Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.54 $1.54 19%
ELP-3   DD (5/7/4/2)-(7/6/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-6 $27.72 $7.72 39%
ELP-4   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $14.70 $8.70 145%
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $65.30 $53.30 444%
    DD (7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-5 $38.46 $23.46 156%
    PK3 (5/7/4/2)-(7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-6-5 $68.30 $38.30 128%
ELP-5   DD (1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-3 $23.87 $8.87 59%
    PK3 (7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50  6-5-3 $63.56 $26.06 69%
    PK4 (5/7/4/2)-(7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6) 300 $0.50 $150  7-6-5-3 $234.64 $84.64 56%
    PK5 (7/8/1/5/6)-(5/7/4/2)-(7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6) 1500 $0.50 $750  8-7-6-5-3 $1681.00 $931.00 124%
ELP-6   TRI (9/1/2/5/4)-(9/1/2/5/4)-(9/1/2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-2-1 $31.24 $1.24 4%
    SFT (9/1/2/5/4)-(9/1/2/5/4)-(9/1/2/5/4)-(9/1/2/5/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-2-1-5 $43.12 $31.12 259%
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6)-(9/1/2/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50  5-3-9 $48.18 $10.68 28%
    PK4 (7/6/2/9/4)-(1/5/7)-(8/7/3/4/6)-(9/1/2/5/4) 375 $0.50 $187  6-5-3-9 $195.94 $8.44 5%
ELP-7   WIN (6/5/12/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $13.38 $3.38 34%
    DD (9/1/2/5/4)-(6/5/12/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-6 $31.34 $6.34 25%
ELP-8   WIN (3/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (3/9/4/2)-(3/9/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $197.62 $173.62 723%
    DD (6/5/12/4/3)-(3/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $28.53 $8.53 43%
    PK3 (9/1/2/5/4)-(6/5/12/4/3)-(3/9/4/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00  9-6-3 $68.63 $18.63 37%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RIVER IN EGYPT 8 4 47 46 44½ 22½ 1¾ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 2.50 16% 5.30 2.46 W
9  PAID IN FULL 9 5 22 22½ 12 12½ 2¾ (hartlage g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 4.00 4.80  
2  LEVY 2 3 59 66¾ 22 33 3¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 10.46  
4  OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 7 911 810¾ 75¾ 45½ 44¾ (shorter a)TORRES A 118 15.00 44.92  
7  ROUNDER 7 6 710½ 911¼ 65½ 56½ 58¾ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 22% 3.60 3.28  
1  BEOCCA 1 9 69½ 56½ 33½ 67 611 (castanon jose )CASTANON L 123 10.00 15% 5.60 13.28  
6  RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 8 811 79¾ 98¾ 710½ 713 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 7% 13.20 47.39  
5  SOFT PANTS 5 1 32½ 32½ 88¼ 816 858½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.40 4.11  
3  DREAMFACTOR 3 2 12 12½ 54½ 918 961½ (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 7.19  
 
ELP-2   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SINNER'S SIN 7 2 1nk 11   13 16½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 31% 2.20 3.77 W
1  BADGEBALL 1 1 42¼ 31   23 26½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 3.43  
4  LUPO'S LEGACY 4 3 52¾ 41¼   35 38½ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 6% 16.10 2.03 S
5  DR. PERRY 5 6 76¾ 64¾   55½ 48¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 35% 1.90 3.42  
2  ISOCLINE 2 4 2nk 21   45½ 512 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.75  
3  WESTERN GHENT 3 5 32 53¼   78½ 613¼ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 6.11  
6  GETTIN PAID 6 7 64¾ 75¾   68 713¼ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 31.34  
 
ELP-3   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DEBOISBLANC 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.88 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of TENSAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
8  GYPSY TALES 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2hd (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7.99  
  (by MUNNINGS out of WOODFORD COUNTY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  ZADORSKY 7 4 32 33   36 39 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.56 S
  (by TAPITURE out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
2  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 2 3 44½ 47   49 410 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00 22% 3.60 15.57  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
3  JOKE MASTER 3 5 56 58½   59¼ 510½ (maker mic)TORRES A 119 6.00 15.59  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUEEN NEGWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  CAIRO STREET 1 6 78 711   611¾ 613¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 30.33  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TAYLOR STREET by STREET SENSE)
4  SALTWATER TAFFY 4 7 89 913¼   914¾ 716¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.73  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHORE BIRD by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
5  DESERT RHAPSODY 5 8 99½ 811¼   713¾ 817 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.57  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHADY REFLECTION by SULTRY SONG)
9  ALAMO 9 9 66 610½   814¼ 919½ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
  (by NYQUIST out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
ELP-4   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DONYA KNOW IT 3 2 21 1nk   12 13½ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 20% 4.00 6.35 W
1  STANLEY MARKET 1 5 31½ 52¼   33½ 23½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50 26% 2.90 2.38 P
2  VIOLENT POINT 2 1 11 2nk   22 34 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 1.80 0.74  
6  OWEN'S PLEASURE 4 4 53½ 42¼   56 411½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 5.29  
7  ABITIBI 5 3 42 32   46 515½ (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19% 4.30 19.24  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  TREATY OF PARIS               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:122 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLING 3 1 22 21 1½ 11½ 1½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.25 W
4  SAND AND SEA 4 5 53½ 63 51¾ 31½ 2½ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.73 P
7  HAY STACK 7 9 85¼ 93¾ 61¾ 21½ 31 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 S
2  KLIMT'S MUSE 2 10 107¼ 105¾ 105 65 44 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 13.75  
6  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 6 2 43 31½ 3½ 54½ 56½ (stuart s)RODRIGUEZ A 118 25.00 5% 19.00 28.33  
10  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 10 8 12 11 2½ 43 68½ (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 26.04  
9  LA TOURISTA 9 6 95¼ 83¾ 94½ 99¼ 79¾ (vasquez german )LANERIE J 123 6.00 31.08  
8  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 8 4 64 42 41½ 89 89¾ (gorostieta)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 25% 3.10 12.90  
1  PUFFIN 1 3 33 52 72¼ 77 910¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 28.48  
5  SHEWILLGHOSTU 5 7 75 73½ 84¼ 109¾ 1011 (mott rile)TORRES A 118 15.00 43.49  
 
