Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/9/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $21.20 $11.20 112%
    EXA (2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-9 $40.80 $20.80 104%
CT-2   DD (2/9/6/1/7)-(5/1/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-1 $56.60 $16.60 42%
CT-6   WIN (4/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  10 $7.80 $1.80 30%
CT-8   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-9 $19.20 $7.20 60%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMIDA COMIDA 6 4 12     1 1 (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00 13% 6.80 9.60 W
FESSIN UP 9 1 9     9 2 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 5.00 27% 2.80 3.70 P
FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR 4 7 22     2 3 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 1.40  
MOON WALKIN 7 3 6     6 47 (mckee e)CECIL Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
MIDNIGHT PASS 3 6 4     4 58 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 28.50  
PRINCESS MIA ROSE 1 9 8     55 6 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 7% 13.70 20.20  
MY BEST GIRL 8 2 5     7 7 (hamlin kat)RIVERA R 115 15.00 45.80  
ESTILO AMOROSO 2 8 32     3 8 (arias alf)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 27% 2.70 2.30  
EVERYDAYISAGIFT 5 5 7     8 9 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 17.10  
 
CT-2   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:161 1:434   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE TO ZOOM 1 1 11 11 1½ 1 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 27% 2.70 1.70 W
EX RATED 8 7 5 66 59 44 2 (jackson ang)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 12.00 14.90  
CEDARS BULLS EYE 4 6 4 44 49 55 3 (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00 5.80  
M'LADY THATCHER 5 3 21 21 2½ 2 4 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.80  
BOCA BIRDIE 3 5 8 811½ 816 88 56 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 22.90  
SARAH'S WARRIOR 2 2 3 32 34 3 6 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 7% 12.90 3.90  
HOVEL 7 8 6 55 610 67 710¾ (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 48.40  
SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER 6 4 7 77 713 78 811 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00 39.90  
 
CT-3   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:162     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM 1 2 1nk 1½   11 1¾ (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 20.00 25.40  
CURB THAT TIGER 6 6 711 6   31 2¾ (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 3.50 3.40  
COLONIAL ROAD 8 8 57 4   21 3 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 8.00 4.30  
FRANK THE BULL 5 3 812 7   5 4 (sterling mi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 48% 1.10 1.80  
MEETMARYSMAN 7 7 2nk 2½   6 5 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 4.10  
JUBAY 2 1 3 3½   4 6 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.50 7.20  
COOL DUDE 4 5 4 5   7 710¾ (cecilia)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00 51.60  
THE LAST CASTLE 3 4 6 8   8 819¼ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 10.00 30% 2.30 13.30  
SCR  J. WICK               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00    
 
CT-4   05/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:222 :463       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHENANDOAH CAT 8 2 1nk     1½ 1 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 15.00 24.00  
JUBA'S HOUSE 7 3 4     4 2 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 8.00 P
SISTER JOANN 6 4 33     32 3 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 124 12.00 14.90  
10  LUNAR PRAYER 9 1 2nk     2½ 4 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 5.50  
TWO STEP SALLY 2 8 6     5 5 (malgarini mawi)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00 25.00  
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW 3 9 9     87 6 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 77.20  
BALI BALIFLY 1 7 8     7 7 (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 118 2.50 15% 5.90 6.30  
EMBERLY 4 6 5     65 8 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 58% 0.70 0.50  
SHAKE IT GIRL 5 5 7     97 98 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 15.00 34.90  
SCR  CHURCH KEY               (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
 
CT-5   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY LYNK 6 6 35 33   22 11 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 3.30  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JUBASLILBALLERINA 5 3 2nk 13   12 21 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 2.50 49% 1.10 0.40 P
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
FAR MORE 1 1 46 4   3 32 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 21.80  
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
LUZIA 4 2 1nk 23   4 413¾ (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 11.70  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 3 5 57 58   513 516¾ (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 6.90  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
JUGSY 2 4 68 6   613½ 623½ (cecilia)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 30.00 37.00  
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
SCR  GALLANT CREED               (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 116 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
SCR  MEGEEZER               (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 8.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
SCR  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
 
CT-6   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHROMATIC LASS 8 7 21 2½   11 1 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.90 W
LUCKY BLONDE 7 5 3 3   21 2 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 7.50  
YOLO CHARLOTTE 6 6 43 42   4 3 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6% 14.50 8.00 S
XANTHE 3 4 76 54   57 4 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 116 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20  
MUSIC LASS 2 1 11 1½   3 5 (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50 4.20  
ELIANAGRACE 4 8 88 7   78 610½ (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 57.20  
PEARLY GHOST 5 3 55 6   68 716 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00 30.80  
NO DENYING DENIS 1 2 6 86   810½ 816 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 17.80  
SCR  CHEROKEE CASTLE               (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S PLAY               (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:143 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 7 6 4 4 2½ 11 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 3.10  
C R'S MANDATE 1 1 31 3 4 3 2 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.50 P
10  SPUNMAN 8 8 6 6 6 4 3 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 15.00 17.50  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 4 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 4 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 16% 5.40 4.10  
UNCAPTURED STORM 2 7 8 8 7 8 510½ (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00 4.60  
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 6 5 5 5 5 57 614¼ (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 6% 14.80 12.10  
JAXJAXXORJACKS 5 3 2nk 2½ 3½ 7 715¼ (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00 31.30  
HOT FUDGE SONDE 3 4 7 7 8 67 815¾ (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 31% 2.20 5.60  
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER               (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY               (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 115 30.00    
SCR  SMALL FIELD               (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:42   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCALIBUR 8 8 5 5 47 36 1¾ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
LADDIE LIAM 9 9 6 612 6 4 2¾ (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.50 16% 5.20 4.10 P
LIQUID LOUIE 7 4 33 33 31 1nk 3¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00 11.30  
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) 3 2 11 11 11 2nk 4 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 1.80 57% 0.70 3.10  
RIGHTEOUS MAN 6 6 79 713 711 6 5 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 12.20  
TOP HAT TREASON 1 1 43 45 5 7 6 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 15.20  
DR. FERBER 2 7 910½ 816 814½ 811¼ 7 (hillegass )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 3.40  
DUNLUCE CAISSLE 4 5 810 917 917 912¾ 811½ (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 62.30  
SOUTHERN SAVIOUR 5 3 21 21 21 5 912¼ (schottrof)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 13.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.