The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Charles Town
Thursday - February 16, 2023

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CT-1   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
:223 :473       :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHENANDOAH CAT 3 3 2nk     2nk 1(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 38% 1.60 0.80 W
HANDSOME JOANIE 6 1 32     32 2(viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 9.80  
YESSIROFFICER 2 4 1nk     1nk 3(carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 3.10 S
CHURCH KEY 5 5 4     44(harrison glenn )SIMPSON JASON 122 2.50 16% 5.10 4.00  
GOLD PHOENIX 4 6 510½     556 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 17.30 13.50  
A BLONDE THING 1 7 713     66(pickett g)BAEZ M 115 10.00 8% 11.80 23.60  
TINA'S SONG 7 2 612½     710¼ 716¾ (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 12.00 30.20  
 
CT-2   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
:25 :494 1:154     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSTED 3 1 1½ 1½   11(schottroffe edward )CECIL Y 122 2.50 20% 4.00 2.10 W
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 4 2 4 3   43 2(pennella m)ADAMS L 115 4.50 10.00 P
HERETODAYGONMANANA 6 6 3 4   33 3(kirlew lenwort)MARRERO CARLOS 117 4.00 20% 4.00 3.30 S
SPECTACULO 7 7 2½ 2½   245 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 2.80  
MASTER YOO 5 3 53 5   56 5(downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 45.30  
AIR MEDAL 2 5 710½ 715   67 6(pickett g)BAEZ M 115 3.50 22% 3.60 2.90  
PONTICELLO 1 4 64 613   78 711¼ (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 10% 9.10 30.80  
 
CT-3   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:224 :473       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTIVATED SPEAKER 7 2 7     65 1¼ (covello a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 15.30  
RUNAWAY ROAD 2 8 1nk     13 2¼ (capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 61% 0.60 1.90 P
MY SLICK NICK 6 3 5     53¾ (sandoval michae)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 1.90  
FLASH OF DAY 4 4 4     33 4(mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 6.90  
GEM DANCER 8 1 3.2     23 5(pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00 10.00  
TRICKY STRONG 5 5 8     76(dollinger-sthr l)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 8.10  
FROSTY THE BULL 3 6 2nk     478 (jackson g)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 7.10  
CHASIN CHAPIN 1 7 6     8810½ (soldo ela)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 61.80  
SCR  ALWAYS GET REVENGE               (shanley mark)BAEZ M 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
CT-4   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
:233 :48 1:142     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOME IS NINE 7 7 1 16   113 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 24.30  
MIZZEN 5 3 34 3   323 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.00 P
AWESOME INCENTIVE 4 4 55 4   43(mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 6.80  
ROSELEE 6 2 2 26   24(nazario ped)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00 17.50  
MISS COREY 2 1 65 59   55 5(badillo jonath)BATISTA A 122 6.00 6% 14.60 6.50  
PRACTICALLY THERE 1 6 815½ 714   66(haynes ernest)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 19% 4.20 5.20  
CODAS HONOR 3 5 715 814   77(farrior anthony)LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.50 10% 9.30 8.50  
HELLUVA LADY 8 8 4 611   822¾ 846 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 7% 14.00 2.70  
 
CT-5   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
:222 :47       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 6 4 11     111 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 22.00  
JUBASLILBALLERINA 5 5 6     521 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 31% 2.20 3.70 P
11  OUR GREAT NOTION 10 2 21     235 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 4.50  
10  CARMELIZED 9 1 4     44(lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00 67.00  
SMOKIN LADY 3 7 31     357 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
LOVE OF GRACE 2 8 5     66(collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 24% 3.10 4.40  
GREY FLAMINGO 1 10 812¼     710¾ 711½ (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 8.90  
S S FOUR QUEENS 7 6 711¼     811¾ 811¾ (lucas anthony)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 40.90  
STOWE PATROL 8 3 913¾     1013¾ 912 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 20% 4.00 1.90  
S S CASINO GIRL 4 9 1013¾     911¾ 1014 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 31.20  
SCR  MAGGIE'S GIRL               (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
SCR  POLISH THE DIAMOND               (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
:22 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED SNIPER 6 2 1nk     11(frock l)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 5.60  
ALWAYS DRINKING 1 7 5     34 2(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 18% 4.60 2.30 P
TOLLER 2 6 4     44 3(comi w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 15% 5.60 4.70 S
WIZARD OF ODDS 7 1 6     64(aylor natasha )MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 26.50  
IMPETUOUS 3 4 3.2     25(santillana fr)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 6% 17.10 18.60  
STAR LUCK 4 5 7     76(volpe john)LEWIS M 113 6.00 6.40  
MISCHIEVOUS JESSE 5 3 2nk     57(pickett g)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
SCR  FIT BUT FAT               (bass curtis)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
:234 :482 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBI WAN KENOBI 2 2 8 7   4¼ 11 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 12.30  
XANTHE 1 1 4 4   3.2 21 (moschonas gerasim)RODRIGUEZ V 113 10.00 14.40  
NO LOVE FOR JUBA 8 8 7 3   53(petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.00 S
RUNALDO 4 4 3 2½   2nk 46 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 35% 1.90 1.20  
LITTLE ROO ROO 7 7 2nk 1½   1nk 5(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 15% 5.90 5.30  
NEVERPOPTHECORK 3 5 6 6   6610 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 8.00 17.70  
MISSIONARY 5 3 1nk 5   7719 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 25.80  
PINNACLE REEF 6 6 5 8   811 833¾ (runco c)LEWIS M 111 15.00 21.70  
 
CT-8   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
:24 :484 1:161     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DECISIVE CAUSE 10 10 6 21   22 1(shanley )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 12% 7.20 2.40 W
KOBE'S GIRL 4 3 1 11   12 2(serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 8.80  
VICTORY ROYALE 3 4 43 43   33(lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 14% 6.20 2.80 S
BOCA BIRDIE 1 2 1014¾ 1013¼   66 4(atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 25.30  
CHANNEL SCENT 5 5 910¼ 88   55(sewell lenwort)LEWIS M 115 20.00 48.50  
EXCUSES EXCUSES 2 1 2 33   45 6(pickett g)BAEZ M 115 12.00 27.40  
LOVE TO ZOOM 7 7 33 5   78 712¼ (boggs joanna)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 38% 1.70 3.50  
WALK A FINE LINE 9 9 8 9   912 815½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 8% 11.60 7.70  
DYLADDIE 6 6 7 77   89 916½ (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
CAN I GET AN AMEN 8 8 5 66   1018 1040¾ (hayes kirsten)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 21.10  
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE               (knoblauch-perez m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.