Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-3   WIN (2/7/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $12.60 $2.60 26%
    EXA (2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-5 $34.20 $14.20 71%
    TRI (2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-5-7 $88.40 $28.40 47%
    SFT (2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8)-(2/7/6/5/8) 120 $1.00 $120  6-5-7-2 $145.60 $25.60 21%
CT-4   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    DD (2/7/6/5/8)-(3/7/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-3 $80.80 $50.80 169%
CT-5   DD (3/7/1)-(9/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-9 $25.80 $7.80 43%
    PK3 (2/7/6/5/8)-(3/7/1)-(9/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00  6-3-9 $109.10 $64.10 142%
CT-6   PK3 (3/7/1)-(9/3/2)-(11/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-9-11 $50.80 $23.80 88%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR 3 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 8% 11.30 1.50 W
MR CHANCE ROMANCE 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 55% 0.80 0.80 P
SEATTLE SAILAWAY 6 7 713½ 715¾   5 36 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 27.70  
GET OFF MY CLOUD 4 4 44 4   4 4 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 7% 13.60 9.90  
ORANGEBURG 1 2 3 3   3 5 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 14.60  
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE 7 5 6 6   611½ 615¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 6% 15.30 12.70  
ROCKET'S CASTLE 5 6 55 5   713 735¼ (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 8.00 45.30  
 
CT-2   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDWHITEANDTACOS 4 3 11 1   18 112½ (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 1.50  
PRUSSIAN BLUE 3 4 32 45   28 212½ (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 8.00 15.60 P
TOUT ENSEMBLE 1 2 6 6   3 312¾ (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50 S
IF THEN 8 6 43 35   4 414 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 9.90  
HELLUVA LADY 6 7 5 5   6 521½ (laguna hom)RIVERA R 113 15.00 18% 4.70 20.80  
I B NASTY 2 1 9 913½   814¾ 623 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 47.70  
GOSSIPING 9 9 7 810½   917¾ 725½ (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 78.30  
KOBE'S GIRL 5 5 21 2   5 827 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 22% 3.60 5.50  
DECISIVE CAUSE 7 8 8 7   713¼ 928¼ (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 12.00 24.10  
 
CT-3   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:143     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURTLE DOVE 6 7 1nk 1½   1½ 1¾ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SHE'S HAD ENOUGH by STAY THIRSTY)
BAD LINEAGE 5 6 76 6   4 2¾ (perry e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 5% 19.00 4.30 P
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
LOVETHEBAND 7 5 2nk 2½   2½ 3¾ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.70 S
  (by BANDBOX out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
ZIGGY STARDUST 2 2 43 3   3 4 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.60 41% 1.50 1.20  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
DR RENDEZVOUS 4 4 5 5   5 5 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 21.20  
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
CRUISE ON BY 1 1 8 810   7 612¾ (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 20.70  
  (by JUBA out of THREE ARCH BAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
CHARITABLE WINDSOR 8 8 3½ 43   68 717½ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CHARITABLE BOUND by CHARITABLE MAN)
LAST OF BAD BOYS 3 3 65 710   811½ 820¾ (hamlin kathleen)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 42.40  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  KING OF LUCK               (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-4   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHEN'S RIDGE 3 3 2nk 1½   1nk 1½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.00 36% 1.80 5.20 W
HIS ROYAL G 1 1 1nk 41   3.2 2½ (magana jos)RIVERA R 115 10.00 8% 11.30 5.00 DQ↓9
NOTION TO TAPIT 4 9 7 31   4¾ 3 (serey ma)BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00 5.70  
A FAREWELL YODEL 6 5 8 8   7 4 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00 40.90  
BOP MARLEY 9 7 4¾ 2½   2nk 5 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 20.40  
10  LEG UP 10 8 6 7   6 6 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 2.30  
ROLL DEM BONES 7 6 5 52   5 7 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 32% 2.20 3.30  
ROCK FILE 2 4 10 97   9 8 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 10.00 50.40  
STRINGFELLA 5 2 3.2 6   8 910¾ (ramos )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 9.70  
BABY BULLDOG 8 10 9 10   10 1015 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00 34.90  
 
CT-5   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:143     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA BABY 9 9 5 43   2nk 1 (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.20 56% 0.80 0.80 W
IHEARTRAINACOMN 8 8 2½ 22   34 2 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 5.20  
IT'S A REAL HONOR 6 7 1½ 12   1nk 3 (perez ernesto)WOODSON H 122 15.00 30.40 S
DENALI D'ORO 3 1 99 912¾   9 4 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 17% 4.80 8.10  
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 1 3 6 5   5 510¾ (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00 6.60  
APPEALING ROAD 4 4 8 7   8 612¼ (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 116 6.00 13.30  
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 5 5 43 6   6 713½ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00 10.30  
GOLDEN SALLY 7 6 31 32   46 816¼ (boggs jo)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00 36.30  
AWESOME MOON 2 2 7 8   7 916½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
 
CT-6   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:222 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  COWGIRL ATTITUDE 9 1 1½     15 1 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 48% 1.10 1.80 W
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of COWGIRL CUT by JUMP START)
CARMELIZED 7 2 2½     25 2 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00 11.10  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
OPPO TACO 3 8 43     37 3 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 5% 18.40 2.50 S
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
SMOKIN LADY 6 4 3     47 4 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 5.10  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
GHOST OF ALCINA 2 7 76     59 5 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 22.10  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
UNALTERED 1 9 9     811¼ 6 (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 31.90  
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
HARLAN'S VALENTINE 4 5 54     711¼ 7 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 5.20  
  (by ALDRIN out of HARLAN'S TREASURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
POLISH THE DIAMOND 5 6 6     611 8 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 12.00  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
10  LIME STAR 8 3 89     915¾ 911½ (conn li)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 57.70  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
SCR  GALLANT CREED               (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
SCR  LUZIA               (greaves ve)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
SCR  UNUSUALLY LUCKY               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of UNUSUAL WINNER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
CT-7   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:214 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN KEY 5 1 1     15 1 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 2.40  
STRONG FIBER 1 4 55     46 2 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 22.00  
PENGUIN POWER 4 5 3     25 34 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 68% 0.50 0.90 S
BUBBA GRUMP 2 7 6     6 4 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 7% 14.00 3.70  
JEFFERSON NATIVE 7 3 2     3 5 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 13.10  
BLACK CANDY 6 2 44     5 6 (tomczak mark)CECIL Y 120 20.00 31.50  
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 3 6 78     7 7 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 20.10  
SCR  FIBER STRONG               (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
 
CT-8   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:222 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 1 9 2nk     1 1 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 4.00  
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS 2 10 7     5 2 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 6% 14.40 8.90 P
STOPWATCHSONNY 4 5 3.2     2 3 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 7% 12.80 5.90 S
BESTLA 9 4 10     7 44 (sandoval m)RIVERA R 113 12.00 18.70  
COWGIRL SHINE 8 1 5¾     4 5 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 35% 1.80 3.90  
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL 5 7 84     9 6 (jones mich)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 32.50  
TWIN CAUSE 3 8 4¼     3 76 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 11.30  
MARSANNE 7 2 1nk     6 8 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00 1.80  
10  SUPERSNAKE 10 3 9     10 9 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00 24.50  
JESS FOR KICKS 6 6 6     8 10 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 63.00  
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND               (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  C TWO               (atkins )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
SCR  GREAT DEVOTION               (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA               (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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