Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Laurel Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.40 $4.40 73%
LRL-3   DD (5/6/3)-(6/10/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $26.10 $14.10 118%
LRL-6   WIN (8/10/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $14.60 $4.60 46%
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(8/10/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-10 $20.60 $0.60 3%
LRL-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $12.90 $6.90 115%
Simulator Race results
 
LRL-1   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:134 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARVELETTE 3 2 11½ 11 11½ 1½ 1nk (coletti j)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 5.50  
4  CUSH EFFECT 4 6 77½ 78½ 710 45 2nk (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.50 28% 2.60 2.00 P
8  PALACSINTA 8 3 21½ 21 21½ 2½ 31¼ (russell britta)ROCCO S 120 2.50 41% 1.50 1.90 S
5  TRES MARIA'S DREAM 5 7 66 66½ 57 55¼ 43 (neilson wall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00 30.80  
6  IRISH MIRAGE 6 5 43½ 43 34½ 35 55¼ (keefe timot)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
1  IRISH ZAPPER 1 4 55 56 69 711¾ 611½ (samaniego j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 7.90  
2  ELLYMARIE 2 1 32 33 46 69¼ 712½ (walters h)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
7  MODERN SOCIETY 7 8 88½ 810½ 813½ 814¼ 814¾ (cooney s)MONTERREY R 120 30.00 26.70  
 
LRL-2   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VIOLENT ROCK 2 3 46½ 37½   23 13½ (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 6% 16.20 4.20 W
8  LANDON JACK 6 1 14 14½   13 23½ (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00 2.30  
4  RASCALLY REBEL 3 5 56½ 58½   44½ 34¼ (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 116 30.00 38.00  
6  BY ITS ABSENCE 5 2 34½ 48   56½ 44¾ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.00 10% 9.50 4.60  
2  JUDY'S ARMY 1 4 24 24½   34½ 55 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 7.60  
5  MORETHANREADYEDDIE 4 6 68 610½   68 618¾ (russell britta)ROCCO S 120 1.60 62% 0.60 1.40  
SCR  BANDITS HEART               (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CAT               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
 
LRL-3   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:11 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WISH ME HOME 4 1 11½ 11½ 11 13½ 11¾ (russell britta)ROCCO S 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 W
7  TULCHAN 5 4 21½ 21½ 21 23½ 21¾ (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 3.70  
10  HARDSPUN REASON 7 8 712 710 610¼ 56½ 33 (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50 12% 7.40 2.70 S
12  OPPOSITES ATTRACT 8 7 44½ 44 45 34½ 43½ (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 15.00 7% 12.50 4.90  
1  ROMP (ARG) 1 6 813 811 713¼ 710½ 55 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00 36.20  
5  THE LAST SCIP 3 3 34 33 35 45½ 66¼ (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 9% 9.90 10.70  
9  SILK WAR 6 2 56½ 55½ 510 69½ 76¾ (graham ed)CARRASCO R 123 15.00 10.80  
3  SEA GHOST 2 5 610 68½ 814¾ 816½ 812¾ (cole c)DELGADO A 123 30.00 21.10  
SCR  AWARD NOMINATED               (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
SCR  NO EASY DAYS               (dilodovico )CONCEPCION AXEL 112 3.50    
SCR  VAX A NATION               (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 117 20.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
 
LRL-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHARGE TO VICTORY 5 4 54½ 54½   43½ 1hd (howard da)CARRASCO R 126 5.00 5.70  
1  HIS NAME IS SUE 1 3 21½ 32½   32 2hd (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 19% 4.10 5.10 P
4  SPOTTED BULL 2 5 32½ 21½   21 3¼ (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00 2.60  
6  WILD BEHAVIOR 4 2 11½ 11½   11 42½ (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 31% 2.20 1.10  
5  HE'S INCREDIBLE 3 1 43½ 44   55 512½ (velazquez alfred)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 23% 3.40 5.00  
SCR  FREE SQUARE               (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR               (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
SCR  SAVOY               (mohan david )WHITACRE GRANT 123 30.00    
SCR  THE CAIRO KID               (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
 
