Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/6/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/6/10/8)-(6/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/6/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8)-(2/6/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/10/8)-(6/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/10/8)-(6/9/5/8)-(7/8/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/5/8)-(6/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/5/8)-(7/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5/8)-(7/8/6/4)-(3/1/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/4)-(3/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/4)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6)-(3/6/4)-(1/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/5/6/7)-(5/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(5/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY FROST Jun02 May06 Mar31 Mar23 Feb24 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50    
2  WILL TAKE ROSES May26 May06 Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
3  DALLAS Mar18 Feb25 Jan14 Dec28 Dec02 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
4  PSYCHE Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 (cooper stac)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  MUSICAL CAT Jun02 May10 Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
6  FAVORITE DOLL May19 Apr28 Mar31 Mar23 Mar03 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Feb08 Jan20 Dec21 Nov08 Oct24 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00    
2  WISE CHOICE May25 May11       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
3  TRAJEC HOLIDAY May11 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00    
SCR  RACE N RETURN May19 May10 Apr20 Apr06 Nov16 (harigeorgio)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 20.00    
5  KAZ MUSIC May25         (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00    
6  WEST ABBOTT May12 Apr20 Feb23     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  SHORTY MAC Aug17         (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00    
8  BIG SIS NIC Aug06         (murtough st)INIRIO J 121 12.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  SEAP Jun09 May25 Apr15 Feb24 Feb17 (merryman micha)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
10  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Apr20 Mar10 Jan27     (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  PAULIES ANGEL May29 May08       (bond br)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
 
PEN-3   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY MOLY MOSES May23 Mar13       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
2  FINE FINE         (crane clovis)CORA D 121 6.00    
3  SENSE OF IRELAND May05         (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY Mar01 Jan09 Dec09 Nov09 Sep27 (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 122 30.00    
5  WHAT'S HIS NAME         (crane clovi)INIRIO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CITY OF GOD May26 Apr21 Feb02     (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  WARRIOR'S CAUSE May26 May11 Nov09     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
8  ALWAYS THERE May26 May05 Mar31 Sep13 Sep06 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUNAHOLIC May25 May04 Apr13 Jul09 Jun27 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS May04 Apr16 Mar31     (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 121 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT         (beattie tod)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
 
PEN-4   06/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVEN BY SPEED May31 May14 Oct19 Sep23 Aug27 (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50    
2  TEACHER DRAMA May24 May04 Mar17 Mar08 Feb02 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jun01 May12 May04 Apr08 Mar31 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 111 20.00    
4  MELODIA May26 Apr27 Mar31 Jan26 Dec30 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GLOSSY MADRINA May19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00    
6  POLISHED GAL Dec16 Sep23 Sep01 Jul29 Jul17 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  KLAYTON'S KANDY May27 May06 Nov06 Oct20 Oct13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
8  STRONG GEM Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
9  SASSY MARTINI Jun02 May05 Apr21 Dec01 Nov05 (beattie san)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SCR  LADY BREXIT May31 Feb06 Jan11 Nov21 Oct26 (pattershall )ROLDAN FELISHA 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAJD Jun01 May05 Apr20 Apr12 Feb17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 12.00    
SCR  BECKON Jun03 May11 Oct30 Sep16 Aug19 (merryman micha)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
 
PEN-5   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS THEM DEADLY Jul22 Jul01       (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  GET DOWN BROWN May26 May10 Apr28 May11 Apr08 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
3  BLINDING LIGHT May06 Apr15 Jan14 Nov04 Oct06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  GIUSEPPE May19 Mar31 Feb24     (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
5  STRAWBERRY TREAT Apr26 Mar29 Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 117 12.00    
6  SHY DA RUNNER May26 May05 Mar28 Mar02 Feb02 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MITROPANOS May08 Mar31 Mar13 Feb08   (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 5% 18.90    
 
PEN-6   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWER'S FORTUNE May25 May04 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50    
2  ARCTICA May25 May04 Apr19 Mar22 Mar02 (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00    
3  FIELD LETTERS May31 May16 May03 Apr26 Mar17 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  UNO TIGRESS Jul08 Jun02 May13 Apr21 Mar09 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 15% 5.70    
5  HIT A HOMER HONEY May25 May12 Nov25 Nov14 Oct12 (miller a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Apr05 Mar25 Mar08 Feb26 Feb05 (maymo j)RUIZ ELISEO 117 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jun01 Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  D BLACK MAMBA May24 May05 Apr25 Mar29 Feb15 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
3  PEAKY BLINKERS May24 May05 Apr20 Feb17 Jan18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR May18 Apr28 Mar30 Jan25 Dec28 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 3.00    
5  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jun01 May10 Apr26 Feb17 Jan20 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  LIONESQUE Jun01 May19 May04 Feb23 Jan20 (cooper stacey)CORA D 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
7  BUSTER BRUNO May25 Apr26 Apr10 Mar08 Feb20 (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-8   06/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT CASBY May26 Mar29 Feb24 Feb02 Jan18 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
2  FLAT OUT FLASHY Apr26 Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 Dec30 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  C C'S WARRIOR Jun02 May12 Apr28 Oct04 Sep07 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
4  DIGGERS DIAMOND May24 May05 Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 (geist w)BAKER J 122 10.00    
5  EDICT (ARG) May24 May12 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  PATTY'S BOY May24 May06       (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  BERHANU May17 Apr19 Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.