The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2 2 1 $17.20 $17.20 5.20
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-2-1 3 0 $6.40 -3.00
PEN-2   Win (2/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $14.40 -8.00
    Exacta (2/6/8/10)-(2/6/8/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $56.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/6/8/10)-(2/6/8/10)-(2/6/8/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-6 3 0 $61.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(2/6/8/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-7 2 0 $67.60 -24.00
PEN-3   Win (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.00 -8.00
    Exacta (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-9 2 0 $51.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-9-7 3 0 $78.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/6/8/10)-(5/6/8/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 7-1 2 0 $190.40 -32.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(2/6/8/10)-(5/6/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-7-1 3 0 $134.80 -24.00
PEN-4   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-9 2 0 $116.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-9-7 3 0 $146.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (5/6/8/9)-(4/6/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-8 2 0 $96.20 -32.00
    Pick Three (2/6/8/10)-(5/6/8/9)-(4/6/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 7-1-8 3 0 $460.45 -32.00
PEN-5   Win (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $63.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-7 2 0 $265.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-7-3 3 0 $192.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7/8)-(1/3/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 8-5 2 0 $469.40 -32.00
    Pick Three (5/6/8/9)-(4/6/7/8)-(1/3/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 1-8-5 3 0 $637.55 -32.00
PEN-6   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $21.00 $21.00 15.00
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $91.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-3 3 0 $82.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 0 $420.40 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/6/7/8)-(1/3/6/7)-(3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-5-4 3 0 $1652.85 -24.00
PEN-7   Win (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-5 2 1 $13.20 $13.20 -10.80
    Trifecta (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-5-4 3 0 $16.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-1 2 1 $74.60 $74.60 50.60
    Pick Three (1/3/6/7)-(3/4/6)-(1/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-4-1 3 0 $124.60 -24.00
PEN-8   Win (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
    Exacta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-3 2 1 $36.80 $36.80 12.80
    Trifecta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-3-5 3 1 $80.90 $80.90 56.90
    Daily Double (1/5/6/7)-(2/3/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-6 2 1 $28.40 $28.40 -3.60
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(1/5/6/7)-(2/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-1-6 3 1 $62.95 $62.95 38.95

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:243 :481 1:131 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL CAT 5 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 12 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 11% 8.20 2.80 W
WILL TAKE ROSES 2 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ 22 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 39% 1.50 0.80 P
EARLY FROST 1 3 4 4 3 33(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 3.50  
PSYCHE 4 5 31 3 4 48 4(cooper stacey)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 24% 3.20 8.50  
DALLAS 3 6 613½ 516½ 514½ 513 510¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 29.40  
FAVORITE DOLL 6 1 5 6100 6100 6100 6100 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 10.00 30.40  
 
PEN-2   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:581         :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTY MAC 6 2 2½ 2   1nk 11 (rogers ronald )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 6.20  
WISE CHOICE 2 3 5 5   421 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 38% 1.60 2.60 P
WEST ABBOTT 5 4 32 3   32 3(stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 22% 3.60 2.00 S
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 1 6 6 6   54(agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 11.80  
KAZ MUSIC 4 7 7 7   75(sinnefia paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00 4.80  
10  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 8 1 1½ 1   2nk 65 (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00 9% 9.70 5.20  
BIG SIS NIC 7 5 43 44   67(murtough step)INIRIO J 121 12.00 8% 11.40 27.80  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 3 8 8 8   813½ 814¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 49.00  
SCR  PAULIES ANGEL               (bond bren)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
SCR  RACE N RETURN               (harigeorgiou )VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 20.00    
SCR  SEAP               (merryman michael)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
 