LRL-5   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Big Dreyfus Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:14 1:373   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPARKLE BLUE 3 4 43½ 43½ 53¼ 1½ 12¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
6  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) 5 6 75½ 76¼ 75¾ 52½ 22¼ (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80 1.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALWINA by AREION (GER))
1  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 1 3 21½ 3½ 31 2½ 33¾ (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 6.00 11.90  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RIMINI ROAD by DYNAFORMER)
2  CANDY LIGHT 2 7 65 64¼ 43 3½ 44½ (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.50 21% 3.70 5.00  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEEN YOLANDA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  LADY PUCHI 4 1 11½ 1½ 11 41 57 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 30.00 40.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANNABIRD by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  COCONUT CAKE 7 5 32½ 2½ 21 67 610 (keefe timo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00 5% 17.60 13.90  
  (by BANDBOX out of ENGLISH MUFFIN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  DECIDING VOTE 6 2 54 54 63¾ 78½ 710¼ (graham edward)ROCCO S 120 6.00 17% 5.10 7.80  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of SHEPPARD'S PIE by INCLUDE)
SCR  CUPID'S STRIKE               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of MAKING MARK MONEY by SMART STRIKE)
 
LRL-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALLIALLIOXENFREE 9 1 11 12   13½ 11¼ (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 15% 5.70 6.30 W
6  GENIEINABRIDLE 5 6 43½ 46½   46½ 21¼ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 1.90  
7  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN 6 7 32 32½   23½ 32¼ (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 15.00 14.90  
1  MYSISTERNANCY 1 8 75½ 87¾   56½ 42½ (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00 17.50  
5  SKYLAR'S SISTER 4 2 21 22   35 53 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 13% 6.90 2.50  
2  TRITONE GAL 2 9 96¼ 98¾   68 63¾ (ambrogi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 5.00 12% 7.40 7.80  
8  SWEET BEAUTY 7 5 86 57½   78¼ 75¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.00 28% 2.60 4.20  
9  DONNA'S COURAGE 8 3 64½ 77¾   810¼ 86½ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 20.00 11% 7.90 31.00  
4  IRISH VALENTINE 3 4 53½ 67½   913¼ 917½ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 116 30.00 72.30  
SCR  THUNDER BOSS               (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
 
LRL-7   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Prince George's County Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:111 1:351   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EONS 4 3 43½ 31 3½ 1½ 1hd (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 12.00 7.40  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GOLDEN ANTIGUA by HANSEL)
8  PAO ALTO (FR) 5 5 55 57 52¾ 2½ 2hd (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.00 12% 7.30 3.50 P
  (by INTELLO (GER) out of PEACEFUL LOVE (GER) by DASHING BLADE (GB))
1  SKY'S NOT FALLING 1 4 32½ 45 42½ 31 32¼ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00 11% 7.80 5.70 S
  (by SEVILLE out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
2  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) 2 1 12 1½ 1½ 42 44 (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50 0.70  
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of SHALOUSHKA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
4  BEACON HILL 3 2 22 2½ 2½ 54½ 56¼ (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 46% 1.20 5.50  
  (by BLAME out of MY MAMMY by CAME HOME)
SCR  CAMP HOPE               (mcpeek kenneth)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PRAISING by PULPIT)
SCR  ROYNE               (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SAFE CROSSING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  TIZ THE BOMB               (mcpeek g)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
 
LRL-8   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Caesar's Wish Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:111 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HYBRID ECLIPSE 6 3 66½ 68¼ 57½ 46 1¼ (russell britta)ROCCO S 124 3.00 14% 6.00 3.10 W
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
4  AWARD WANTED 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 2¼ (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.60 52% 0.90 1.80 P
  (by MACHO UNO out of TOURING HONG KONG by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
2  INTREPID DAYDREAM 2 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 3¾ (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80 1.40  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
5  DECO STRONG 5 6 53 43¼ 33½ 35 43¾ (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 16.00  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1  MISTY MAUVE 1 5 42½ 53¼ 44½ 59 513¼ (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00 11.10  
  (by PAYNTER out of TICKET TO SEATTLE by CAPOTE)
3  CASHING BIG CHECKS 3 1 32½ 33 69½ 613½ 622¾ (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
  (by MR. BIG out of PALISADESPRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.