Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (8/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/8)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/6)-(5/6/3)-(6/10/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(6/10/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/10/5/12)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/10/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/12)-(6/10/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/10/12)-(5/6/10/12)-(5/6/10/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/10/12)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/10/5/12)-(6/5/1)-(3/2/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/2/7/8)-(8/10/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/8)-(2/5/8/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8)-(8/10/5/2/9)-(4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/10/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/2/9)-(8/10/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/9/10)-(2/5/8/9/10)-(2/5/8/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/9/10)-(1/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/10/5/2/9)-(4/8/1)-(4/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(4/6/3)-(6/5/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH ZAPPER Jun22 Jun03 May04 Dec30 Dec04 (samaniego j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00    
2  ELLYMARIE Jun17 May27       (walters h)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARVELETTE Jun10 May24 Sep25     (coletti j)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
4  CUSH EFFECT Jun25 May27 Jul09 Jun18 May26 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  TRES MARIA'S DREAM Nov25 Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 Sep07 (neilson wall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00    
6  IRISH MIRAGE Jun10 May25 Oct28     (keefe timot)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MODERN SOCIETY Jun03 Apr16 Oct27 Oct08   (cooney s)MONTERREY R 120 30.00    
8  PALACSINTA Jun25 May27 Apr23 Mar04 Feb17 (russell britta)ROCCO S 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
LRL-2   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT CAT Jun27 May29       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
2  JUDY'S ARMY May07 Sep04 Aug06     (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
3  VIOLENT ROCK Jun23 Dec09 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
4  RASCALLY REBEL Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 May27 May07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 116 30.00    
5  MORETHANREADYEDDIE May14 Mar11 Feb02 Jun09   (russell britta)ROCCO S 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
6  BY ITS ABSENCE Jun10 Apr30 Apr13 Mar25   (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  BANDITS HEART Oct22 Sep29 Sep01 Aug09   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
8  LANDON JACK Jun10 Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 Nov27 (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
 
LRL-3   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMP (ARG) May18 Apr20 Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN Jul14 May24 Apr22 Apr02 Jan29 (kelly blake)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
3  SEA GHOST Jun24 May18 Mar10 Jan06 Nov21 (cole c)DELGADO A 123 30.00    
SCR  NO EASY DAYS May14 Mar11 Feb12 Jan27 Nov27 (dilodovico )CONCEPCION AXEL 112 3.50    
5  THE LAST SCIP Jun24 May26 Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 9% 9.90    
6  WISH ME HOME Jun04 Nov04 Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 (russell britta)ROCCO S 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  TULCHAN Jun09 May06 Mar24     (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
SCR  VAX A NATION Jun17 May26 May05 Mar31 Mar10 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 117 20.00    
9  SILK WAR May29 Oct14 Jul30     (graham ed)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
10  HARDSPUN REASON Jun17 May18 Apr13 May28 Mar19 (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  AWARD NOMINATED Jun24 Jun11 Oct30 Oct14 Oct01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
12  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jun11 Apr30 Oct09 Sep06 Jul19 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 15.00 7% 12.50    
 
LRL-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS NAME IS SUE Jun30 May28 May12 Apr28 Aug31 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 19% 4.10    
SCR  THE CAIRO KID May12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Jun24 May12 Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
4  SPOTTED BULL Jul07 Jun24 May27 May07 Apr27 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
5  HE'S INCREDIBLE Jun28 May09 Apr25 Mar15 Feb27 (velazquez alfred)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  WILD BEHAVIOR Jul01 Jun15 May12 Apr06 Feb20 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 31% 2.20    
7  CHARGE TO VICTORY Jun24 May27 May13 Apr20 Mar25 (howard da)CARRASCO R 126 5.00    
SCR  SAVOY Jun24 May13 May07 Apr15 Mar25 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00    
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR Jun18 May25 May13 May04 Apr13 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
 
