Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4)-(6/5/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/5/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/5/3/7)-(6/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/9)-(6/5/3/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/7)-(6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/7)-(6/7/1)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(6/2/3)-(5/4/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(5/4/8)-(11/9/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/3)-(5/4/8/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(11/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(11/9/7)-(11/8/1/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (11/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/7)-(11/9/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/9/7)-(11/9/7/4/6)-(11/9/7/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/9/7)-(11/8/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/1/10)-(11/8/1/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8/1/10)-(11/8/1/10/7)-(11/8/1/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANTOM QUEEN Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 Jan18 Dec15 (greaves ve)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  LUZIA May12 Mar31       (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
3  OUR GREAT NOTION Apr20 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16   (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 116 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
4  ESSENTIAL MAGIC         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 6.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of MAGIC FILLSTHE AIR by MORE THAN READY)
5  XTENDED STREAK         (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
6  FOXY SISTA         (jones e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of APRON DANCER by CITIDANCER (IRE))
7  ITSUPTOME Apr28         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Apr28 Apr07       (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 10.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
 
CT-2   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA ROSE Apr28 Mar25 Jan18 Dec07 Nov16 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 ★    
2  CHEROKEE CASTLE Apr21 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Jan11 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 55% 0.80    
3  REAL APPEAL (GER) Apr28 Apr07 Apr01 Mar18 Jan18 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 ★    
4  WINDSOR'S PLAY Apr21 Mar25 Feb08 Jan14 Dec14 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  GLOBAL EMPRESS Apr21 Jan19 Nov26 Nov10 Sep30 (couchenou)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
6  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Apr28 Jan20 Nov09 Sep21 Aug06 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00    
7  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Apr29 Mar18 Feb11 Jan06   (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
 
CT-3   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMBO Mar11 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 May29 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  WIZARD OF ODDS Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
3  BETTER BOOGIE Apr07 Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 Nov12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
4  GAMING JACK Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
5  STRETCH THE TRUTH Mar10 Jan25 Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 1.60 19% 4.20    
6  WIDGET FACTORY Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 Jan14 Nov30 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  NO FOOLING DUDE Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TANELEER May05 Apr14 Apr07 Oct14 Sep22 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00    
9  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jan04 Nov30 Oct27 Oct05 Sep23 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 ★    
 
CT-4   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CHANGE Apr22 Mar11 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  FANCY CONCHO Apr15 Mar11 Feb09 Dec10 Oct08 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
3  HERO'S MAN Apr29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
4  COMMAND THE CAT Apr15 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
5  NICO Apr22 Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 Nov18 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 ★    
6  FREE SAILIN Apr22 Mar30 Feb23 Dec10 Nov12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  SOCIAL CHIC Apr22 Mar18 Feb09 Dec10 Nov03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  ISHIHARA Apr15 Mar11 Oct08 Sep17 Jun16 (runco c)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJAC KAT Apr21 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb08 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00    
2  GOLDEN G Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  REMYS SHOWTIME Apr27 Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 7% 12.80    
4  DAN THE MAN CAN Apr28 Apr07 Sep09 Jul14 Jun17 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 ★    
5  TOLLER Mar30 Mar17 Feb16 Feb02 Jan04 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
6  DAY THE MUSIC DIED Apr27 May15 May07 Apr01   (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 45% 1.20    
7  HAGGERSDALE Feb15 Jan14 Oct28     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 10.00    
8  SETTLEMENT DATE May05 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Feb23 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOYAH Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Aug21 Jul22 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 15.00 ★    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
2  MILLBANK MAN Apr28 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Feb25 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 116 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
3  ONLY GET'N BETTER May04 Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 116 15.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PORTWENN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  CAIRO BREEZE Apr22 Mar03       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 20% 4.10    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
5  RAGTIME RICHES Apr28 Apr14 Mar19 Feb26   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MISS CLAIRTON by MARJU (IRE))
6  MAJOR NELSON Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Feb25 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 116 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
7  MEXICAN KRYPTONITE Apr08         (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of TACTICAL TESS by MUTAKDDIM)
8  THE CLOWN Apr08 Jul22 Jun05     (grams c)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of SUSAY SIXINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
9  ICETECA Feb26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 Nov05 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RIGHT DECISION by HAY HALO)
10  LUNAR MISSION Sep29 Aug22 Jul19     (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of JUST DESSERTS by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Dec24 Nov27 (jones mich)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MISS SUNSET by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CT-7   05/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONG FIBER May11 Jan12 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
2  COLLEGE KID Apr20 Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Apr15 Mar25 Feb22 Feb04 Jan25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
4  NICHIREN Oct15 Sep22 Sep03 Jul22 Jun09 (caramori caio)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 ★    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 Jan26 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
6  DERBY DAY DREAMS Feb23 Jan12 Oct08 Aug13 Jul02 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 ★    
7  AMIDSHIPS Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 7% 13.20    
8  SHOWTIME CAT Apr07 Mar17 Dec30 Oct22 Sep24 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
9  MATH MAN MARCO Apr28 Feb22 Dec14 Nov17 Oct15 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  FIFTY FIFTY Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul02   (mcdonald timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
11  BRION Mar17 Feb12 Oct20 Sep07 Jul20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
12  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Apr14 Mar31 Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ONE Apr27         (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
2  JUST A FLIRT Apr27 Apr14 Mar24 Sep03 Aug13 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 116 20.00    
3  PINNACLE REEF Apr27 Feb16 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 106 15.00    
4  O'RIGSBY Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 Feb17   (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
5  OFFICER STONE Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28   (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  NEVERPOPTHECORK Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb16 Jan07 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
7  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 4.50 ★    
8  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan28 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
9  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Apr28 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28 Jan04 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
10  GATTO BE PROUD Apr28 Mar30 Feb15     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50 7% 13.10    
11  I'M THE MONEY MAN Apr28 Apr06 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  FELICIAS CASTLE May06 Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
SCR  MALIBU BILLY Oct06         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 116 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.