Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (10/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/9)-(10/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/9)-(10/2/7/9)-(10/2/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/9)-(4/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET FORCE Jul03 May25 May04 Mar21 Feb28 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 5.00    
2  RAINBOW TROUT Jun02 Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 (simon linda)COTTO L 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  QUEEN CADENCE Jun24 Feb12 Jan12 Nov27 Nov16 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 1.00 39% 1.50    
4  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Jul01 May19 Apr30 Apr02 Feb26 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE ERICA Jun17 May28 May02 Apr10 Mar21 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  SALSA RITA Jun17 Jun02 Apr20 Mar24 Feb10 (bailey ricard)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
 
MTH-2   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE METHOD Jun16 May27 Mar27 Mar01 Jan02 (simon linda)COTTO L 120 4.00    
2  SYNONYM B C Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50    
3  LORD MIO Jun23 Jun02 May20 Apr02 Feb19 (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  CANTAKEITANYMORE May05 Apr08 Mar01 Feb01 Dec02 (keller chris)ARROYO S 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  CARTIER CAT Jul03 May30 May22 Apr19 Mar10 (mosco robert)MOYA F 120 8.00    
6  LOVERBOY LOU Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr25 Apr04 (cash norma)RIVERA R 115 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
MTH-3   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jun24 May29 Oct07 Aug28 Jul09 (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 124 4.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jun18 Jun09 May20 Oct08 Sep23 (frangella jam)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE Jun30 Jun17 Sep23 Aug28 Aug15 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50    
4  EPIC QUEEN Jun23 Jun09 May13 Jan25 Nov02 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
SCR  SHERRY ORIENTAL Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Sep18 (patern)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
6  TE AMO Jul08 May29 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 (penaloza migue)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50 7% 13.40    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jun17 May27 Apr07 Mar19 Feb04 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 2.50    
8  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Jul09 May20 Apr07 Feb26 Jan08 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
 
MTH-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARFLY Jul01 Jun11 May28 Apr27 Sep24 (hills timothy)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.50    
2  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE Jun15 Jan23 Dec08 Nov25 Oct06 (lynch cathal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  CACIO E PEPE         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  LITTLE BANKER MAN Jul01 Jun02 Sep18 Sep10 Aug29 (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
5  BIG POPPER Jul01 Jun21 Jun03 May21 Apr22 (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL MOVER Jul05 Jun18 May03 Aug25 Jul23 (lake scot)VARGAS A 118 3.00    
7  WASABI BOY Jun11 May14 Jul24 Jul02 May27 (falcone robert)LUZZI J 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
MTH-5   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORETHANACONQUEROR Jun24 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jun04 (harris h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
2  HELLO POP Jun24 Jun10 May21 Jul31 Jul10 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  CASSATION Jun24 May28 May14 Apr15 Dec21 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 6.00    
4  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jun24 Sep18 Aug28 Jul17 Jun19 (kendall dennis)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50    
SCR  JESTERS HONOR Jul02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 Jul31 (dini mike)FERRER C 120 4.00    
6  MAGICAL JAIME Jun24 Jun03 Apr16 Mar02 Feb01 (delgado h)LUZZI J 120 3.50    
7  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jun24 Jun03 May21 Oct26 Oct19 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 4.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  SAND DUNE Jun24 Jun09 Dec28 Oct22 Sep18 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
9  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jun24 May28 May14 Aug27 Jul22 (spina cha)VARGAS A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DR. DOYLE Jun16 May21 Oct21 Sep28 Sep18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
11  LEMON CREEK LOUIE May29 Nov21 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
 
MTH-6   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MY RAINBOW         (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of TIZ MOI by GEMOLOGIST)
2  LEGENDARY PHANTOM         (trombetta )RIVERA R 112 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  PEACE NOT WAR Jul02         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of DANDEE'S WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  TABLOID Jul02         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SMALL KITCHEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  RUNNING LUCKY         (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
SCR  MAYCOCKS BAY         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  REAL SENSATION         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WOODVILLE by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  UNCLE CAT         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
9  APOLLO CODE         (delgado jorge)FERRER C 117 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RUN A DUBB DUBB by HARLINGTON)
 
MTH-7   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMODA Jun18 Sep11 Jul31 Jul01 Jun17 (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 115 20.00    
2  RIGBY Jun10 Jun02 May07 Apr21 Feb25 (camejo jos)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  DAHGO Jun03 Mar25 Mar10 Jan15 Dec31 (pimental john )LUZZI J 121 20.00    
4  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jun30 Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr02 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  AIKEN TO BELONG Jun30 Jun03 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 (berrios manuel)COTTO L 119 15.00    
6  SEDONA ROCKS Jun30 Jun03 Dec18 Dec04 Nov19 (harris ho)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Jun20 May31 May19 Mar15 Feb20 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Jun30 Jun09 Jun03 May20 Mar01 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 2.50    
9  FAST COREY Jun17 Oct07 Aug04 Jul14 Jun11 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
MTH-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW SHAPE Jun17 Jun10 May13 Nov06 Oct15 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  PEACELOVENKARMA Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
3  PEARLS AND HEELS Jun25 Jun02 May20 Apr17 Apr03 (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
4  MISS CASEY Jun24 Jun02 May18 Mar12 Mar05 (gonzalez claudio)FERRER C 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  JOY'S PRIDE Jul09 Jun23 May27 Nov15 Sep27 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
6  BULLET ON TAP Jun24 Apr27 Mar22 Mar05 Feb15 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00    
SCR  DEL REY DOLLY Jul02 Aug20 Jul22 Jun09 May14 (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
MTH-9   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY My Frenchman Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTENDO Jun17 May20 Jan18 Nov04 Oct02 (david carlo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of JEEKERS by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  FREEDOM ROAD Jun21 May21 Mar11 Jan21 Oct29 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LOVABLE LADY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  SIR LANCELOT Oct29 Oct04 Sep09     (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADAME X SKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
SCR  CRISPY CAT (GB) May13 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10   (delgado jorge)FERRER C 122 3.50    
  (by ARDAD out of MARA GREY by AZAMOUR (IRE))
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND May28 Apr26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PALUXY PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE Jun25 May21 Apr14 Mar04   (arnold george )RENDON JAIRO 116 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWEET CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE Jun17 May27 May06 Mar11   (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 116 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CIDDY'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CHIRINGO May13 Apr16 Mar11 Dec11 Nov05 (weaver ge)VARGAS A 116 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STREET LOVE by STREET BOSS)
9  SUPER CHOW Jun24 May20 Mar18 Feb04 Jan01 (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
MTH-10   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH RICO Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 Mar05 Feb12 (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 113 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  HOLY CITY Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 May29 Mar11 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN CODE Apr06 Mar10 Feb05 Apr09 Mar05 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 1.40    
4  MY EAGLE SOARS Jul08 Jun10 May29 Mar29 Mar12 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 12.00 13% 6.60    
5  SHEA ON THE LAM Jun24 Jun02 May21 Apr07 Mar23 (pino michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  SMART AND FAST Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr29 Apr16 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00    
7  TIEMPO PERFECTO Jun24 Jun10 May29 May14 Apr19 (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.