Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/8/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $35.60 $35.60 25.60
SAR-2   Win (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $9.40  
SAR-3   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
SAR-4   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
SAR-5   Win (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.40  
SAR-6   Win (3/9/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 5.00
SAR-7   Win (7/4/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.50 $8.50  
SAR-8   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
SAR-9   Win (4/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
SAR-10   Win (1/3/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $10.60  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/19/2023 10890ft TURF RC14 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
3:533         3:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 9 69½ 76½ 78¼ 54 1nk 16½ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 20.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
4  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) 4 37 34 35½ 33 2nk 26½ (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 148 6.00 9.60  
1  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 1 811½ 87½ 89¼ 86¼ 33 39½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 3.00 35% 1.80 2.10 S
3  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 3 912 97½ 910¼ 97¾ 65 413½ (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 158 4.00 5.80  
6  WEST NEWTON (GB) 6 12 11½ 12 11 54 518¾ (hendriks ric)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 8.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
2  REDICEAN (GB) 2 58½ 66 68 75¼ 89 619¼ (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 146 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
7  GORDON'S JET (IRE) 7 22 21½ 22 21 43½ 719½ (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 144 8.00 7.40  
5  SALVINO (IRE) 5 710 55½ 57½ 64¼ 78½ 821¼ (neville patrick)SHEEHAN GAVIN 140 6.00 6.70  
8  WELSHMAN 8 47½ 44½ 45½ 43 913 941½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 152 4.50 35% 1.80 3.85  
 
SAR-2   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEMPHIS 7 3 2nk 21 1nk 1½ 1¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.70  
2  CLOUD FOREST 1 6 51¾ 11 2nk 2½ 2¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.40 37% 1.70 0.80 P
3  HAPPY BOB 2 5 62¼ 43 34 34 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 23% 3.40 2.30 S
5  STEADY PROGRESS 5 2 3.2 31½ 44¼ 46 414 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 22.80  
4  UNION TAP 4 7 74¾ 75¼ 511¼ 513 525 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 31.50  
1  HINENI 3 1 1nk 53 611¾ 614 626 (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 15% 5.60 30.25  
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE 6 4 4¾ 65 712¾ 714½ 729½ (jones e)BROWN DALTON 124 50.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:22 :462 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOLDEN DAGGER 4 5 44½ 44   2½ 11¾ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 33% 2.00 4.60 W
2  PROUD FOOT 2 6 68½ 68   31 21¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 7.50  
6  WESTERN LANE 6 3 57 56   41 32¾ (lynch natalia)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 6.50  
1  MADDIE'S GRACE 1 1 32 32   1½ 44¾ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 34% 1.90 0.80  
5  NOW SHOWING 5 2 21 2½   52 59¾ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8.30  
3  FLIP MY ID 3 4 11 1½   63½ 616½ (breen j)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
SCR  BOSS OF ALL               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
SCR  CARBON               (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
SCR  MURSAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  POUT               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
SCR  SA FORADADA               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:121 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTBELATE 1 2 31½ 42 43½ 32 1¾ (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 11% 8.20 2.15 W
8  SOUPER CATCH 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 30% 2.30 6.60 P
2B  MUSICAL HEART 4 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 3¾ (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.00 37% 1.70 6.00 S
6  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 3 6 69 612½ 57½ 53½ 42½ (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00 8.80  
4  BREADMAN 2 3 42 32 31½ 42½ 56½ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.05  
7  GREAT WORKOUT 5 5 56 59½ 610½ 67½ 614½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 4.60  
SCR  BACK RING LUCK               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)ESCOBAR E 120 8.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE               (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:124 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROCK THE WEEKEND 7 5 42½ 42½ 43 23 1½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.20  
2  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 2 1 31½ 31½ 11 13 2½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 35% 1.80 5.10 P
3  RUN SMITTY RUN 3 3 54 75 57 37 38 (barker edw)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
