Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/8/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.92 $6.92  
ELP-2   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.54 $9.54 1.54
ELP-3   Win (7/6/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
ELP-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $14.70 $14.70 8.70
ELP-5   Win (8/7/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
ELP-6   Win (9/1/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.10 $9.10  
ELP-7   Win (6/5/12/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $13.38 $13.38 3.38
ELP-8   Win (3/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
ELP-9   Win (11/7/9/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $15.54  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RIVER IN EGYPT 8 4 47 46 44½ 22½ 1¾ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 2.50 16% 5.30 2.46 W
9  PAID IN FULL 9 5 22 22½ 12 12½ 2¾ (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 4.00 4.80  
2  LEVY 2 3 59 66¾ 22 33 3¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 10.46  
4  OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 7 911 810¾ 75¾ 45½ 44¾ (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 15.00 44.92  
7  ROUNDER 7 6 710½ 911¼ 65½ 56½ 58¾ (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 22% 3.60 3.28  
1  BEOCCA 1 9 69½ 56½ 33½ 67 611 (castanon g)CASTANON L 123 10.00 15% 5.60 13.28  
6  RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 8 811 79¾ 98¾ 710½ 713 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 7% 13.20 47.39  
5  SOFT PANTS 5 1 32½ 32½ 88¼ 816 858½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.40 4.11  
3  DREAMFACTOR 3 2 12 12½ 54½ 918 961½ (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 7.19  
 
ELP-2   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SINNER'S SIN 7 2 1nk 11   13 16½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 31% 2.20 3.77 W
1  BADGEBALL 1 1 42¼ 31   23 26½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 3.43  
4  LUPO'S LEGACY 4 3 52¾ 41¼   35 38½ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 6% 16.10 2.03 S
5  DR. PERRY 5 6 76¾ 64¾   55½ 48¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 35% 1.90 3.42  
2  ISOCLINE 2 4 2nk 21   45½ 512 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.75  
3  WESTERN GHENT 3 5 32 53¼   78½ 613¼ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 6.11  
6  GETTIN PAID 6 7 64¾ 75¾   68 713¼ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 31.34  
 
ELP-3   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DEBOISBLANC 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.88 W
8  GYPSY TALES 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2hd (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7.99  
7  ZADORSKY 7 4 32 33   36 39 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.56 S
2  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 2 3 44½ 47   49 410 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00 22% 3.60 15.57  
3  JOKE MASTER 3 5 56 58½   59¼ 510½ (maker micha)TORRES A 119 6.00 15.59  
1  CAIRO STREET 1 6 78 711   611¾ 613¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 30.33  
4  SALTWATER TAFFY 4 7 89 913¼   914¾ 716¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.73  
5  DESERT RHAPSODY 5 8 99½ 811¼   713¾ 817 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.57  
9  ALAMO 9 9 66 610½   814¼ 919½ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
 
ELP-4   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DONYA KNOW IT 3 2 21 1nk   12 13½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 20% 4.00 6.35 W
1  STANLEY MARKET 1 5 31½ 52¼   33½ 23½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50 26% 2.90 2.38 P
2  VIOLENT POINT 2 1 11 2nk   22 34 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.80 0.74  
6  OWEN'S PLEASURE 4 4 53½ 42¼   56 411½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 5.29  
7  ABITIBI 5 3 42 32   46 515½ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19% 4.30 19.24  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  TREATY OF PARIS               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:122 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLING 3 1 22 21 1½ 11½ 1½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.25 W
4  SAND AND SEA 4 5 53½ 63 51¾ 31½ 2½ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.73 P
7  HAY STACK 7 9 85¼ 93¾ 61¾ 21½ 31 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 S
2  KLIMT'S MUSE 2 10 107¼ 105¾ 105 65 44 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 13.75  
6  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 6 2 43 31½ 3½ 54½ 56½ (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 118 25.00 5% 19.00 28.33  
10  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 10 8 12 11 2½ 43 68½ (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 26.04  
9  LA TOURISTA 9 6 95¼ 83¾ 94½ 99¼ 79¾ (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 123 6.00 31.08  
8  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 8 4 64 42 41½ 89 89¾ (gorostieta c)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 25% 3.10 12.90  
1  PUFFIN 1 3 33 52 72¼ 77 910¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 28.48  
5  SHEWILLGHOSTU 5 7 75 73½ 84¼ 109¾ 1011 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00 43.49  
 
