Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-5   EXA (10/2/7/9)-(10/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-7 $14.50 $2.50 21%
MTH-7   TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/9)-(4/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00  9-4-2 $5.95 $2.95 98%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUEEN CADENCE 3 3 43 33   33½ 1hd (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 1.00 39% 1.50 1.30 W
1  JET FORCE 1 1 11½ 12   12½ 2hd (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 5.00 9.80  
6  SALSA RITA 6 2 21½ 22   22½ 33½ (bailey ricard)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 20.00  
5  TAKE CHARGE ERICA 5 6 32½ 43½   46½ 48¼ (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 20% 4.10 1.10  
2  RAINBOW TROUT 2 4 66 67½   69½ 59 (simon linda)COTTO L 120 3.50 19% 4.30 5.40  
4  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE 4 5 55½ 56½   58½ 610¾ (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 35.30  
 
MTH-2   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CARTIER CAT 5 6 31½ 31½ 32 31½ 11 (mosco robert)MOYA F 120 8.00 10.00  
3  LORD MIO 3 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 11½ 21 (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.80 P
6  LOVERBOY LOU 6 4 1½ 2nk 2½ 21½ 36¼ (cash norma)RIVERA R 115 2.50 24% 3.10 2.90 S
1  THE METHOD 1 5 67 611 58 44½ 46½ (simon linda)COTTO L 120 4.00 4.80  
4  CANTAKEITANYMORE 4 3 54½ 45 45 55½ 510½ (keller chris)ARROYO S 120 6.00 15% 5.70 11.20  
2  SYNONYM B C 2 1 43½ 59 612 612½ 627½ (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50 14.80  
 
MTH-3   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:143 1:281   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EPIC QUEEN 2 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 11½ 1¾ (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 2.60  
8  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE 4 3 1nk 1½ 2½ 21½ 2¾ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 2.70  
1  POSTINO'S PROPHECY 1 4 42¼ 41½ 32 34 34¼ (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 124 4.00 63% 0.60 2.00 S
6  TE AMO 3 1 3.2 31½ 42½ 45 47¼ (penaloza migue)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50 7% 13.40 2.00  
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA               (frangella jam)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS               (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 2.50    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE               (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50    
SCR  SHERRY ORIENTAL               (patern)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WASABI BOY 6 2 42 32   2nk 11 (falcone robert)LUZZI J 118 5.00 20% 3.90 1.80 W
1  BARFLY 1 5 32 22   3.2 21 (hills timothy)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.50 3.20  
2  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE 2 1 1½ 12   1nk 32¾ (lynch cathal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.60 31% 2.20 1.40 S
5  BIG POPPER 5 6 65½ 56   45¼ 412 (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 18.10  
3  CACIO E PEPE 3 4 2½ 43   510¼ 525½ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 17% 5.00 6.00  
4  LITTLE BANKER MAN 4 3 53 611   615¼ 627¼ (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00 43.30  
SCR  ROYAL MOVER               (lake scot)VARGAS A 118 3.00    
 
