Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-2-1 $29.40 $5.40 23%
PEN-3   TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-3-7 $26.30 $2.30 10%
PEN-4   WIN (6/1/11/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $30.00 $20.00 200%
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(6/1/11/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-5 $58.60 $18.60 47%
PEN-5   DD (6/1/11/9/5)-(1/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-3 $118.00 $88.00 293%
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(6/1/11/9/5)-(1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-3 $44.65 $14.65 49%
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $18.60 $6.60 55%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:212 :443 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 1 14 15   15 1 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.60 W
CHARM ALARM 2 5 3 37   3 2 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 11% 8.40 4.40 P
DARLING DONNA 1 3 24 25   25 3 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 17% 4.80 1.30 S
ARROGANTE 8 8 813¼ 612   59 4 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 18.00  
PHANCY PHILLY 4 7 713 712½   611 5 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 113 12.00 32.90  
UNION FOLLY 7 4 5 511   4 6 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 22.40  
SCHNUER WILL 6 6 611½ 816½   711½ 710¾ (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 11% 8.40 5.10  
BOUND BY TRUTH 5 2 4 410   812 811¾ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 12.00 43.40  
 
PEN-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BAD 2 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (beattie sandee)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 35.50  
BANJO 3 3 3½ 32   3 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 7.70  
IF WE GET LUCKY 7 6 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 11% 8.10 0.90 S
MILLBANK MAN 4 4 67 6   4 44 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 4.90  
GURT'S WARRIOR 5 1 56 58   58 5 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 49% 1.00 2.50  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 1 7 79 79   79 68 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 6 5 4 46   6 7 (beattie tod)INIRIO J 122 3.50 19% 4.20 14.00  
 
PEN-3   07/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :44       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS RUNAWAY 2 1 1 11   1 13 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 28% 2.50 1.20 W
GIFT OF GAB 1 8 2 21   2 23 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90 P
MY MASTERPIECE 5 4 65 56   4 3 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 23.50 S
11  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK 8 5 87 89   6 4 (barr h)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 7.50  
ZIPPY JO 6 6 44 34   3 59 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 38.00  
IN GOOD TROUBLE 3 7 75 78   59 610¾ (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 17% 5.00 3.80  
10  SASSY BABE 7 3 5 4   710 711¼ (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 61.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 4 2 33 6   810½ 814 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 30.00 71.10  
SCR  DESI'S REWARD               (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 15.00    
SCR  GOOD SOURCE               (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:102 1:223   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T REX 4 2 89 76 76 3½ 15 (rogers w)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00 W
READY REWARD 7 6 5 54 5 41 25 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 15.90  
JACK SLYE 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 3 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 120 6.00 21% 3.70 5.40 S
SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 9 1012½ 10 98 63 4 (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 68.20  
10  AUCHINCRUIVE 9 7 6 6 64 7 5 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 21.60  
11  SPIRITUAL KING 10 4 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 6 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 18% 4.60 33.50  
RECYCLE 5 3 3 43 3 52 7 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 29% 2.40 0.40  
BOCA GUY 6 10 77 8 8 85 812¾ (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 10.00 16.90  
SENSIBLE JIM 2 8 910½ 9 10 10 913¼ (soto- martinez )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 18.80  
SYNONYM 8 5 43 3 42 9 1014½ (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 10% 9.10 37.20  
SCR  TAP EM               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIBACHI 3 1 24 24 22 1nk 1½ (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 18% 4.50 1.90 W
C C'S WARRIOR 1 2 14 14 12 2nk 2½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 52% 0.90 0.80 P
AMOUNT 5 5 47 410½ 37 35 3 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 3.20  
POCOPSON STATION 4 4 59 512½ 510½ 510 413¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 35.10  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 2 3 36 39 49 48 517¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
SCR  EDICT (ARG)               (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:14 1:401   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN CYCLE 5 3 1½ 12 13 14 14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 1.20  
PECOS BILL 1 1 3½ 32 33 24 24 (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 8.40  
ITGOT GRANDMA 2 2 2½ 22 23 37 311½ (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 16% 5.30 28.80 S
GUSHING OIL 4 5 4 47 49 410 417¼ (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 12% 7.40 17.30  
VITESSE 3 4 5 511 5100 5100 5100 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 33% 2.10 0.70  
SCR  LAVERY               (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABKA 4 3 13 14 15 14 1 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.50 W
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 1 1 33 24 25 24 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90 P
MADISON COUNTY 5 4 511 512½ 411½ 314 314¾ (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6.90  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 3 6 612½ 615½ 613½ 414½ 415¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 4.30  
FAIR AND TRUE 2 2 46 411 513 522½ 527¾ (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 6.00 16.20  
LALLYBROCH 6 5 23 34 310 623½ 633¼ (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 13% 6.60 34.50  
 
PEN-8   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOYYOOKH 1 5 11 1   12 1 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 7.20  
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 5 6 4 3   22 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 67% 0.50 0.30 P
ESTA CHUCK 4 7 67 6   5 38 (jacavone joh)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 67.40  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 7 1 53 5   35 4 (miller a)CORA D 120 8.00 6% 14.90 6.30  
LIL H 2 2 21 2   66 510¼ (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
MISS JUNEBUG 3 3 3 42   45 611 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SHARP CATCH 6 4 7 79   79 714 (maymo j)ROJAS MARTINA 111 3.00 9.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.