Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
CT-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CT-3   Win (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
CT-4   Win (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
CT-5   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
CT-6   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CT-7   Win (11/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $29.80 $29.80 23.80
CT-8   Win (11/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.40  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR GREAT NOTION 2 3 3.2     21 1 (grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 116 1.80 50% 1.00 0.90 W
ESSENTIAL MAGIC 3 6 2nk     11 2 (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 9.30  
FOXY SISTA 5 4 4¾     31 3 (jones e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 5.80 S
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS 7 1 6     53 44 (brown ron)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 10.00 10.80  
PHANTOM QUEEN 1 7 1nk     4 56 (greaves vern)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 16% 5.20 2.30  
XTENDED STREAK 4 5 5     6 6 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
ITSUPTOME 6 2 7     721½ 740 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00 38.40  
SCR  LUZIA               (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
 
CT-2   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S PLAY 4 3 1nk     1 1 (rideout antho)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 21% 3.70 1.00 W
CHEROKEE CASTLE 2 6 5     3 2 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 55% 0.80 1.30 P
REAL APPEAL (GER) 3 5 4     4 33 (joy j)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 7.30 S
FIFTY GRAY SHADES 6 1 2nk     2 44 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 44.70  
DIVA ROSE 1 7 7     6 5 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 9.60  
GLOBAL EMPRESS 5 4 6     7 66 (couchenour )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 27.30  
ELLIES AT WINDSOR 7 2 31     5 7 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 15.00 38.20  
 
CT-3   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:221 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH THE TRUTH 5 5 1nk     11 1¾ (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 1.60 19% 4.20 3.50 W
WIDGET FACTORY 6 4 32     31 2¾ (joy kevin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 P
NO FOOLING DUDE 7 1 2nk     21 2¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 9 3 8     6 4 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 15.80  
WIZARD OF ODDS 2 7 6     4 54 (aylor natasha )MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 53.60  
CHAMBO 1 8 7     5 6 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 7.30  
BETTER BOOGIE 3 9 5     74 7 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 10% 9.50 4.20  
GAMING JACK 4 6 9     98 8 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 30.60  
TANELEER 8 2 4     87 920¼ (raymond donovan)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00 75.70  
 
CT-4   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN 6 5 12 1nk   1nk 1 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.00 29% 2.50 2.40 W
FANCY CONCHO 2 2 43 5   4 2 (grams c)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 30.80  
NICO 5 6 54 31   2nk 3 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 5.30 S
SOCIAL CHIC 7 8 65 6   5 4 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.60  
NO CHANGE 1 1 22 2nk   31 5 (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
COMMAND THE CAT 4 4 7 7   6 6 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00 44.50  
ISHIHARA 8 7 89 812¾   810¼ 712 (runco c)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 20.40  
HERO'S MAN 3 3 33 4   7 819½ (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00 41.20  
 
CT-5   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:22 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN G 2 7 4     22 1nk (gillespie)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50 W
DAY THE MUSIC DIED 6 2 11     12 2nk (cash norman)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 45% 1.20 4.10 P
SETTLEMENT DATE 8 1 21     32 3 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 10.00 5.90  
DAN THE MAN CAN 4 5 3     4 4 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 31.00  
REMYS SHOWTIME 3 8 6     56 5 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 7% 12.80 3.10  
TOLLER 5 4 53     67 69 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 14.40  
MOJAC KAT 1 6 74     78 7 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 2.20  
HAGGERSDALE 7 3 88     812 811¾ (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 10.00 19.30  
 
CT-6   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:144     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGTIME RICHES 5 4 5 4   1nk 1 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 44% 1.30 1.00 W
10  LUNAR MISSION 10 9 8 6   33 2 (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 19.60  
CAIRO BREEZE 4 2 3½ 2½   2nk 33 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 20% 4.10 1.50 S
ICETECA 9 8 7 87   6 4 (hunt jame)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00 52.90  
BOOYAH 1 1 1½ 1½   4 510½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 15.00 40.60  
MILLBANK MAN 2 3 2½ 55   78 612 (pickett cryst)RAMGEET R 116 20.00 34.40  
ONLY GET'N BETTER 3 5 1014¾ 916   912 712¼ (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 116 15.00 28.50  
MAJOR NELSON 6 7 6 76   89 813¾ (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 116 20.00 66.50  
THE CLOWN 8 6 4¾ 31   57 915 (grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 14% 6.20 5.40  
MEXICAN KRYPTONITE 7 10 911¼ 1018   1018 1025 (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00 42.20  
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET               (jones michae)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00    
 
CT-7   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:214 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH MAN MARCO 7 1 3     2½ 11 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 33% 2.00 13.90 W
DERBY DAY DREAMS 4 7 85     65 21 (barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 4.20 P
NICHIREN 2 8 52     4 31 (caramori caio)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 19.80 S
AMIDSHIPS 5 5 1½     1½ 4 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 7% 13.20 1.30  
SHOWTIME CAT 6 2 2½     3½ 5 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 40.90  
ROCKET APPEAL 3 6 63     76 6 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 4.50 6.70  
12  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 9 4 9     8 76 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 24.50  
11  BRION 8 3 7     9 811¾ (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 35% 1.90 2.80  
COLLEGE KID 1 9 4     5 971¾ (spriggs toschia)SIMPSON JASON 119 20.00 40.20  
SCR  BAYTOWN JAKESTER               (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  FIFTY FIFTY               (mcdonald timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
SCR  STRONG FIBER               (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
 
CT-8   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROLLINGINTHEWIND 6 6 8 7   22 1 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 116 4.50 4.70  
LUCKY ONE 1 2 11 11   12 2 (grams timoth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 18% 4.70 9.10 P
10  GATTO BE PROUD 9 10 6 52   3 3 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50 7% 13.10 4.30 S
O'RIGSBY 4 5 9 910   8 4 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00 22.80  
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 8 8 1010¾ 1015½   9 5 (atkins michae)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 25.80  
OFFICER STONE 5 4 5 6   5 610¼ (figgins ollie)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 33.40  
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF 7 7 21 21   4 710¼ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 18% 4.50 4.00  
11  I'M THE MONEY MAN 10 9 42 3   6 811 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 1.80 37% 1.70 1.50  
PINNACLE REEF 3 3 7 85   10 913½ (runco c)BOCACHICA ABNEL 106 15.00 26.40  
JUST A FLIRT 2 1 31 42   7 1014½ (hillegass alexa)SIMPSON JASON 116 20.00 61.80  
SCR  FELICIAS CASTLE               (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
SCR  MALIBU BILLY               (gonzalez a)CRUZ ANGEL 116 5.00    
SCR  NEVERPOPTHECORK               (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.