Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/9/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/1/7)-(5/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/1/7)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(6/3)-(4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(4/1)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2/10/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2/10/8)-(4/1/2/10/8) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7)-(4/10/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-5   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (7)-(4/10/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(4/10/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/7)-(4/10/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/10/7)-(4/10/7/6)-(4/10/7/6) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/10/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(3/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7)-(3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/2/5)-(3/9/8/2/5) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS MIA ROSE May06 Apr20 Mar25 Mar09 Feb15 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
2  ESTILO AMOROSO Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 Feb08   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  MIDNIGHT PASS Mar09 Feb24 Jan25 Dec16 Dec03 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
4  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Apr20 Mar30       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00    
5  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Apr08 Mar17       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
6  COMIDA COMIDA         (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
7  MOON WALKIN         (mckee e)CECIL Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY BEST GIRL Apr20 Mar09 Feb15 Dec16 Jul29 (hamlin kat)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
9  FESSIN UP Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Dec03 Nov11 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 5.00 27% 2.80    
 
CT-2   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO ZOOM Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Feb01 Nov18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  SARAH'S WARRIOR Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
3  BOCA BIRDIE Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Mar10 Feb16 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
4  CEDARS BULLS EYE Mar10 Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00    
5  M'LADY THATCHER May02 Apr06 Mar12 Jan29 Jan01 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 Jan25 Jan04 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOVEL Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Nov16 Oct26 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
8  EX RATED Apr21 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Feb01 (jackson ang)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 12.00    
 
CT-3   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Apr13 Feb17 Jan27     (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
2  JUBAY Apr27 Mar31 Mar24 Mar11 Feb15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.50 ★    
3  THE LAST CASTLE Apr14         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 10.00 30% 2.30    
4  COOL DUDE Mar31 Feb17 Jan25 Dec17 Nov18 (cecilia)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
SCR  J. WICK Apr13 Mar31 Mar10     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00    
6  FRANK THE BULL Apr27 Mar31 Mar10     (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  CURB THAT TIGER Apr27 Mar31 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 3.50    
8  MEETMARYSMAN May06 Apr29 Apr06 Mar16   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 ★    
9  COLONIAL ROAD Apr27 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 8.00    
 
CT-4   05/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI BALIFLY Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Aug03   (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 118 2.50 15% 5.90    
2  TWO STEP SALLY Apr06 Jan14       (malgarini mawi)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00 ★    
3  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Mar30 Mar04 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
4  EMBERLY Apr28 Mar25 Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  SHAKE IT GIRL Apr06 Mar01 Jan18 Dec08 Oct26 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 15.00    
6  SISTER JOANN Apr29 Mar30 Feb18 Feb11 Dec15 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 124 12.00    
SCR  CHURCH KEY Apr20 Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 Jan14 (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
8  JUBA'S HOUSE Apr29 Apr06 Mar04 Feb04 Jan14 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 ★    
9  SHENANDOAH CAT Apr29 Apr20 Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
10  LUNAR PRAYER Apr06 Feb25 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 ★    
 
CT-5   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR MORE Apr07 Mar01 Jan18 Nov24 Nov03 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MEGEEZER Apr20 Mar31       (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 8.00 ★    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
3  JUGSY Apr20 Mar31       (cecilia)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
4  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Apr28 Apr07 Mar01 Jan11 Nov03 (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
SCR  GALLANT CREED Apr20 Mar31       (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 116 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
6  LUZIA Mar31         (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
7  JUBASLILBALLERINA Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 Jan06   (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 2.50 49% 1.10    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  SNEAKY LYNK Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Apr28 Apr07       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
 
CT-6   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO DENYING DENIS Apr21 Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
2  MUSIC LASS Apr29 Dec17 Nov19 Oct08 Sep23 (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50    
SCR  WINDSOR'S PLAY Apr21 Mar25 Feb08 Jan14 Dec14 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
4  XANTHE Apr15 Mar10 Feb16 Dec17 Nov04 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 116 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  ELIANAGRACE Apr21 Mar18 Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
6  PEARLY GHOST Apr21 Mar10 Feb08 Jan20 Oct07 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00 ★    
7  YOLO CHARLOTTE Apr15 Mar10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6% 14.50    
8  LUCKY BLONDE Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE CASTLE Apr21 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Jan11 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
10  CHROMATIC LASS Mar10 Jan19 Dec15     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
CT-7   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 Dec10 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  UNCAPTURED STORM Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Apr28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 115 30.00    
4  HOT FUDGE SONDE Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Apr01 Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  JAXJAXXORJACKS Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
7  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 Feb01 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  SMALL FIELD Apr22 Sep07 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
9  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Mar31 Feb22 Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
10  SPUNMAN Mar31 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Sep08 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP HAT TREASON Apr22 Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Jan27 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
2  DR. FERBER Apr08 Mar31 Mar09 Feb01 Nov19 (hillegass )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 ★    
3  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Mar17 Feb24 Jan12 Dec08 Oct27 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 1.80 57% 0.70    
4  DUNLUCE CAISSLE Mar31 Mar09 Feb01 Oct26 Sep30 (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
5  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Apr01 Mar10 Feb17 Dec28 Nov30 (schottrof)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 ★    
6  RIGHTEOUS MAN Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan25 Dec09 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
7  LIQUID LOUIE Mar09 Feb17 Jan06 Dec02 Nov02 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
8  EXCALIBUR Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADDIE LIAM Apr22 Mar31 Jan27 Nov29 Oct22 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.