Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-4   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-5   Win (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (10/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-7   Win (4/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (10/3/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S NOTION Apr01 Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (petty kristy)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
NOID Apr01 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct14 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00    
ICING Mar18 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 (cash norman)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60    
HUMPTY GRUMPTY Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
C R'S MANDATE Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 Dec10 Nov12 (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SMALL FIELD Sep07 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul27 (huffman g)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY GET'N BETTER Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 Dec08 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 116 6.00    
ADARA Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
NET WORTH Apr10 Feb24 Jan21     (jones michae)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
CRYPTIC CODE Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Nov16 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
BIG REDWHITEBLUE Apr08 Mar08 Feb27 Jan09 Dec19 (jones e)BAEZ M 117 10.00 7% 13.80    
CAN'T STOP MAXEY Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Dec21   (joy kevin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 12.00    
PRINCE'S REWARD Jan20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jun18 (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR MEDAL Mar25 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Dec08 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.20    
SPECTACULO Mar25 Feb16 Feb08 Jan07 Nov05 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
PONTICELLO Mar25 Feb16 Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
MACHEN'S RIDGE Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
JEFFERSON SECURITY Apr06 Mar02 Jan11 Sep24 Sep03 (grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
IN JUBALATION Jan07 Sep22 Apr27     (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50    
CHASE LIL ME Mar25 Feb25 Feb08 Jan13 Nov30 (collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  MR. HOSTLER Mar25 Feb25 Nov04 Oct18 Oct11 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGENT KOBE Mar31 Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec14 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Mar18 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Nov11 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
SPANGLISH Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Oct14 Sep08 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
TIMMY Apr01 Feb25 Jan26 Dec08 Nov16 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
ONE NIGHT MIKE Mar18 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Nov16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 10% 9.20    
THUNDERINREADYRICK Apr13 Feb22 Feb08 Jan07 Dec16 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
HONEYQUIST Mar31 Dec03 Nov12 Oct08 Sep24 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.80 66% 0.50    
HAPPY YEARS Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
SCR  STRINGFELLA Apr01 Mar18 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (ramos mig)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIPOISON Apr14 Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 (sanchez-salom)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00    
SAG HARBOR Apr01 Mar11 Feb08 Dec14 Oct14 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
UNCAPTURED KING Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Dec09 Oct29 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
SCR  ESPRESSO LUNGO Mar19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
RIDICULOUS Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
ROYAL THUNDER Apr01 Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
FLAT CAT Jun04 May14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
AUBURN MILL Apr01 Mar11 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 44% 1.20    
 
CT-6   04/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINDSOR'S STAR Mar24 Jan06 Dec14 Nov05 Oct12 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
SCR  ROAD PUNCH Mar31         (armstrong l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
DRUNK TEXT         (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Mar31         (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
LAST OF BAD BOYS Mar31         (hamlin kathleen )MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS         (lewis r)CECIL Y 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK         (sigler ronal)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
COURT TUDOR Mar30 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27   (kirlew lenworth )RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
10  DUNCAN IDAHO         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
SCR  ONE CANDY CASTLE Mar30 Mar10       (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
12  CRUSH 'N RUN Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15   (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
 
CT-7   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Confucius Say Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CHANGE Mar11 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00 8% 11.60    
LATE IN THE GAME Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 Dec14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 123 20.00    
CANDY INVASION Apr08 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (petty kristy)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 15.00    
MUAD'DIB Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Jul15 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
FREE SAILIN Mar30 Feb23 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
ROYAL PAIN Mar31 Feb22 Feb08 Jan19 Dec16 (johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 12.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Mar16 Feb18 Jan07 Nov12 Oct08 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
SOCIAL CHIC Mar18 Feb09 Dec10 Nov03 Oct08 (runco c)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
NICO Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 Nov18 Nov03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 5.00 5% 18.80    
10  COASTAL MISSION Apr08 Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
SCR  BUBBA GRUMP Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 Jul27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 12.00    
 
CT-8   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCALIBUR Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 (dove kevi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
CLOSE THE CASE Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Nov24 (reynolds joan)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.60    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Mar31 Mar09 Feb17 Jan12 Nov16 (farrior anth)RIVERA R 115 5.00 14% 6.30    
FORT FORTITUDE Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
LADDIE LIAM Mar31 Jan27 Nov29 Oct22 Sep16 (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 13% 6.60    
MY CANDY BIZ Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 Nov17 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
KING NATE Apr02 Mar17 Jan28 Jan14 Dec24 (sillaman p)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
BEYOND THE VICTORY Mar31 Mar26 May15 Apr22 Apr02 (libertini j)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
TOP HAT TREASON Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
10  HAPPY CHAMP Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jun16 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.