Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $36.00 $12.00 50%
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-3-2 $52.10 $28.10 117%
    SFT (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-3-2-6 $9.52 $7.12 297%
PEN-2   DD (6/3/4/2)-(2/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-6 $26.60 $2.60 11%
PEN-3   EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $29.80 $17.80 148%
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(2/6/5)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-6-1/4/5 $28.30 $10.30 57%
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $61.20 $49.20 410%
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2-3 $75.40 $69.40 1157%
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  6-1/4/5-4 $20.80 $7.30 54%
    PK4 (6/3/4/2)-(2/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(3/4/2) 108 $0.50 $54.00  4-6-1/4/5-4 $148.90 $94.90 176%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:123 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMISHED 4 2 1½ 1nk 1 1nk 1 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 10% 8.50 5.10 W
SALTO DE TIGRE 3 4 4 3 2 2nk 2 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 19% 4.30 1.50 P
MIDNIGHT ACT 2 3 3 4 44 34 39 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 6% 15.80 4.10 S
TRENDING UP 6 6 65 6 6 45 410¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.00  
MOON WARRIOR 7 5 53 5 54 5 516¾ (salvaggio m)INIRIO J 120 6.00 21.80  
PURPLE SHIRT 1 7 7 711¼ 710¼ 614½ 626½ (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 120 20.00 74.10  
GLOBAL SENSATION 5 1 2½ 2nk 32 715 743 (stidham michae)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 5.40  
 
PEN-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS 6 1 2nk 1½   12 1¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 14% 6.20 1.30 W
AGAINST THE ODDS 1 5 5 4   22 2¼ (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 112 12.00 25.30  
TRUE GOLD 3 4 4 5   5 3 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 7.90  
BERHANU 5 2 3.2 2½   35 4 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 12% 7.60 13.70  
LONGTAIL 2 3 1nk 3½   45 58 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.30  
SPIN CYCLE 4 6 6 6   6 6 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 6.90  
 
PEN-3   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :472 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME 3 1 1 1   1 1 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 14% 6.30 0.70 W
SERENE WARRIOR 4 2 2 2   2 2 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 122 8.00 8% 11.40 16.40 P
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 2 3 4 34   3 310 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 1.60  
HELLO GRACIE 1 4 34 4   410½ 413 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 4.10  
SCR  MARVELLA NASTY               (farrior ant)INIRIO J 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SWEET AND MACHA               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PEN-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:14 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORECLOSURE 4 5 42 4¾ 1nk 1½ 1 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 25% 3.10 3.80 W
COUSIN BOB 2 1 2½ 1nk 2nk 3½ 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 13.90 6.80 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 2 52 2nk 3.2 2½ 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 25% 2.90 1.90 S
SWEEPIN HARD 1 6 6 6 6 5 44 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 19.90  
MR BOLDACIOUS 6 3 3 5 5 44 5 (salinas jos)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 2.60  
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 5 4 1½ 3½ 4¾ 6 619½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 3.70  
 
PEN-5   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES SIR ROBERT 9 2 2nk 12   15 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 1.90  
JUMPMASTER 1 9 72 7   3 2 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 32% 2.20 3.20 P
YES IT'S ROO 5 4 6 3   25 3 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 120 12.00 31.50  
CARGO SHIP 2 7 3.2 5   6 4 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 19% 4.40 7.90  
BOX OF CHOCOLATES 8 8 84 6   5 5 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 4.60  
FEDERAL CASE 7 1 9 9   810¾ 6 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 26.70  
SPIKES SHIRL 6 3 1nk 22   4 7 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 23.20  
MARTINKELLY 4 5 5¾ 4   7 811 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
ACT OF VALOR 3 6 4¾ 8   914¾ 919½ (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 20.00 63.20  
 
PEN-6   05/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:134 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADY'S MUNNY 6 2 1 1 1 15 110¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 14.40  
BUCK WILD 4 1 44 4 34 25 210¾ (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 109 15.00 14.30  
BUFF AND SHINE 8 4 2 2 2 38 319¼ (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8% 11.00 11.30 S
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 2 5 69 811¼ 710 712¼ 420 (cifarelli fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 29.90  
SLINGSHOT BOY 1 8 7 6 69 612 521½ (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 8.20  
SUMMER ASH 7 7 56 5 5 48 623 (salinas j)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50  
JACK SLYE 5 3 32 3 44 5 724 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 10% 9.00 4.20  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 3 6 8 7 812 814¾ 835¾ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 10.00 43.50  
 
PEN-7   05/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:484 1:14 1:402   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOTUM 1 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 15 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 0.80  
POLITICAL 6 4 7 76 44 25 2 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 14% 6.30 5.20 P
ALL TIME CLASSIC 3 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 311¾ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 33% 2.00 14.40 S
WHATA GUY 5 7 32 31 55 411½ 417¼ (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 6.80  
VISHNU 2 5 5 54 68 613½ 522½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 26.00  
LTL BEAR SALOON 4 1 42 42 3 512 623¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 17% 5.00 9.10  
ANTE UP ALEX 7 6 6 66 711 724½ 740¼ (simone mich)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.00 5% 17.50 5.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.