Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-2   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (2/7/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-4   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (11/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-7   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-8   Win (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGEBURG Apr20 Apr07 Mar02 Jan27 Jan12 (meehan el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
MR CHANCE ROMANCE Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Feb09 Jan11 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 Feb02 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 Dec08 Nov17 (sanderson wad)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 7% 13.60    
ROCKET'S CASTLE Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 8.00    
SEATTLE SAILAWAY Apr06 Mar10 Feb02 Dec16 Oct26 (stehr jos)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00    
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Apr07 Mar30 Mar18 Feb25 Feb15 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 6% 15.30    
 
CT-2   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUT ENSEMBLE Apr08 Mar25 Feb23 Jan19 Dec14 (viands gregor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
I B NASTY Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan26 (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 (lucas anthony)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 Dec09 Nov19 (dilodovico dam)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00    
KOBE'S GIRL Apr08 Mar31 Mar04 Feb16 Dec31 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
HELLUVA LADY Apr27 Feb16 Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 (laguna homer)RIVERA R 113 15.00 18% 4.70    
DECISIVE CAUSE Apr20 Mar30 Feb16 Feb04 Jan19 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
IF THEN Apr06 Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 (nazario ped)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
GOSSIPING Apr07 Mar30 Feb22 Jan28 Jan06 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUISE ON BY Mar24         (jackson ange)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
ZIGGY STARDUST Apr27 Apr08 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
LAST OF BAD BOYS Apr22 Mar31       (hamlin e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
DR RENDEZVOUS Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 Jan27   (contreras javier)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
BAD LINEAGE Apr20         (perry e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
TURTLE DOVE Apr20 Mar30 Mar16     (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
LOVETHEBAND Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15   (grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Apr22 Mar31       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING OF LUCK Apr29         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS ROYAL G May04 Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Oct02 (magana jose )RIVERA R 115 10.00 8% 11.30    
ROCK FILE Apr13 Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 (o'neill t)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 10.00    
MACHEN'S RIDGE Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 Dec14 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
NOTION TO TAPIT May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar25 Jan13 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
STRINGFELLA Apr01 Mar18 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (ramos ag)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
A FAREWELL YODEL Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Dec16 (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
ROLL DEM BONES Mar16 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec01 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
BABY BULLDOG Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Feb04 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
BOP MARLEY Apr20 Aug11 Jul29 May26 May05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 10.00    
10  LEG UP Apr13 Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50    
 
CT-5   05/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Apr08 Mar04 Feb16 Jan06 Dec02 (gazzier k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00    
AWESOME MOON May02 Apr15 Mar18 Mar02 Feb11 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
DENALI D'ORO Apr08 Mar11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct07 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
APPEALING ROAD Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Jan21 Jan06 (haynes ernest)RAMGEET R 116 6.00    
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 Feb24 Nov16 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
IT'S A REAL HONOR Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Mar01 Jul30 (perez ernesto)WOODSON H 122 15.00    
GOLDEN SALLY Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 (boggs joan)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Apr08 Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
JUBA BABY Apr29 Mar18 Nov24 Oct13 Sep22 (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
CT-6   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNALTERED         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
GHOST OF ALCINA Mar31         (greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
OPPO TACO         (walters dav)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  GALLANT CREED Apr20 Mar31       (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
HARLAN'S VALENTINE         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Apr20 Mar31 Mar09 Jan26 Jan06 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
SCR  UNUSUALLY LUCKY         (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SMOKIN LADY Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
CARMELIZED Apr20 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 Jan26 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
10  LIME STAR Apr20         (conn lind)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
11  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Apr28         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  LUZIA Mar31         (greaves vern)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG FIBER Jan12 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
BUBBA GRUMP Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 Jul27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 7% 14.00    
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Apr28 Apr07 Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
PENGUIN POWER Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  FIBER STRONG Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Jan12 Oct15 (runco c)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
GOLDEN KEY Feb02 Jan12 Nov24 Oct08 Sep14 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
BLACK CANDY Apr28 Mar30 Feb22 Feb11 Dec13 (tomczak mark)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Nov03 Oct15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 (dollinger-sth)RAMGEET R 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Apr20 Mar15 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 (brown a)RAMGEET R 122 5.00    
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Jun23 (walters l)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 6% 14.40    
TWIN CAUSE Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Dec14 Dec04 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
STOPWATCHSONNY Apr20 Apr06 Feb25 Dec07 Nov17 (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Feb11 Jan04 Dec17 Nov17 Apr13 (jones michae)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
JESS FOR KICKS Apr20 Feb23 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
MARSANNE Apr06 Mar04 Feb08 Jan25 Jan01 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00    
COWGIRL SHINE Mar31 Feb20 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
BESTLA Mar17 Mar04 Jan07 Apr28 Apr07 (sandoval mic)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
10  SUPERSNAKE Apr15 Mar30 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 (murtaugh a)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
SCR  GREAT DEVOTION Apr20 Mar30 Feb15 Jan04 Dec03 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND May04 May10 May03 Apr18 Mar05 (cuttino mar)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  C TWO Mar04 Feb12 Jan25 Dec29 Sep10 (atkins wi)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.