ELP-6   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HERE U COME AGAIN 8 4 2½ 1nk   12½ 12¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 20% 3.90 3.55 W
2  HOT BEACH 2 5 31½ 32½   22½ 22¼ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.10 0.71 P
1  PINOTSLILGIRL 1 1 1½ 2nk   32½ 39½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 20% 3.90 13.97 S
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 2 42 44½   47½ 414¼ (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 17% 4.80 22.81  
8  SWEET MIMI 7 8 63½ 67½   610 515½ (cox h)TORRES A 119 5.00 8.72  
3  TEARDROP TIARA 3 6 910 914½   714 618 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8.21  
4  INTEGRATED DESIGN 4 3 52 56½   59 720 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 25.00 5% 19.00 39.31  
10  SOCIAL AFFAIR 9 9 87½ 812½   816 827¾ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 29.57  
6  INCREDIBLY CHICKI 6 7 74½ 710½   916¼ 929 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 12.00 29.01  
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ENDPOINT 6 2 76 74¾ 2½ 22 11¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 31% 2.20 5.69 W
11  GRAND ASPEN 11 7 43½ 22 1½ 12 21¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 8.08  
4  ST. JOHN'S 4 10 119½ 118 94¾ 45½ 34 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.07 S
9  ATHENS MOON 9 11 1211 129 125 67 34 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 14.67 DH
7  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 7 8 108 106½ 42½ 35 56 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 30.50  
5  DECANTED 5 5 64½ 53¾ 52½ 77 67 (maker micha)TORRES A 118 3.50 29% 2.50 2.70  
8  PEEK 8 4 32½ 32 72¾ 56½ 78 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6.41  
1  AUGUSTUS BLUE 1 12 86½ 85¼ 115 99½ 89½ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 19.51  
3  TESTIMONY TIME 3 3 54 63¾ 105 109¾ 910 (brumley william )MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.44  
2  POGOERIACH 2 1 22 42¼ 62¾ 89 1012½ (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 56.94  
12  TIZ WICKED STRONG 12 9 97 96¼ 83¾ 1212¼ 1113¾ (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 15% 5.50 6.64  
10  ALOHA MAKUAKANE 10 6 12 12 31½ 1110¼ 1224 (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 55.43  
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker micha)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:102     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PADMA 2 5 65 55   34 1nk (mott i)LANERIE J 120 2.00 44% 1.30 3.60 W
2  YES DAY 1 4 54½ 44½   22 2nk (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 44.26 P
5  MISS ARLINGTON 4 2 1nk 1½   12 32 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 4.52  
7  JOKES ON BLUE 6 8 87½ 79   56½ 44¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 4.35  
4  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 3 3 2nk 2½   45½ 57 (cox h)TORRES A 122 3.50 17% 4.90 3.71  
6  TWO MINUTE DRILL 5 1 31 32   68½ 612¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.15  
8  RED HOT JEANIE 7 7 77 67   713½ 729¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 12.15  
9  GARDEN BELLE 8 6 43 89½   821½ 851¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 17% 4.70 3.15  
SCR  SPECIALIZIN               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:123 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIXITWITHFORWARD 5 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 12 1¼ (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 6.77  
13  SPUNS SON 11 12 118¾ 118¼ 83¼ 43 2¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 17.96  
1  CENTAURO 1 1 1½ 32 41½ 32 31½ (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 84.82  
5  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 4 9 62¼ 53½ 72¾ 53½ 43½ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 15.61  
9  BON BUENO 8 11 96¼ 95¾ 31 22 55 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 11% 8.30 5.90  
8  POST TENEBRAS LUX 7 10 84¼ 74¼ 62¾ 87¾ 66 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 22.78  
7  BOOSTER SHOT 6 6 74¼ 85¼ 93¾ 76¼ 77¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 27% 2.80 3.07  
16  SILVER BULL 12 5 106¾ 106¼ 116¼ 108¾ 88¼ (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 5.68  
12  RURAL 10 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 63¾ 98¼ (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 15.00 5% 19.00 45.79  
11  HEZMORETHANREADY 9 3 41½ 42 51¾ 97¾ 1011¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
2  COSMIC STORM 2 8 51¾ 64 104¼ 119¼ 1113½ (maker micha)TORRES A 118 5.00 4.94  
3  STORM STRATEGY 3 7 1210¼ 1215¼ 1212¼ 1212¼ 1215 (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 7% 13.90 25.23  
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE               (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00    
SCR  SCAT DANZ               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS               (roberson denni)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (hancock dana)MILLER CHASE 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.