PEN-3   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:221 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY MOLY MOSES 1 7 3 4   33 1hd (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 5.50  
RUNAHOLIC 8 1 2½ 21   22hd (salvaggio mar)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 18% 4.50 1.00 P
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 6 2 1½ 11   131 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 3.80  
CITY OF GOD 5 4 52 3   44 4(kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 52% 0.90 5.40  
ALWAYS THERE 7 5 65 6   510 5(mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
WHAT'S HIS NAME 4 6 78 712½   612 6(crane clovis)INIRIO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
SENSE OF IRELAND 3 8 8 816½   818 713 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00 18.60  
FINE FINE 2 3 42 5   715 814¼ (crane clovis)CORA D 121 6.00 13.00  
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS               (aguirre an)BUTTERFLY L 121 8.00    
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY               (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 122 30.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT               (beattie todd )INIRIO J 121 12.00    
 
PEN-4   06/16/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:24 :49 1:132 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG GEM 8 4 4 4 31 114 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 9% 10.00 4.10 W
SASSY MARTINI 9 8 53 52 4 43 24 (beattie sande)INIRIO J 120 12.00 11.10  
KLAYTON'S KANDY 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 334 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 65% 0.50 1.00 S
MELODIA 4 7 8 8 85 67 4(zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 35.70  
TEACHER DRAMA 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 25(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 23.30  
DRIVEN BY SPEED 1 2 6 73 74 767 (milian j)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 3.30  
POLISHED GAL 6 5 32 31 5 57(mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 3 9 914 910 97 88(miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 111 20.00 53.00  
GLOSSY MADRINA 5 6 7 6 64 910¼ 913¾ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00 59.70  
SCR  ALWAJD               (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 12.00    
SCR  BECKON               (merryman michael)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
SCR  LADY BREXIT               (pattershall m)VASQUEZ WILFRED 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:214 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY TREAT 5 7 710½ 7   51½ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 117 12.00 30.80  
MITROPANOS 7 5 42 2nk   1nk 2½ (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 5% 18.90 1.20 P
BLINDING LIGHT 3 6 6 5   33 3(engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.70 S
KISS THEM DEADLY 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 4(sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 36% 1.80 4.90  
GET DOWN BROWN 2 3 3 4   454 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 6.00 11.00  
GIUSEPPE 4 1 2nk 3.2   6616½ (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 18.20  
SHY DA RUNNER 6 4 5 6   710¼ 720½ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
 
PEN-6   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:221 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO TIGRESS 4 2 1 1   11(moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 15% 5.70 9.50 W
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 1 3 2 2   22(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 3.30  
FIELD LETTERS 3 6 4 3   33(aristone phil)DE KEMICH 117 2.00 35% 1.90 1.90 S
HIT A HOMER HONEY 5 1 33 44   4410 (miller a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 8.50  
BEAUTIFUL TIZ 6 4 5 58   512½ 511½ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 117 1.80 26% 2.90 1.50  
ARCTICA 2 5 68 6   613 612 (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00 22.30  
 
PEN-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:223 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CANNONBALL 1 1 1½ 1½   12 12 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.60 W
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 5 4 3½ 41   22 22 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 23% 3.30 2.00 P
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 4 6 5 5   32 3(stites flint )INIRIO J 120 3.00 4.30  
LIONESQUE 6 3 4¾ 2½   43 4(cooper stacey)CORA D 124 8.00 6% 15.90 9.00  
PEAKY BLINKERS 3 2 2½ 3½   559 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 7.70  
BUSTER BRUNO 7 5 6 6   6610¼ (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
D BLACK MAMBA 2 7 7 710½   711½ 717¾ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00 34.40  
 
PEN-8   06/16/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
:241 :48 1:131 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTY'S BOY 6 3 5 4 22 1nk 1(stites flint )INIRIO J 122 3.50 20% 4.10 3.70 W
C C'S WARRIOR 3 1 1½ 1 12 2nk 2(mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 15% 5.90 4.10 P
EDICT 5 4 42 33 43 33(graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 23% 3.40 3.40 S
THE GREAT CASBY 1 7 76 710½ 710 612½ 417¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 13.00  
BERHANU 7 6 6 6 58 511½ 518¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 22.90  
FLAT OUT FLASHY 2 5 2½ 2 3 4618¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.20  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 4 2 32 5 610 714½ 726¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 10.00 40.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.