Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-3 $17.40 $9.40 118%
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2/3/1)-(7/5/2/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-3-7 $32.40 $8.40 35%
    SFT (7/5)-(7/5/2/3/1)-(7/5/2/3/1)-(7/5/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-3-7-2 $82.20 $34.20 71%
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $20.40 $8.40 70%
CT-5   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $18.00 $12.00 200%
    DD (7/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-5 $61.40 $49.40 412%
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/5)-(8/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-5-5 $70.60 $52.60 292%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICING 4 3 11 11   16 11 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 1.00 DQ↓4
NOID 3 4 34 3   3 21 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 14.10  
C R'S MANDATE 6 5 6 610½   5 3 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 4.70 P
HOT FUDGE SONDE 2 1 4 4   4 44 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 17% 5.00 5.70 S
JUBA'S NOTION 1 2 21 21   26 5 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50 30% 2.30 3.40  
HUMPTY GRUMPTY 5 6 5 5   611 610½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 15.70  
SMALL FIELD 7 7 715 725½   725 723¾ (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 19.60  
 
CT-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:163 1:44   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADARA 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1 12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.00 21% 3.80 1.40 W
ONLY GET'N BETTER 1 4 6 6 3 2 22 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 116 6.00 6.80  
NET WORTH 3 1 3.2 42 5 35 3 (jones mich)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.50 S
CRYPTIC CODE 4 5 7 810 6 56 4 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 14% 6.00 5.40  
CAN'T STOP MAXEY 6 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 45 510½ (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 12.00 18.40  
BIG REDWHITEBLUE 5 7 5 5 7 712¾ 628¼ (jones e)BAEZ M 117 10.00 7% 13.80 6.40  
PRINCE'S REWARD 7 6 4 31 4 612½ 736 (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00 24.10  
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 8 8 8 7 8 817¾ 843½ (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 11.50  
 
CT-3   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:143     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHEN'S RIDGE 4 3 11 1   11 1 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
AIR MEDAL 1 1 42 44   32 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.20 4.00 P
SPECTACULO 2 2 53 55   43 3 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 7.20  
IN JUBALATION 7 7 3 2   21 4 (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 6.20  
CHASE LIL ME 8 8 86 77   54 5 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 14.80  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 6 6 64 67   6 610¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 12.50  
PONTICELLO 3 5 7 89   89 710½ (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 34.20  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 5 4 21 32   75 818 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 27% 2.70 7.30  
SCR  MR. HOSTLER               (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:123     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE NIGHT MIKE 5 4 54 32   12 1 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 10% 9.20 1.80 W
SPANGLISH 3 2 4 4   3 2 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00 12.90 P
HONEYQUIST 7 5 1nk 1½   22 3 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.80 66% 0.50 0.80 S
PENGUIN PARADE 2 1 6 6   44 4 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 7.40  
TIMMY 4 6 7 75   67 512 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 35.30  
HAPPY YEARS 8 7 89 8   710 614¼ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 47.90  
SARGENT KOBE 1 3 2nk 5   57 718¼ (lane j)ADAMS L 113 15.00 41.00  
THUNDERINREADYRICK 6 8 3½ 2½   810½ 828¼ (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 20.80  
SCR  STRINGFELLA               (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDICULOUS 4 3 4 4   2 1 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 7% 13.50 8.00 W
UNCAPTURED KING 3 7 5 5   3 2 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 23.30  
AUBURN MILL 7 2 1½ 1½   1 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 44% 1.20 2.40 S
ROYAL THUNDER 5 4 3 3   4 43 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 22% 3.50 3.80  
SAG HARBOR 2 5 6 611½   6 511¾ (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 7.60  
FLAT CAT 6 6 2½ 2½   5 620 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 9.20  
ANTIPOISON 1 1 7100 7100   7100 7100 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 1.80  
SCR  ESPRESSO LUNGO               (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:221 :462       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 6 2 1½     11 1¾ (sigler ron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 11.70  
  (by JUBA out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  DUNCAN IDAHO 8 3 3     3 2¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 29% 2.50 0.30 P
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JAZZ WITH DENIS 5 4 2½     21 3 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 25.60 S
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of JAZLYNN C by GONE ASTRAY)
ALDARIGHTTRICKS 4 7 4     4 4 (lewis r)CECIL Y 122 20.00 5% 19.00 53.60  
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
DRUNK TEXT 1 9 5     5 58 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 22% 3.50 8.20  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of INTOXICATING BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
CHARITABLE WINDSOR 2 8 77     612 612¼ (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 23% 3.30 6.30  
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CHARITABLE BOUND by CHARITABLE MAN)
LAST OF BAD BOYS 3 6 9     712 713¼ (hamlin )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 53.30  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
COURT TUDOR 7 5 8     913¾ 813½ (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 18.90  
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
12  CRUSH 'N RUN 9 1 67     813½ 915¼ (lewis w)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00 53.30  
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  ONE CANDY CASTLE               (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CANDY ONE by YANKEE VICTOR)
SCR  ROAD PUNCH               (armstrong l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of LOLIBOP by BOP)
SCR  WINDSOR'S STAR               (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
 
CT-7   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Confucius Say Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COASTAL MISSION 10 8 21 1½   12 1½ (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00 3.30  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
NO CHANGE 1 2 10 710½   6 2½ (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00 8% 11.60 14.70 P
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SOCIAL CHIC 8 9 76 69   5 3 (runco c)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 20% 4.00 5.50 S
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FREE SAILIN 5 4 11 2½   32 4 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 4.00 3.50  
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of KELA'S PRIDE by KELA)
MUAD'DIB 4 1 3 3   22 5 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 44% 1.30 2.60  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LATE IN THE GAME 2 3 97 1011¾   8 6 (sigler g)LARROSA G 123 20.00 54.00  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CHARITABLE CARLY by CHARITABLE MAN)
JUNGLE BEAST 7 5 53 45   4 77 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 29.10  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
NICO 9 7 6 59   7 8 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 5.00 5% 18.80 5.60  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
CANDY INVASION 3 10 87 810¾   911¾ 913¼ (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 15.00 64.20  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
ROYAL PAIN 6 6 4 911¾   1017¼ 1023¾ (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 12.00 19.80  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of ROYAL PASSAGE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  BUBBA GRUMP               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 12.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SHESAGRUMPTOO by LUFTIKUS)
 
CT-8   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CANDY BIZ 6 1 11 1   2nk 1¼ (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 8.80  
10  HAPPY CHAMP 10 10 4 2   1nk 2¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.00 P
LADDIE LIAM 5 8 5 6   5 3 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 13% 6.60 8.70 S
EXCALIBUR 1 5 8 8   7 4 (dove jr)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 9.50  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 3 2 63 7   6 5 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 5.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
FORT FORTITUDE 4 3 7 43   3 67 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 9% 10.40 37.80  
KING NATE 7 6 10 1011¼   9 7 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 122 10.00 11.10  
TOP HAT TREASON 9 9 9 9   8 8 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00 55.80  
CLOSE THE CASE 2 4 31 32   4 99 (reynolds jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.60 3.30  
BEYOND THE VICTORY 8 7 21 53   1014¾ 1025 (libertini jason)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 10% 9.40 22.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.