ELP-6   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HERE U COME AGAIN 8 4 2½ 1nk   12½ 12¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 20% 3.90 3.55 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of EURO K SHOTGUN by EUROEARS)
2  HOT BEACH 2 5 31½ 32½   22½ 22¼ (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.10 0.71 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  PINOTSLILGIRL 1 1 1½ 2nk   32½ 39½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 20% 3.90 13.97 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 2 42 44½   47½ 414¼ (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 17% 4.80 22.81  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
8  SWEET MIMI 7 8 63½ 67½   610 515½ (cox brad )TORRES A 119 5.00 8.72  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RIVERCANE by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  TEARDROP TIARA 3 6 910 914½   714 618 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8.21  
  (by UPSTART out of BODE ON TAP by BODEMEISTER)
4  INTEGRATED DESIGN 4 3 52 56½   59 720 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 25.00 5% 19.00 39.31  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ADJUDICATION by FAST PLAY)
10  SOCIAL AFFAIR 9 9 87½ 812½   816 827¾ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 29.57  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROAMING by QUALITY ROAD)
6  INCREDIBLY CHICKI 6 7 74½ 710½   916¼ 929 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 12.00 29.01  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHICKATINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY               (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of FIREFLY by WOODMAN)
 
ELP-7   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ENDPOINT 6 2 76 74¾ 2½ 22 11¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 31% 2.20 5.69 W
  (by NYQUIST out of VENTURINI by BERNARDINI)
11  GRAND ASPEN 11 7 43½ 22 1½ 12 21¾ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 8.08  
  (by DIALED IN out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
4  ST. JOHN'S 4 10 119½ 118 94¾ 45½ 34 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.07 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of FORTRESS by RAHY)
9  ATHENS MOON 9 11 1211 129 125 67 34 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 14.67 DH
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
7  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 7 8 108 106½ 42½ 35 56 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 30.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
5  DECANTED 5 5 64½ 53¾ 52½ 77 67 (maker mic)TORRES A 118 3.50 29% 2.50 2.70  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
8  PEEK 8 4 32½ 32 72¾ 56½ 78 (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6.41  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
1  AUGUSTUS BLUE 1 12 86½ 85¼ 115 99½ 89½ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 19.51  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
3  TESTIMONY TIME 3 3 54 63¾ 105 109¾ 910 (brumley willia)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.44  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
2  POGOERIACH 2 1 22 42¼ 62¾ 89 1012½ (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 56.94  
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  TIZ WICKED STRONG 12 9 97 96¼ 83¾ 1212¼ 1113¾ (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 15% 5.50 6.64  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
10  ALOHA MAKUAKANE 10 6 12 12 31½ 1110¼ 1224 (londono g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 55.43  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of EXCLUSIVE CHIC by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker mic)TORRES A 118 3.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of EVEN FOREST by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
ELP-8   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:102     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PADMA 2 5 65 55   34 1nk (mott i)LANERIE J 120 2.00 44% 1.30 3.60 W
2  YES DAY 1 4 54½ 44½   22 2nk (wismer gle)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 44.26 P
5  MISS ARLINGTON 4 2 1nk 1½   12 32 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 4.52  
7  JOKES ON BLUE 6 8 87½ 79   56½ 44¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 4.35  
4  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 3 3 2nk 2½   45½ 57 (cox brad )TORRES A 122 3.50 17% 4.90 3.71  
6  TWO MINUTE DRILL 5 1 31 32   68½ 612¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.15  
8  RED HOT JEANIE 7 7 77 67   713½ 729¾ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 12.15  
9  GARDEN BELLE 8 6 43 89½   821½ 851¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 17% 4.70 3.15  
SCR  SPECIALIZIN               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:123 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIXITWITHFORWARD 5 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 12 1¼ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 6.77  
13  SPUNS SON 11 12 118¾ 118¼ 83¼ 43 2¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 17.96  
1  CENTAURO 1 1 1½ 32 41½ 32 31½ (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 84.82  
5  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 4 9 62¼ 53½ 72¾ 53½ 43½ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 15.61  
9  BON BUENO 8 11 96¼ 95¾ 31 22 55 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 11% 8.30 5.90  
8  POST TENEBRAS LUX 7 10 84¼ 74¼ 62¾ 87¾ 66 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 22.78  
7  BOOSTER SHOT 6 6 74¼ 85¼ 93¾ 76¼ 77¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 27% 2.80 3.07  
16  SILVER BULL 12 5 106¾ 106¼ 116¼ 108¾ 88¼ (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 5.68  
12  RURAL 10 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 63¾ 98¼ (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 15.00 5% 19.00 45.79  
11  HEZMORETHANREADY 9 3 41½ 42 51¾ 97¾ 1011¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
2  COSMIC STORM 2 8 51¾ 64 104¼ 119¼ 1113½ (maker mic)TORRES A 118 5.00 4.94  
3  STORM STRATEGY 3 7 1210¼ 1215¼ 1212¼ 1212¼ 1215 (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 7% 13.90 25.23  
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE               (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00    
SCR  SCAT DANZ               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS               (roberson den)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (hancock dana)MILLER CHASE 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.