MTH-5   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DR. DOYLE 7 1 1½ 1½   11 12¼ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 30% 2.30 1.30 W
7  SUNSHINE CHARLIE 5 2 32 33   33 22¼ (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 4.00 11% 7.70 9.00 P
11  LEMON CREEK LOUIE 8 8 2½ 2½   21 32¼ (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 7.70  
3  CASSATION 2 6 64½ 44   44 43½ (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 6.00 11.50  
4  WHAT'S UP MR. Z 3 5 53½ 65½   55½ 54 (kendall dennis)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 12.10  
9  RUNNING RIGHT BY U 6 7 75½ 78½   710½ 610 (spina cha)VARGAS A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
2  HELLO POP 1 4 86½ 88½   810½ 710½ (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
6  MAGICAL JAIME 4 3 43 54½   67½ 812½ (delgado h)LUZZI J 120 3.50 7.90  
SCR  JESTERS HONOR               (dini mike)FERRER C 120 4.00    
SCR  MORETHANACONQUEROR               (harris h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  SAND DUNE               (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-6   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNCLE CAT 7 2 21 1nk   1nk 1¼ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 2.20  
  (by NYQUIST out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
9  APOLLO CODE 8 3 31½ 3.2   2nk 2¼ (delgado jorge)FERRER C 117 6.00 3.60  
  (by HONOR CODE out of RUN A DUBB DUBB by HARLINGTON)
3  PEACE NOT WAR 3 4 42½ 41¾   32 34 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 15% 5.50 3.70 S
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of DANDEE'S WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  REAL SENSATION 6 7 68 78¼   56 48 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WOODVILLE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  LEGENDARY PHANTOM 2 6 56½ 57¾   66½ 59¾ (trombetta )RIVERA R 112 6.00 8.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  TABLOID 4 5 89 68¼   78½ 614 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00 40.90  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SMALL KITCHEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
1  IT'S MY RAINBOW 1 1 11 2nk   44 714 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 22% 3.60 4.50  
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of TIZ MOI by GEMOLOGIST)
5  RUNNING LUCKY 5 8 79 89¼   811½ 820¼ (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
SCR  MAYCOCKS BAY               (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
MTH-7   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FAST COREY 5 1 12½ 13   13 14½ (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 15% 5.60 1.30 W
4  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND 3 2 22½ 23   23 24½ (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.80 P
2  RIGBY 2 4 42¾ 33½   35 36½ (camejo jos)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.50 22% 3.50 4.30 S
6  SEDONA ROCKS 4 3 55¼ 57½   510 410½ (harris ho)VARGAS A 121 6.00 6.10  
1  COMODA 1 5 32½ 46   49 510¾ (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 115 20.00 10.60  
SCR  AIKEN TO BELONG               (berrios manuel)COTTO L 119 15.00    
SCR  DAHGO               (pimental john )LUZZI J 121 20.00    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE CANDY               (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL               (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 2.50    
 
MTH-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEACELOVENKARMA 2 5 57¼ 56½   43 11¾ (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 3.50 8.80  
4  MISS CASEY 4 2 2½ 1½   11 21¾ (gonzalez claudio)FERRER C 122 3.00 15% 5.90 2.70 P
6  BULLET ON TAP 5 3 4¾ 31   21 32¼ (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 2.30  
1  ARROW SHAPE 1 4 1½ 2½   31 44½ (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.00  
3  PEARLS AND HEELS 3 1 3½ 43   54 510½ (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 124 6.00 6% 15.30 15.80  
SCR  DEL REY DOLLY               (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
SCR  JOY'S PRIDE               (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
 
MTH-9   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY My Frenchman Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:214 :444 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE 4 4 2nk 1nk   13 14¼ (arnold george )RENDON JAIRO 116 3.50 1.40  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWEET CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  SUPER CHOW 5 1 3½ 2nk   23 24¼ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 P
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  FREEDOM ROAD 2 5 58½ 59¼   47 36½ (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 8.00 6.60  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LOVABLE LADY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  SIR LANCELOT 3 2 1nk 3.2   35 411¾ (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.50 20% 4.00 5.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADAME X SKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
1  EXTENDO 1 3 41½ 47¼   519 541¼ (david carlo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 3.00 21% 3.80 4.30  
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of JEEKERS by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  CHIRINGO               (weaver ge)VARGAS A 116 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STREET LOVE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CRISPY CAT (GB)               (delgado jorge)FERRER C 122 3.50    
  (by ARDAD out of MARA GREY by AZAMOUR (IRE))
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND               (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PALUXY PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE               (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 116 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CIDDY'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
MTH-10   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEA ON THE LAM 3 4 1nk 12   12½ 11¾ (pino michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 19% 4.20 1.50 W
7  TIEMPO PERFECTO 5 1 42¼ 32   33 21¾ (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 20.00 18.40  
1  SMOOTH RICO 1 2 2nk 22   22½ 32 (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 113 3.50 43% 1.30 0.80 S
4  MY EAGLE SOARS 2 5 52¾ 43   43 43¾ (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 12.00 13% 6.60 6.20  
6  SMART AND FAST 4 3 32 54   56 57¼ (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00 9.70  
SCR  GOLDEN CODE               (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 1.40    
SCR  HOLY CITY               (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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