LRL-5   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Big Dreyfus Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Jun03 Oct20 Aug30 Jul31 Jun17 (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RIMINI ROAD by DYNAFORMER)
2  CANDY LIGHT Jun15 May21 Dec26 Nov13 Oct13 (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEEN YOLANDA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SPARKLE BLUE May27 May05 Dec26 Oct28 Sep06 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
4  LADY PUCHI Jun21 May18 Apr12 Nov25 Oct28 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANNABIRD by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  CUPID'S STRIKE Jun18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of MAKING MARK MONEY by SMART STRIKE)
6  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) Jun16 May05 Apr01     (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALWINA by AREION (GER))
7  DECIDING VOTE Jun18 Apr29 Oct26 Oct03 Aug16 (graham edward)ROCCO S 120 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of SHEPPARD'S PIE by INCLUDE)
8  COCONUT CAKE Jul01 May28 Nov20 Oct22 Jul16 (keefe timo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00 5% 17.60    
  (by BANDBOX out of ENGLISH MUFFIN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
LRL-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSISTERNANCY Jun11 May27 May06 Dec16 Nov26 (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
2  TRITONE GAL May12 Oct28 Jul23 Jul02 Jun03 (ambrogi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 5.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS Jul02 Jun24 May26 May12 May04 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
4  IRISH VALENTINE Jun02 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (pickett cry)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 30.00    
5  SKYLAR'S SISTER Jun25 Jun02 May14 Dec03 Nov14 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 13% 6.90    
6  GENIEINABRIDLE Jun09 May14 Mar10 Jan28 Dec18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
7  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Jun11 May06 Apr16 Apr02 Jan13 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 15.00    
8  SWEET BEAUTY Jun25 May13 Apr27 Mar03 Jan05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
9  DONNA'S COURAGE Jun02 Apr30 Feb18 Jan16 Dec16 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 20.00 11% 7.90    
10  ALLIALLIOXENFREE Jun16 Dec04 Nov14     (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
LRL-7   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Prince George's County Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY'S NOT FALLING May27 May06 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by SEVILLE out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
2  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) Jun03 Apr20 Sep06 Aug06 Jul09 (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of SHALOUSHKA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
SCR  CAMP HOPE Jul01 Jun01 May04 Apr07 Mar25 (mcpeek kenneth)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PRAISING by PULPIT)
4  BEACON HILL Nov26 Oct01 Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
  (by BLAME out of MY MAMMY by CAME HOME)
5  EONS Jun17 May06 Apr07 Oct09 Aug16 (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GOLDEN ANTIGUA by HANSEL)
SCR  ROYNE Jun17 Nov07 Oct15 Sep10 Jul27 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SAFE CROSSING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  TIZ THE BOMB Jun17 May20 Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 (mcpeek g)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
8  PAO ALTO (FR) Jan28 Dec31 Nov13 Oct09 Sep10 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by INTELLO (GER) out of PEACEFUL LOVE (GER) by DASHING BLADE (GB))
 
LRL-8   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Caesar's Wish Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY MAUVE May19 May13 Apr29 Apr07 Apr01 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of TICKET TO SEATTLE by CAPOTE)
2  INTREPID DAYDREAM Jun16 Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug13 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
3  CASHING BIG CHECKS Jun03 May13 Apr12 Mar11 Feb22 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of PALISADESPRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  AWARD WANTED May27 Apr15 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TOURING HONG KONG by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
5  DECO STRONG Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May08 Apr15 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  HYBRID ECLIPSE May27 Apr15 Feb18 Dec30 Nov12 (russell britta)ROCCO S 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
 
LRL-9   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec09   (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TENAX May11 Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
3  B DETERMINED Jun09 May19 Nov04 Oct23 Sep07 (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
SCR  UPSIDEDOWN MAN Jun16 Jun02 May04     (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 117 30.00    
5  KOBE TOUGH Jun09 Oct27 Oct09 Sep09 Aug23 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN May28 Oct20 Sep25 Aug17 Aug07 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  BOSS MAN J J Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr20 Mar19 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
8  ODINSON Jun09 May04       (meyers madi)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  TALL ORDER Jun09 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 Aug08 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.