Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/2)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/6/1)-(6/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/3/7)-(6/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/1/7)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(4/1)-(4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIEUX Mar22 Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Sep15 (catalano m )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
2  UNCLE YUDI Apr26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Dec13 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
3  DEE JAY Mar22 Feb10 Jan13     (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 63% 0.60    
4  COPPERHEAD CREEK Apr21 Mar22 Mar10 May27 May06 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
5  LINGFIELD PARK Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec13 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 ★    
6  TRUE SUCCESS Nov23 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug25 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO Apr26 Apr10 Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
2  KAZTHAROS Mar24 Feb09 Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 (synnefias d)INIRIO J 120 15.00 18% 4.60    
3  EDWARD MADDEN Apr19 Mar29 Dec07 Nov14 Sep22 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 ★    
4  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Apr26 Feb17 Jan20 Dec20 Nov15 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
5  SPOOKY ONE Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 Dec28 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50    
6  BEAST OR FAMINE Jan28 Jan11 Feb06     (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  LAST MINUTE MARIO Apr19 Jan12 Dec18 Nov02 Oct15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORASHI Apr19 Mar23 Mar10 Feb08 Nov02 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
2  SKIMBLE SHANKS Apr19 Mar23 Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MINION Apr21 Apr07 Feb25 Feb10 Jan13 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 3.50    
4  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Aug25 Jul18 May09 Apr12 Feb16 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
5  KAZ MUNNINGS Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 Jan19 Dec21 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
6  ON THE EDGE Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Feb16 Jan11 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-4   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDITION ONE Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan11 Dec07 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
2  MAJOR THOMAS Dec07 Oct21 Feb01     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
3  ZILLION Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 Feb06 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  RAPID RESPONSE Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 Sep16 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
5  GET DOWN BROWN Apr28 May11 Apr08 Feb18   (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
6  UNIMPEACHABLE Feb21 Jan18 Nov15 Sep20 Aug24 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  CASH IN A FLASH Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 Nov19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
8  KHAKI JACK Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM PROMISE Apr26 Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 Jan12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  MORE RANSOM Mar22 Feb17 Feb09 Dec30 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
SCR  MIZ THE BEST Apr30 Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
4  IN GOOD TROUBLE Apr25 Mar25 Mar08 Jan27 Dec11 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 117 4.00    
SCR  BOUND BY TRUTH Apr26 Mar23 Jun16 May25 May12 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
6  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Mar23 Jan26 Nov30 Oct18 Sep04 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  MUSICAL CAT Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
PEN-6   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR GREENTHUMB Apr19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN Apr27 Feb25 Feb03 Nov30 Nov18 (rathman eli)INIRIO J 119 6.00    
3  SALTY HEIR Apr14 Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
4  SEE OUT Mar16 Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Nov20 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
5  THE MAN TO SEE Mar15 Feb15 Feb01 Dec03 Oct23 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00    
6  COMBATING Mar23 Feb15 Dec16 Oct07 Sep15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 ★    
7  SOUL PROVIDER Apr19 Apr03 Mar01 Feb01 Jan17 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T ANNOY ME Apr20 Mar01 Jan27 Jul15   (dunham b)FLORES JR 123 2.50    
SCR  APRILS LUCK Mar02 Feb09 Jan27 Dec27 Dec02 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00    
3  SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM Jan22 Dec16 Dec04     (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00    
4  HI HEELED WARRIOR Apr27         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 76% 0.30    
5  RACE N RETURN Apr20 Apr06 Nov16 Oct29 Aug04 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 123 15.00 ★    
6  HAZARD Mar17 Feb12 Nov16 Oct24 Oct05 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
7  KIRRABON Apr20 Mar10       (hodsdon da)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.