Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(2/6/5)-(4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/6)-(3/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/4/2)-(1/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(7/5/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/8/9)-(1/4/2/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(3/4/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/2)-(3/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURPLE SHIRT Mar29 Mar17 Feb15 Jan07 Dec14 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 120 20.00    
2  MIDNIGHT ACT Apr20 Apr01 Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 6% 15.80    
3  SALTO DE TIGRE May04 Apr20 Apr01 Mar25 Feb03 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  FAMISHED Mar30 Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 Dec15 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 10% 8.50    
5  GLOBAL SENSATION Mar11 Feb17 Dec31 Nov27 Sep07 (stidham michae)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
6  TRENDING UP Apr20 Mar22 Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  MOON WARRIOR May04 Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 Jan18 (salvaggio m)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAINST THE ODDS Apr19 Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan20 (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 112 12.00    
2  LONGTAIL Apr28 Mar17 Mar03 Dec30 Dec14 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  TRUE GOLD Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
4  SPIN CYCLE Apr19 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Dec13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
5  BERHANU Apr19 Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  I SEE THE STARS Apr28 Mar30 Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-3   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARVELLA NASTY Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 (farrior ant)INIRIO J 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  HELLO GRACIE Apr28 Apr20 Feb24 Feb15 Jan25 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
3  FIVE DAYS IN MAY May04 Feb23 Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50    
4  SHATTER ME Apr21 Mar31 Mar09 Feb15 Jan18 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  SWEET AND MACHA Dec28 Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 Aug12 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
6  SERENE WARRIOR May04 Mar31 Mar09 Feb02 Jan11 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
PEN-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 Dec13 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
2  COUSIN BOB Apr26 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 13.90    
3  BLUEBERRY MASH Apr26 Mar24 Mar03 Feb01 Jan18 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  FORECLOSURE Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 Jan13 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
5  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Apr27 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 Nov16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00    
6  MR BOLDACIOUS May05 Apr26 Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 (salinas jos)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50    
 
PEN-5   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPMASTER Apr27 Mar23 Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
2  CARGO SHIP Apr19 Mar16 Feb01 Jan18 Dec30 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  ACT OF VALOR Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Jan20 Dec09 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
4  MARTINKELLY Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 Jan17 Dec06 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  YES IT'S ROO Apr19 Mar22 Feb13 Jan27 Dec12 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 120 12.00    
6  SPIKES SHIRL Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
7  FEDERAL CASE Apr19 Mar23 Feb28 Feb20 Jan25 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
8  BOX OF CHOCOLATES Apr01 Feb12 Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 ★    
9  YES SIR ROBERT Apr20 Mar12 Feb24 Jan21 Jan07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   05/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLINGSHOT BOY Mar24 Mar02 Feb17 Dec30 Dec09 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00    
2  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Apr27 Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 Dec07 (cifarelli fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Apr27 Apr19 Mar31 Mar15 Feb01 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 10.00    
4  BUCK WILD May04 Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Jan26 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 109 15.00    
5  JACK SLYE Mar15 Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 Oct23 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 10% 9.00    
6  ADY'S MUNNY Apr19 Mar01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
7  SUMMER ASH May04 Mar17 Mar01 Feb02 Jan20 (salinas j)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  BUFF AND SHINE Apr27 Mar22 Jan13 Dec30 Nov18 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-7   05/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTOTUM Apr27 Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Jan11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
2  VISHNU Apr21 Mar17 Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
3  ALL TIME CLASSIC Apr21 Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
4  LTL BEAR SALOON Apr21 Mar15 Feb22 Jan13 Dec28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
5  WHATA GUY Apr20 Apr05 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
6  POLITICAL May05 Apr12 Mar24 Feb22 Jan20 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
7  ANTE UP ALEX May05 Apr20 Mar29 Mar06 Feb22 (simone mich)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.00 5% 17.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.