Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE SUCCESS May10 Nov23 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
RADIEUX May10 Mar22 Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
LINGFIELD PARK May10 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
FOLE'S NOTION Apr26 Apr13 Jan16 Dec13 Oct20 (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50    
COPPERHEAD CREEK May10 Apr21 Mar22 Mar10 May27 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00    
TRIBAL NOTION May18 Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 Oct18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 9% 10.00    
 
PEN-2   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS May04 Mar15 Feb10 Jan19 Nov25 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50    
BILLIEANNE May05 Apr24 Apr10 Mar28 Mar08 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
TILTED TIARA Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
RUN LAURA RUN May05 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 (king lawrence)INIRIO J 120 2.50    
HELLO GRACIE May17 Apr28 Apr20 Feb24 Feb15 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00 12% 7.00    
DIAMONDS N DENIM May18 Apr07 Mar18 Mar01 Feb04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00    
 
PEN-3   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATHOSS May15 Apr18 Mar29 Mar20 Mar08 (arce josue)SANCHEZ J 120 10.00    
KHAKI JACK May10 Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 Dec09 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Mar31 Mar02 Feb08 Dec21 Nov30 (padilla-precia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
CONDITION ONE May10 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan11 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
ZILLION May10 Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 Feb06 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Mar24 Mar15 Feb18 Feb11 Dec30 (jacobson davi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
CASH IN A FLASH May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Apr27 May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar15 (moreno-barban)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
FIELD LETTERS May16 May03 Apr26 Mar17 Mar01 (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 117 3.50 34% 1.90    
ONE TOUGH ROSE May12 Apr27 Mar24 Mar08 Feb24 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
SUSIKIN May12 Apr27 Mar31 Mar01 Feb09 (moreno tito)VARGAS L 124 10.00    
HILL VALLEY May12 Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 Nov18 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Apr27 Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00    
 
PEN-5   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSAFE May06 Mar02 Feb17 Jan13 Dec14 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  BELLA PRIMA May06 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 Apr20 (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
TAPIT'S GIRL Dec14 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Aug30 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
MIDTOWN ROSE May02 Apr18 Mar02 Dec12 Nov13 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
EMPIRE PASS Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Oct08 Sep17 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
STAND BY YOU May06 Apr02 Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50    
MI CLEOPATRA AND I May12 Aug17 Jul23 Jun10 May27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-6   05/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE ON THE CANDY Mar22 Mar31 Feb18     (alvarado dian)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 1.80 25% 2.90    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT May10 Aug25 Jul18 May09 Apr12 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
ORASHI May10 Apr19 Mar23 Mar10 Feb08 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
CABAR SUL May03 Jan12 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (kreiser timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 109 6.00    
BENCH PRESS May05 Mar16 Feb16 Jan13 Jun24 (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
SUPER REIGN Nov21 Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 Sep07 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
 
PEN-7   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD CARAMELO May06 Jan18 May26 May02   (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Apr27 Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50    
CALCULATED THINKIN Apr28 Mar16 Feb23 Feb15 Jan20 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
NICE WEATHER May12 Nov04 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00    
CARGO SHIP May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb01 Jan18 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
HASHTAG WINNING May06 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 (salinas jos)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.