Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(2/3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(6/7/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(6/7/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(2/6/4)-(5/3/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(5/3/1/8)-(6/3/9/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8)-(6/3/9/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/8)-(6/3/9/4/5)-(5/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/3/9/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/4/5)-(6/3/9/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/4/5)-(6/3/9/4/5)-(6/3/9/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/9/4/5)-(5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/4/5)-(5/1/3)-(4/8/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(7/3/10/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/3)-(7/3/10/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/10/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/6/8)-(7/3/10/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/6/8)-(7/3/10/6/8)-(7/3/10/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A BLONDE THING Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 10.00    
2  YESSIROFFICER Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 Aug06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 ★    
3  SHENANDOAH CAT Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Jul23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 ★    
4  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Nov24 Nov05 Nov03 Oct01 Sep03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO null      
5  CHURCH KEY Jan14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 2.50    
6  HANDSOME JOANIE Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  TINA'S SONG Jan20 Dec03 Oct19 Sep28 Jul22 (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
 
CT-2   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONTICELLO Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 Sep01 Jul22 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
2  AIR MEDAL Jan19 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 3.50    
3  POSTED Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov10 Oct12 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 2.50    
4  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov25 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 4.50    
5  MASTER YOO Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 Nov25 (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
6  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 Sep30 Aug20 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 117 4.00 41% 1.50    
7  SPECTACULO Feb08 Jan07 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-3   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASIN CHAPIN Dec17 Nov29 Oct14     (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
2  RUNAWAY ROAD         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
3  FROSTY THE BULL Jun24 May19 May07 Apr08 Feb25 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 ★    
4  FLASH OF DAY Jan27 Dec09 Apr29 Apr08 Apr02 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS GET REVENGE Feb02 Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 Jun02 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 117 6.00    
6  TRICKY STRONG Feb02 Jan05 Aug20 Jul17   (dollinger-sthr)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
7  MY SLICK NICK Jan27 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 (sandoval mich)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
8  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Oct28 Oct01 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
9  GEM DANCER Feb10 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00    
 
CT-4   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALLY THERE Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  MISS COREY Jan27 Jan07 Dec19 Dec03 Nov23 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
3  CODAS HONOR Feb04 Jan19 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  AWESOME INCENTIVE Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Oct29 Oct19 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
5  MIZZEN Jan27 Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 Oct12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  ROSELEE Jan25 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
7  SOME IS NINE Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 Oct27 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
8  HELLUVA LADY Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug13 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
 
CT-5   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGGIE'S GIRL         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MAGINOT LINE by FIRST DEFENCE)
2  GREY FLAMINGO Jan06         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FLAMINGO KEY by INCLUDE)
3  LOVE OF GRACE Jan26         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 22% 3.40    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  SMOKIN LADY Jan26 Jan06       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
5  S S CASINO GIRL         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SANDMAN'S GIRL by MONTBROOK)
6  JUBASLILBALLERINA Jan06         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jan06 Dec02       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MAKIN FAITH by MAKIN)
8  S S FOUR QUEENS         (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of ALASKA MISS by OFFICER)
9  STOWE PATROL         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWO STONESRBETTOR by BUSTIN STONES)
10  CARMELIZED Jan26 Jan06 Dec02     (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
11  OUR GREAT NOTION         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
SCR  POLISH THE DIAMOND Jan26 Jan06       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
 
CT-6   02/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS DRINKING Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  TOLLER Feb02 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 Sep30 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50    
3  IMPETUOUS Jan27 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 Aug12 (santillana )RAMGEET R 122 20.00 9% 10.10    
4  STAR LUCK Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov29 Nov03 (volpe john)LEWIS M 113 6.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Jan25 Nov26 Nov09 Sep01 Aug05 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  LOADED SNIPER Jan25 Jan14 Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 (frock l)CULLUM W 122 4.00    
7  WIZARD OF ODDS Jan27 Jan04 Nov30 Oct28 Oct05 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
SCR  FIT BUT FAT Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XANTHE Dec17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep23   (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 113 10.00    
2  TOBI WAN KENOBI Jan25 Dec14 Oct15     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
3  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jan07 Dec03 Nov23 Nov02 Oct08 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUNALDO Jan27         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 43% 1.30    
5  MISSIONARY Jan06 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15   (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
6  PINNACLE REEF Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Oct08 Sep14 (runco c)LEWIS M 111 15.00    
7  LITTLE ROO ROO Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
8  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 Sep14 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
CT-8   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BIRDIE Jan05 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
2  EXCUSES EXCUSES Jan26 Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 12.00    
3  VICTORY ROYALE Feb04 Jan21 Dec12 Dec04 Nov06 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  KOBE'S GIRL Dec31 Dec17 Nov30 Nov19 Oct08 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
5  CHANNEL SCENT Jan25 Jan12 Jul30 Jun23 Jun11 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
6  DYLADDIE Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5% 18.50    
7  LOVE TO ZOOM Feb01 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Oct01 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
8  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jan28 Dec09 Oct20 Jul28   (hayes kirsten)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WALK A FINE LINE Jan26 Jan05 Dec10 Nov18 Oct01 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
10  DECISIVE CAUSE Feb04 Jan19 Jan12 Dec08 Nov25 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep17   (knoblauch-perez)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.