Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
PEN-2   Win (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $73.00  
PEN-3   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-4   Win (6/1/11/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $30.00 $30.00 20.00
PEN-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
PEN-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40  
PEN-7   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PEN-8   Win (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:212 :443 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 1 14 15   15 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.60 W
CHARM ALARM 2 5 3 37   3 2 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 11% 8.40 4.40 P
DARLING DONNA 1 3 24 25   25 3 (moore micha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 17% 4.80 1.30 S
ARROGANTE 8 8 813¼ 612   59 4 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 18.00  
PHANCY PHILLY 4 7 713 712½   611 5 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 113 12.00 32.90  
UNION FOLLY 7 4 5 511   4 6 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 22.40  
SCHNUER WILL 6 6 611½ 816½   711½ 710¾ (dunham bernard)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 11% 8.40 5.10  
BOUND BY TRUTH 5 2 4 410   812 811¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 12.00 43.40  
 
PEN-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BAD 2 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (beattie d)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 35.50  
BANJO 3 3 3½ 32   3 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 7.70  
IF WE GET LUCKY 7 6 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 11% 8.10 0.90 S
MILLBANK MAN 4 4 67 6   4 44 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 4.90  
GURT'S WARRIOR 5 1 56 58   58 5 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 49% 1.00 2.50  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 1 7 79 79   79 68 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 6 5 4 46   6 7 (beattie todd )INIRIO J 122 3.50 19% 4.20 14.00  
 
PEN-3   07/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :44       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS RUNAWAY 2 1 1 11   1 13 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 28% 2.50 1.20 W
GIFT OF GAB 1 8 2 21   2 23 (merryman micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90 P
MY MASTERPIECE 5 4 65 56   4 3 (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 23.50 S
11  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK 8 5 87 89   6 4 (barr h)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 7.50  
ZIPPY JO 6 6 44 34   3 59 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 38.00  
IN GOOD TROUBLE 3 7 75 78   59 610¾ (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 17% 5.00 3.80  
10  SASSY BABE 7 3 5 4   710 711¼ (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 61.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 4 2 33 6   810½ 814 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 30.00 71.10  
SCR  DESI'S REWARD               (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 15.00    
SCR  GOOD SOURCE               (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:102 1:223   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T REX 4 2 89 76 76 3½ 15 (rogers w)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00 W
READY REWARD 7 6 5 54 5 41 25 (dowling william)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 15.90  
JACK SLYE 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 3 (graci kimberl)INIRIO J 120 6.00 21% 3.70 5.40 S
SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 9 1012½ 10 98 63 4 (beattie sandee )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 68.20  
10  AUCHINCRUIVE 9 7 6 6 64 7 5 (pino michael )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 21.60  
11  SPIRITUAL KING 10 4 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 6 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 18% 4.60 33.50  
RECYCLE 5 3 3 43 3 52 7 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 29% 2.40 0.40  
BOCA GUY 6 10 77 8 8 85 812¾ (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 10.00 16.90  
SENSIBLE JIM 2 8 910½ 9 10 10 913¼ (soto- el)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 18.80  
SYNONYM 8 5 43 3 42 9 1014½ (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 10% 9.10 37.20  
SCR  TAP EM               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIBACHI 3 1 24 24 22 1nk 1½ (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 18% 4.50 1.90 W
C C'S WARRIOR 1 2 14 14 12 2nk 2½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 52% 0.90 0.80 P
AMOUNT 5 5 47 410½ 37 35 3 (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 3.20  
POCOPSON STATION 4 4 59 512½ 510½ 510 413¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 35.10  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 2 3 36 39 49 48 517¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
SCR  EDICT (ARG)               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:14 1:401   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN CYCLE 5 3 1½ 12 13 14 14 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 1.20  
PECOS BILL 1 1 3½ 32 33 24 24 (bartoni wayne)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 8.40  
ITGOT GRANDMA 2 2 2½ 22 23 37 311½ (meister william)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 16% 5.30 28.80 S
GUSHING OIL 4 5 4 47 49 410 417¼ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 12% 7.40 17.30  
VITESSE 3 4 5 511 5100 5100 5100 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 33% 2.10 0.70  
SCR  LAVERY               (graci kimberl)INIRIO J 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABKA 4 3 13 14 15 14 1 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.50 W
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 1 1 33 24 25 24 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90 P
MADISON COUNTY 5 4 511 512½ 411½ 314 314¾ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6.90  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 3 6 612½ 615½ 613½ 414½ 415¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 4.30  
FAIR AND TRUE 2 2 46 411 513 522½ 527¾ (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 6.00 16.20  
LALLYBROCH 6 5 23 34 310 623½ 633¼ (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 13% 6.60 34.50  
 
PEN-8   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOYYOOKH 1 5 11 1   12 1 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 7.20  
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 5 6 4 3   22 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 67% 0.50 0.30 P
ESTA CHUCK 4 7 67 6   5 38 (jacavone john )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 67.40  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 7 1 53 5   35 4 (miller a)CORA D 120 8.00 6% 14.90 6.30  
LIL H 2 2 21 2   66 510¼ (cifarelli fra)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
MISS JUNEBUG 3 3 3 42   45 611 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SHARP CATCH 6 4 7 79   79 714 (maymo j)ROJAS MARTINA 111 3.00 9.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.