Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :473       :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHENANDOAH CAT 3 3 2nk     2nk 11¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 ★ 0.80  
6  HANDSOME JOANIE 6 1 32     32 21¾ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
2  YESSIROFFICER 2 4 1nk     1nk 32¼ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 ★ 3.10 S
5  CHURCH KEY 5 5 42½     42¼ 42½ (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 2.50 4.00  
4  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) 4 6 510½     57¾ 56 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO null   13.50  
1  A BLONDE THING 1 7 713     68¾ 66¾ (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 10.00 23.60  
7  TINA'S SONG 7 2 612½     710¼ 716¾ (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 12.00 30.20  
 
CT-2   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:154     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POSTED 3 1 1½ 1½   12½ 12½ (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 2.50 2.10  
4  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 4 2 42½ 36½   43 22½ (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 4.50 10.00  
6  HERETODAYGONMANANA 6 6 31½ 46½   33 32½ (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 117 4.00 41% 1.50 3.30 S
7  SPECTACULO 7 7 2½ 2½   22½ 45 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 18% 4.60 2.80  
5  MASTER YOO 5 3 53 57½   56 57¼ (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 45.30  
2  AIR MEDAL 2 5 710½ 715   67 67½ (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 3.50 2.90  
1  PONTICELLO 1 4 64 613   78 711¼ (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 11% 8.40 30.80  
 
CT-3   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :473       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MOTIVATED SPEAKER 7 2 74¾     65 1¼ (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 15.30  
2  RUNAWAY ROAD 2 8 1nk     13 2¼ (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 71% 0.40 1.90 P
7  MY SLICK NICK 6 3 52¼     54½ 3¾ (sandoval mich)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 1.90  
4  FLASH OF DAY 4 4 41¼     33 43½ (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
9  GEM DANCER 8 1 3.2     23 53½ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00 10.00  
6  TRICKY STRONG 5 5 85¾     75¼ 65¾ (dollinger-sthr)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 6% 15.80 8.10  
3  FROSTY THE BULL 3 6 2nk     43½ 78 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 ★ 7.10  
1  CHASIN CHAPIN 1 7 63¾     86¾ 810½ (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 61.80  
SCR  ALWAYS GET REVENGE               (shanley mark)BAEZ M 117 6.00    
 
CT-4   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:142     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SOME IS NINE 7 7 13½ 16   13½ 13 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 24.30  
5  MIZZEN 5 3 34 36½   33½ 23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 31% 2.20 2.00 P
4  AWESOME INCENTIVE 4 4 55 47½   44½ 33¾ (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 6.80  
6  ROSELEE 6 2 23½ 26   23½ 44¼ (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00 17.50  
2  MISS COREY 2 1 65 59   55 55½ (badillo jona)BATISTA A 122 6.00 6.50  
1  PRACTICALLY THERE 1 6 815½ 714   66½ 66¼ (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 13% 6.90 5.20  
3  CODAS HONOR 3 5 715 814   76¾ 77¾ (farrior anthon)LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.50 19% 4.20 8.50  
8  HELLUVA LADY 8 8 44½ 611   822¾ 846 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 9% 10.70 2.70  
 
CT-5   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:222 :47       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 6 4 11     13½ 11 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 22.00  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MAKIN FAITH by MAKIN)
6  JUBASLILBALLERINA 5 5 68¾     55¾ 21 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 30% 2.30 3.70 P
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  OUR GREAT NOTION 10 2 21     23½ 35 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 4.50  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
10  CARMELIZED 9 1 41½     45½ 46½ (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00 67.00  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
4  SMOKIN LADY 3 7 31     33½ 57 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 6% 16.90 11.60  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
3  LOVE OF GRACE 2 8 58½     69¾ 67¾ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 22% 3.40 4.40  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  GREY FLAMINGO 1 10 812¼     710¾ 711½ (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 8.90  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FLAMINGO KEY by INCLUDE)
8  S S FOUR QUEENS 7 6 711¼     811¾ 811¾ (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 40.90  
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of ALASKA MISS by OFFICER)
9  STOWE PATROL 8 3 913¾     1013¾ 912 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.90  
  (by GORMLEY out of TWO STONESRBETTOR by BUSTIN STONES)
5  S S CASINO GIRL 4 9 1013¾     911¾ 1014 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SANDMAN'S GIRL by MONTBROOK)
SCR  MAGGIE'S GIRL               (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MAGINOT LINE by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  POLISH THE DIAMOND               (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
 
CT-6   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:22 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOADED SNIPER 6 2 1nk     11½ 12¼ (frock charles )ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 5.60  
1  ALWAYS DRINKING 1 7 53¾     34 22¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 14% 6.30 2.30 P
2  TOLLER 2 6 43¼     44 35¾ (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 4.70  
7  WIZARD OF ODDS 7 1 65¾     67¾ 46¾ (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 26.50  
3  IMPETUOUS 3 4 3.2     21½ 56¾ (santillana )RAMGEET R 122 20.00 9% 10.10 18.60  
4  STAR LUCK 4 5 76¼     77¾ 69¼ (volpe john)LEWIS M 113 6.00 6.40  
5  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE 5 3 2nk     54¼ 79¼ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.70  
SCR  FIT BUT FAT               (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOBI WAN KENOBI 2 2 87¾ 74¼   4¼ 11 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 12.30  
1  XANTHE 1 1 43½ 41½   3.2 21 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 113 10.00 14.40  
8  NO LOVE FOR JUBA 8 8 74¼ 31½   52¼ 35½ (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 25% 2.90 2.00 S
4  RUNALDO 4 4 31½ 2½   2nk 46 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 43% 1.30 1.20  
7  LITTLE ROO ROO 7 7 2nk 1½   1nk 56½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 11% 8.40 5.30  
3  NEVERPOPTHECORK 3 5 63¾ 62¾   67¼ 610 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
5  MISSIONARY 5 3 1nk 52½   77½ 719 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 25.80  
6  PINNACLE REEF 6 6 53¾ 84¼   811 833¾ (runco c)LEWIS M 111 15.00 21.70  
 
CT-8   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:161     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DECISIVE CAUSE 10 10 64¼ 21   22 12¼ (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 6% 14.70 2.40 W
4  KOBE'S GIRL 4 3 11½ 11   12 22¼ (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 8.80  
3  VICTORY ROYALE 3 4 43 43   33½ 35½ (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 11% 8.40 2.80 S
1  BOCA BIRDIE 1 2 1014¾ 1013¼   66 45¾ (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 25.30  
5  CHANNEL SCENT 5 5 910¼ 88   55½ 55¾ (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 20.00 48.50  
2  EXCUSES EXCUSES 2 1 21½ 33   45 68½ (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 12.00 27.40  
7  LOVE TO ZOOM 7 7 33 54½   78 712¼ (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 55% 0.80 3.50  
9  WALK A FINE LINE 9 9 86¼ 98¼   912 815½ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 7.70  
6  DYLADDIE 6 6 74¾ 77   89 916½ (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5% 18.50 11.20  
8  CAN I GET AN AMEN 8 8 53¼ 66   1018 1040¾ (hayes kirsten)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE               (knoblauch-perez)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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