Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/2)-(5/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/2)-(5/6/7/1)-(3/4/5/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1)-(3/4/5/7)-(6/1/11/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(6/1/11/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(6/1/11/9/5)-(1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/1/11/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/11/9/5)-(6/1/11/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/11/9/5)-(6/1/11/9/5)-(6/1/11/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/11/9/5)-(1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/11/9/5)-(1/3/2)-(4/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/3/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/1/6)-(5/7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARLING DONNA Jun04 May15 Apr10 Mar06 Feb15 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  CHARM ALARM Jun15 Jun01 May11     (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
3  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jun02 May11 Apr20 Mar29 Jan20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  PHANCY PHILLY Jun15 May25 May11 Apr20 Mar16 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 113 12.00    
5  BOUND BY TRUTH Jun22 Jun01 Apr26 Mar23 Jun16 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
6  SCHNUER WILL Jun22 Jun12 May25 Apr20 Jan02 (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
7  UNION FOLLY Jun22 Jun01 Apr29 Mar25   (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
8  ARROGANTE Jun22 Jun01 May24 May06 Apr20 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
 
PEN-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBY'S SPIRIT Jun22 May05       (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HE IS BAD Jun22         (beattie sandee)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
3  BANJO Jun30         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00    
4  MILLBANK MAN May19 Apr28 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
5  GURT'S WARRIOR Jun15 May11       (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jun22         (beattie tod)INIRIO J 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  IF WE GET LUCKY Jun14 May19 May03     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 11% 8.10    
 
PEN-3   07/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESI'S REWARD Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 May06 Apr20 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 15.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jun20 Jun04 May18 Nov22 Oct27 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
3  GIFT OF GAB Jul01 Jun10 May27 Sep16 Aug14 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Jun30 Nov02 Sep07 Jul20 Jun16 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  IN GOOD TROUBLE Jun20 Jun09 May10 Apr25 Mar25 (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Jun20 May16 Mar31 Mar08 Jan27 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 30.00    
7  MY MASTERPIECE Jun19 May31 May23 Oct22 Sep23 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZIPPY JO Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
SCR  GOOD SOURCE Jun28 May19 Sep26 Aug22   (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
10  SASSY BABE Jun20 Jun04 May18 Oct27 Sep23 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
11  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK May18 Jan15 Nov21 Nov11 Oct29 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK SLYE Jun20 Jun02 May17 Mar15 Feb15 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  SENSIBLE JIM Jun14 May15 Apr10 Feb06 Jan09 (soto- martinez )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jun20 Jun02 May10 Apr19 Mar23 (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  TAP EM Jun28 Jun14 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
5  T REX Jun20 May29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 (rogers w)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RECYCLE Jun20 May29 Nov07 Sep19 Aug25 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  BOCA GUY May27 Apr02 Mar03 Dec31 Dec14 (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 10.00    
8  READY REWARD Jun20 May27 May05 Oct12 Sep14 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
9  SYNONYM Jun21 Jun02 Apr28 Apr21   (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 10% 9.10    
10  AUCHINCRUIVE Jun21 Nov04 Sep19 Aug25 Aug05 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
11  SPIRITUAL KING Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Jan05   (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S WARRIOR Jun16 Jun02 May12 Apr28 Oct04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Jun16 May24 May05 Apr20 Mar24 (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIBACHI Jun16 May24 May16 Apr25 Apr11 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  POCOPSON STATION May24 May05 Apr21 Mar17 Feb15 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
SCR  EDICT (ARG) Jun16 May24 May12 Mar16 Feb17 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
6  AMOUNT Jun28 Jun12 Jun03 May17 Apr12 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAVERY Jun20 Jun02 May20 May13 Apr19 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 4.00    
2  PECOS BILL Jun02 May06 Apr20 Mar29 Mar09 (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
3  ITGOT GRANDMA Jun20         (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 16% 5.30    
4  VITESSE Jun20 May17 Apr12 Mar27 Jan25 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
5  GUSHING OIL Jun20 May26 Mar29 Mar06 Feb21 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  SPIN CYCLE Jun20 May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Jun15 May11       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  FAIR AND TRUE Jun18 May29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep11 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 6.00    
3  MS KAYS COWGIRL May24 May12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00    
4  BABKA Jun15 May24 Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  MADISON COUNTY Jun27 Dec02 Oct26 Sep15 Aug11 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
6  LALLYBROCH Jun22         (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-8   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOYYOOKH Jun28 May18 May04 Mar22 Mar01 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50    
2  LIL H Jun01 May04 Mar22 Dec16 Nov18 (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS JUNEBUG Jun28 May18 Dec07 Nov23 Oct28 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ESTA CHUCK Jun28 Jun01 May04 Mar15 Feb02 (jacavone joh)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
5  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Jun28 Jun01 May07 Mar23 Feb16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
6  SHARP CATCH May19 Mar10 Jan20 Dec14   (maymo j)ROJAS MARTINA 111 3.00    
7  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jun28 Jun16 Jun01 May12 May04 (miller a)CORA D 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.