Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 0.80
PEN-2   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $17.40  
PEN-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.40  
PEN-4   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
PEN-5   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 7.40
PEN-6   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $10.60  
PEN-7   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 1.40

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE JAY 3 5 1nk 1½ 12 14 1 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 63% 0.60 0.40 W
TRUE SUCCESS 6 4 5 56 4 45 2 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 13.10 P
LINGFIELD PARK 5 3 33 34 33 24 3 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 4.10 S
RADIEUX 1 2 2nk 2½ 22 34 48 (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 115 4.00 8.30  
UNCLE YUDI 2 6 68 610 68 611 518 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 27.10  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 4 1 44 46 5 510 620¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00 9.20  
 
PEN-2   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST MINUTE MARIO 6 1 2nk 1nk   12 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 7.70  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 3 5 3 3   22 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 2.60  
SPOOKY ONE 4 2 1nk 2nk   32 3 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 2.80  
BEAST OR FAMINE 5 6 5 44   46 46 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.00 41% 1.50 1.70  
KAZTHAROS 1 4 6 59   512 513¾ (synnefias dim)INIRIO J 120 15.00 18% 4.60 12.00  
EDWARD MADDEN 2 3 4 610   616 625¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 7.70  
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO               (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:414   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 3 32 31 2nk 13 12 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 1.70  
ORASHI 1 4 42 42 42 23 22 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.50 9% 9.60 2.60 P
LUCKY RUNNING CAT 3 5 5 54 5 34 37 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 2.40  
KAZ MUNNINGS 4 2 2 2½ 1nk 4 4 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 40% 1.50 5.90  
ON THE EDGE 5 1 1 1½ 3½ 5 59 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 25% 3.00 6.10  
SCR  MIGHTY MINION               (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 3.50    
 
PEN-4   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :464 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIMPEACHABLE 6 7 3½ 1½   1 1 (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70 W
KHAKI JACK 8 3 41 2½   2 2 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 15.50  
CONDITION ONE 1 5 6 7   56 3 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 2.00 S
ZILLION 3 8 7 55   4 4 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 30% 2.30 4.60  
MAJOR THOMAS 2 4 5 4   34 5 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 45.10  
CASH IN A FLASH 7 2 1nk 32   612 617¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 8% 10.90 7.20  
GET DOWN BROWN 5 1 2nk 65   713 719 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 8.00 23.60  
RAPID RESPONSE 4 6 8 815½   828 837¼ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 10.50  
 
PEN-5   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL CAT 5 3 44 3   31 1¾ (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50 10% 8.90 5.70 W
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 4 1 1½ 1½   2nk 2¾ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.60 P
MORE RANSOM 2 4 56 57   4 31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 4.10  
PLATINUM PROMISE 1 2 2½ 2½   1nk 4 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 25% 3.00 2.70  
IN GOOD TROUBLE 3 5 3 42   55 5 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 117 4.00 3.50  
SCR  BOUND BY TRUTH               (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00    
SCR  MIZ THE BEST               (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:152 1:422   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY HEIR 2 4 54 43 3 1nk 12 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 4.30  
THE MAN TO SEE 4 2 23 2 2nk 2nk 22 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 1.00  
COMBATING 5 6 6 6 4 4 3 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 6.40 S
SOUL PROVIDER 6 1 13 1 1nk 33 48 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00 8.60  
DR GREENTHUMB 1 3 3 5 617½ 542½ 580¼ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50 16% 5.20 4.20  
SEE OUT 3 5 44 3 510½ 6100 6100 (meister william )HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00 57% 0.80 8.00  
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN               (rathman elish)INIRIO J 119 6.00    
 
PEN-7   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:153 1:30   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HI HEELED WARRIOR 2 4 2 21 1 1 112¼ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 76% 0.30 0.70 W
HAZARD 4 2 34 3 2 2 212¼ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 4.30  
KIRRABON 5 5 5 510½ 511 512½ 317½ (hodsdon dani)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 15.00 20.50 S
SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM 1 3 1 11 3 310½ 421½ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 3.60  
RACE N RETURN 3 1 4 4 48 411½ 522 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 123 15.00 4.90  
SCR  APRILS LUCK               (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00    
SCR  DON'T ANNOY ME               (dunham ber)FLORES JR 123 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.