
CT-9   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINY PENNY Mar24 Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan27 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Jan25 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
3  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Jan25 Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 Jul29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  SCARLET TANAGER Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Jan20 Nov23 (spriggs)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JALEBI BABY Mar30 Mar04 Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.50    
6  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Feb22 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50    
7  SWEET ANNABELLA Mar24 Feb22 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 10.00    
8  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Mar18 Jan12 Dec12 Nov30 Nov03 (mcgill sylv)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00    
9  KIRBY Mar15 Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 Oct27 (neilson walla)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 20.00    
10  CLEARLY VISIBLE Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 Nov02 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY Feb22 Feb10 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THUNDER PUNCH Mar01 Jan21 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.