1  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO 1 2 1½ 1½ 33 510½ 411½ (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 4.10  
9  EXCESS DEMAND 8 4 2½ 2½ 21 49 512 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.80  
5  PAPI ON ICE 5 7 64 53½ 68½ 612 613¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00 26.00  
4  GINNSU WARRIOR 4 6 75½ 63½ 79 715½ 717¼ (ferrar)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
6  REUNION TOUR 6 8 89 89½ 815 821½ 825¼ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00 53.00  
SCR  MAGICAL WAYS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUEEN'S MARTINI 2 7 73¾ 74½   1½ 15¾ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 7% 13.90 6.50 W
9  KHOZY COLBY 9 8 12 12   2½ 25¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 31% 2.30 3.60 P
4  CRAZY CAMI 4 4 63¾ 64   54 36½ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 17.70  
7  GINUCCHA 7 2 32 22   32 49 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 3.05  
3  ILIKEFUNSIZE 3 1 42½ 32½   42½ 59 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.50  
5  FLOWERS FOR ME 5 10 96 85½   75½ 610¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
8  ALMOND FUDGE 8 5 53½ 53   64½ 713 (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.20  
1  LISA'S PALACE 1 6 85¾ 97½   98 817 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 11.70  
6  SUN AND WIND 6 3 22 42½   86½ 917½ (rodriguez rudy )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 6% 17.20 12.00  
10  BERTRILLE 10 9 108 108   109½ 1022¾ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 40.25  
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH               (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  TEMPTING LADY               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LISA'S VISION 4 3 32 32 42 1nk 1hd (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 W
1  CLASSIC COLORS 1 1 54½ 53½ 63¼ 33 2hd (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 14.30  
2  MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 2 11 11 11 2nk 3¾ (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 7.70  
6  GOLDEN ROCKET 6 9 97½ 96½ 84¾ 43½ 41¾ (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 5.00  
8  TOOLCAT 8 6 43 42½ 32 55 56½ (potts g)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
9  IM JUST KIDDIN 9 8 86 85½ 53 86¾ 66¾ (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 11% 7.80 4.40  
7  COLLABORATION 7 7 21 21 21 76¼ 78¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 50% 1.00 2.35  
3  DUFRESNE 3 4 76 75½ 73¼ 65¼ 89¼ (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 36.25  
5  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 5 5 65 64½ 95¾ 910¼ 913 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 32.25  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:244 :471 1:104 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 3 42½ 43 43 53¼ 1¼ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 32% 2.10 1.40 W
3  NOSTALGIC 3 5 53 53½ 53 43 2¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 4.50  
2  GERRYMANDER 2 1 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 31 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 2.05  
1  MIDNIGHT STROLL 1 4 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 42 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30 6.40  
6  FAVOR 5 2 31½ 32 32 31½ 54¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50    
 
SAR-9   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANNA KARENINE (FR) 3 2 32 31½   11½ 1nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.95 W
3  CADENCIA 2 5 53½ 52½   21½ 2nk (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90 3.35 P
7  DEKANTER 6 7 74½ 74¾   53½ 33 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00 11.50  
5  GUN BOAT 4 1 11 1½   31½ 44¼ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 3.40  
2  HIHELLOHOWAREYOU 1 8 86½ 86¼   64½ 55½ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.00 30.50  
6  LITTLE MOMBO 5 3 21 2½   42½ 67¼ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 7.60  
1  MISS DOMINA 8 6 64 64½   75½ 79½ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 14.40  
8  FLEETFOOTED 7 4 42½ 42½   88 814½ (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 13% 6.50 4.20  
SCR  CUPID'S HEART               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ORANGE FREEZE 9 9 812¼ 87¾ 43½ 1nk 11½ (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 4.30  
2  BERNT AGAIN 2 7 913¾ 99¾ 95¾ 32 21½ (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
3  MZ BIG BUCKS 3 1 22 31 12½ 2nk 34½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 34% 1.90 2.40 S
1  RED MOON 1 6 711¾ 77¼ 74¾ 43½ 47½ (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.95  
6  LITTLE LINZEE 6 4 48½ 63¼ 22½ 54 514¼ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 6.90  
7  BEA BEA KAZ 7 8 58½ 42½ 53¾ 76½ 614¼ (synnefias dimitr)LUZZI J 118 30.00 56.00  
5  CLOVER STREET 5 5 68¾ 52¾ 85¼ 88½ 717 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
4  CAMP AKEELA 4 3 32½ 21 32½ 66 819 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
8  QUEENS OVER THREES 8 2 12 11 64¼ 99 920¼ (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00 44.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.