The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $83.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4-2 3 0 $162.50 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $17.00 $17.00 5.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5-6 3 0 $20.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-2 2 1 $50.20 $50.20 32.20
PEN-3   Win (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-2 2 1 $62.60 $62.60 38.60
    Trifecta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-2-1 3 0 $149.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-6 2 1 $12.20 $12.20 -11.80
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-2-6 3 1 $37.50 $37.50 19.50
PEN-4   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-2 2 0 $14.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2-3 3 0 $13.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-6 2 0 $11.40 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 2-6-6 3 0 $9.15 -18.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
    Exacta (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $23.60 $23.60 11.60
    Trifecta (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1-6 3 0 $28.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 0 $7.20 -18.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-6-2/5 3 0 $13.35 -18.00
PEN-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 1 $10.20 $10.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2-1 3 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
    Daily Double (1/5/7)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-3 2 1 $17.80 $17.80 -0.20
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/5/7)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 6-2/5-3 3 0 $6.85 -13.50
PEN-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.40 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $15.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5-3 3 0 $41.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-4 2 0 $17.60 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/5/7)-(1/2/3)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 2/5-3-4 3 0 $13.80 -13.50

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:244 :484 1:14 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE SUCCESS 1 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 11(ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.70 6.70 W
FOLE'S NOTION 4 4 31 31 31 22(pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50 5.30  
RADIEUX 2 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 33(catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 3.20  
LINGFIELD PARK 3 6 4 5 5 55 4(schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70 3.50  
TRIBAL NOTION 6 1 5 4 4 45 510½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 9% 10.00 1.40  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 5 2 6 6 6 6611 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 20.60  
 
PEN-2   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:224 :48 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLIEANNE 2 5 6 44   32 1(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 24% 3.10 0.80 W
HELLO GRACIE 5 3 1nk 1   12(johnston rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 8.00 12% 7.00 8.60 P
DIAMONDS N DENIM 6 1 4¾ 2   234 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 4.40  
TILTED TIARA 3 6 5 34   46 4(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 35% 1.90 5.50  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 1 4 2nk 5   59 516¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 21.60  
RUN LAURA RUN 4 2 3.2 66   611 617¼ (king lawrence)INIRIO J 120 2.50 4.20  
 
PEN-3   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:222 :472 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 6 6 4 5   22 1hd (jacobson davi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 32% 2.10 1.70 W
KHAKI JACK 2 2 2½ 1nk   12 2hd (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90 P
DATHOSS 1 4 32 3   43¼ (arce josue)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8.40  
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 3 7 54 4   543 (padilla-precia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 41% 1.50 2.10  
ZILLION 5 5 77 6   65(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 6.90  
CASH IN A FLASH 7 1 1½ 2nk   32 6(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
CONDITION ONE 4 3 6 7   711¾ 717 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 3.80  
 
PEN-4   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:223 :594       1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 6 1 32 2nk   11(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 1.20  
FIELD LETTERS 2 6 5 4   22(aristone phil)DE KEMICH 117 3.50 34% 1.90 3.80 P
ONE TOUGH ROSE 3 5 2 1nk   33 37 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40 3.00 S
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 1 4 43 5   44 4(moreno-barban)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 5.00 10% 8.90 4.90  
HILL VALLEY 5 3 65 6   66 510 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 10.20  
SUSIKIN 4 2 1 3.2   56 619 (moreno tito)VARGAS L 124 10.00 22.40  
 
PEN-5   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:224 :454 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE PASS 4 2 11 1   110½ 114 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50 W
MOONSAFE 1 5 4 2   210½ 214 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 14% 6.00 4.60 P
STAND BY YOU 5 6 6 5   414½ 316½ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 2.50  
MIDTOWN ROSE 3 1 21 3   314 418 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 8.40  
MI CLEOPATRA AND I 6 4 31 4   517½ 519½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 14% 6.00 5.10  
TAPIT'S GIRL 2 3 52 69   618 624 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10.50  
SCR  BELLA PRIMA               (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   05/31/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:241 :491 1:143 1:423   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORASHI 3 4 32 32 3 31¼ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 2.50 14% 6.40 0.90 W
LUCKY RUNNING CAT 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2¼ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 29% 2.50 3.60 P
EYE ON THE CANDY 1 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3½ (alvarado diane)HIRALDO JOHN 117 1.80 25% 2.90 3.00 S
BENCH PRESS 5 6 55 4 4 47 47 (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 9.80  
CABAR SUL 4 1 4 5 59 55(kreiser timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 109 6.00 9.30  
SUPER REIGN 6 5 6 6 619 622¼ 626¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 29.30  
 
PEN-7   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:223 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE WEATHER 4 3 11 12   11(ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 2.70  
CARGO SHIP 5 1 21 22   22(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 14% 6.00 2.00 P
CALCULATED THINKIN 3 5 42 34   37 3(moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 18% 4.50 10.40 S
HASHTAG WINNING 6 2 54 45   4411½ (salinas jos)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 20.90  
WILD CARAMELO 1 4 3 5   511½ 518 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 39% 1.60 5.10  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 2 6 6 613½   623½ 636¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 2.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.