Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/8/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/9/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (7/4/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (4/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (1/3/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/19/2023 10890ft TURF RC14 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Sep01 Jul27 Apr30     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  REDICEAN (GB) Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul20   (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 146 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) Oct15 Sep15       (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 158 4.00    
4  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) Jul01 Jul20 May14     (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 148 6.00    
5  SALVINO (IRE)         (neville patrick)SHEEHAN GAVIN 140 6.00    
6  WEST NEWTON (GB) Mar25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 Oct02 (hendriks ric)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GORDON'S JET (IRE)         (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 144 8.00    
8  WELSHMAN Nov05 Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 152 4.50 35% 1.80    
9  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) Oct15 Sep15 Aug17     (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HINENI Jun25 Mar25 Oct21     (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
2  CLOUD FOREST Jun17 Apr02 Aug28 Aug10 Jul08 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  HAPPY BOB May27 Dec15 Nov11 Aug13 Jun26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
4  UNION TAP Jun18 Apr15 Mar18     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
5  STEADY PROGRESS Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr21 Apr15 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jul04 Jun15 May27 May21 May06 (jones e)BROWN DALTON 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
7  MEMPHIS Jul01         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADDIE'S GRACE May18 Apr22 Nov19 Aug24 Jul15 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 34% 1.90    
2  PROUD FOOT Jun10 May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
3  FLIP MY ID Jun09 Apr21 Mar11 Dec28 Dec04 (breen j)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN DAGGER Apr01         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
5  NOW SHOWING Jun02 Apr19 Mar18 Jan29 Nov20 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
6  WESTERN LANE Jun22 May28 Feb10 Jan29 Dec18 (lynch natalia)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00    
SCR  BOSS OF ALL Jun22 May13 Jun16 May08   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
SCR  POUT Jun16 Apr27 Mar30 Feb17 Oct19 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Jun22 Jun16 May21 Apr23 Mar26 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  MURSAL Jul13 Jun04 May19 Mar24 Feb22 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  SA FORADADA Jul13 Jun01 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  CARBON Jul13 Jun16 May20 May04 Apr02 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTBELATE May18 Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 Feb18 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  JUMPSTER Jun03 May20 May05 Apr29 Apr01 (persaud randi)ESCOBAR E 120 8.00    
2B  MUSICAL HEART Jun16 Jun03 May18 Apr28 Apr19 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BACK RING LUCK Jun21 May28 May21 Apr01 Mar11 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE May28 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
4  BREADMAN May13 Apr20 Mar30 Feb18 Dec15 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Jun18 Apr06 Mar25 Mar07 Feb18 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
6  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jun24 Jun03 May04 Mar19 Mar04 (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
7  GREAT WORKOUT May11 Apr15 Feb19 Nov11 Oct02 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
8  SOUPER CATCH May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar12 Feb10 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO May20 Apr28 Mar04 Jan22 Jan06 (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
2  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Apr29 Apr08 Mar31 Mar05 Jan29 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 35% 1.80    
3  RUN SMITTY RUN Jun23 Feb25 Oct08 May29 Apr10 (barker edw)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GINNSU WARRIOR Jul07 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Apr02 (ferrar)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PAPI ON ICE Jun24 Jun01 May06 Apr07 Mar25 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00    
6  REUNION TOUR Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr29 Mar30 (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00    
7  ROCK THE WEEKEND Jun10 May14 Apr22 Mar11 Feb19 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  MAGICAL WAYS Jul03 May13 Apr21 Mar03 Jan08 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 4.00    
9  EXCESS DEMAND Jun23 May13 Mar28     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISA'S PALACE         (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
2  QUEEN'S MARTINI         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 7% 13.90    
3  ILIKEFUNSIZE Jun18         (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  CRAZY CAMI         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00    
5  FLOWERS FOR ME         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUN AND WIND Jun23         (rodriguez rudy )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 6% 17.20    
7  GINUCCHA         (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
8  ALMOND FUDGE         (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
9  KHOZY COLBY Jun23         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
10  BERTRILLE         (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  TEMPTING LADY         (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH         (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC COLORS Jun14 May11 Mar30 Feb24 Feb10 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
2  MASTEROF THE TUNES Jun25 May14 Apr22 Nov19 Oct20 (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
3  DUFRESNE May28 May04 Dec04 Nov19 Oct23 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LISA'S VISION Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep23 Aug26 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Jun18 May26 Apr27 Nov18 Sep25 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
6  GOLDEN ROCKET Jul04 Dec29 Dec01 Oct20 Sep18 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
7  COLLABORATION Jun25 May29 May04 Apr08 Sep15 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
8  TOOLCAT Jun20 May30 May09 Oct26 Oct12 (potts g)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  IM JUST KIDDIN Jun24 May29 Apr22 Oct30 Oct01 (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jul02 Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar31 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul02 May20 May04 Apr27 Apr08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT STROLL Jun15 May14 Feb18 Oct22 Aug26 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
2  GERRYMANDER Jun24 May06 Apr07 Sep24 Aug20 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
3  NOSTALGIC Nov25 Nov04 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50    
4  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Jun24 Jun03 May05 Jan28 Nov25 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50    
6  FAVOR Dec09 Jul14 May20 Mar26 Feb06 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
SAR-9   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DOMINA May19 Mar26 Feb15 Aug04 Jun25 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  CUPID'S HEART Jun23 Nov25 Oct23 Sep05   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
2  HIHELLOHOWAREYOU May28 Apr28 Mar12 Jan25 Dec24 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.00    
3  CADENCIA Jun11 Apr28 Mar31 Jun04 Apr15 (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  ANNA KARENINE (FR) Jun03 Apr16 Mar04     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  GUN BOAT Jun03 Apr15       (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
6  LITTLE MOMBO Jun18 Jun12 May26 Apr07 Feb26 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00    
7  DEKANTER Jun03 Apr15 Mar16     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00    
8  FLEETFOOTED May29 Apr22 Oct08 Sep17 Jul28 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MOON Jun18 May21 Apr08 Mar14   (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  BERNT AGAIN Jul02 May28 May06 Feb12 Jan14 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MZ BIG BUCKS Jun18 May04 Apr08     (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  CAMP AKEELA Jun18 May14 Apr14 Mar11 Feb26 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLOVER STREET Jun15 May21 Apr23 Mar18 Feb20 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE LINZEE Jun18 Apr23 Mar24 Jan22 Dec17 (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
7  BEA BEA KAZ Jun18 May19 Jan20 Nov30   (synnefias dimitr)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
8  QUEENS OVER THREES Jun17 May18 Mar12 Feb11 Jan12 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00    
9  ORANGE FREEZE Jun23 May28 Apr15 Sep15 Aug18 (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.