Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-3   WIN (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    EXA (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $16.60 $4.60 38%
CNL-4   DD (1/3/7/8)-(1/11/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-1 $27.00 $7.00 35%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  O'CONNER SUNSET 2 6 42½ 42¾   3½ 11 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 9.40  
1  FREE SOUL 1 3 21 2nk   2nk 21 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00 6% 16.30 5.90 P
5  FREESTANDING 5 2 11 1nk   1nk 31¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.50 46% 1.20 1.90 S
4  WELAKA 4 4 65¼ 67¾   56 46¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 2.70  
6  SPITBALL 6 1 31 32½   43½ 58½ (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 122 2.00 6.10  
3  MANOLITO 3 5 52¾ 55¾   67½ 610¾ (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00 12% 7.30 3.30  
 
CNL-2   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACE UP HER SLEEVE 2 2 1½ 11½   12½ 16¼ (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 0.60 38% 1.60 0.10 W
  (by DIALED IN out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
5  SERIOUS MOMENT 4 3 32 33   22½ 26¼ (hester l)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 3.70  
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of PERSUASIVE MOMENT by SINFUL PERSUASION)
4  CLARIFICATION 3 1 2½ 21½   36½ 313 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 38% 1.70 19.80 S
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
1  BANK CARD 1 5 511 513   517½ 425 (p)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 114 30.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of WHERE'S MY MONEY by PETIONVILLE)
6  MAKAAN 5 4 44 46   412½ 526 (soldo elaine)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 20.00 12.20  
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  LENAMAGNETTA               (testerman valora)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of THE SLIPPER FITS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
CNL-3   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KING KONTIE 3 1 15 16   18 15¾ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 2.50 21% 3.70 3.80 W
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
1  MASSIF 1 8 79 511   59 25¾ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.80 35% 1.90 2.50 P
  (by SKY MESA out of SOCIETY'S SONG by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
2  YAHMO 2 7 47½ 411   49 37¼ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 1.80  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LADY GRANTHAM by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
8  SASSE'S CLASS 8 5 89½ 611¼   38½ 47½ (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
  (by TONALIST out of NO SATIS ACTION by ACTION THIS DAY)
6  TECH DUINN 6 6 25 26   28 510¼ (venham lyn )ESQUILIN J 119 8.00 37.40  
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
5  TWO BRONZE STARS 5 3 36 39   69¼ 613 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 3.70  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  CONCENTRATION 4 2 58 814¼   716¼ 719½ (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 10.00 18.10  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
7  NANCY MADE MY DAY 7 4 68½ 714¼   817¼ 823 (cooney s)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of JUMPIN' NANCY by JUMP START)
 
CNL-4   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:133 1:252   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED FINN 1 10 84¼ 72¼ 3½ 1½ 11 (kelly bl)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 59% 0.70 2.70 W
11  CARRONADE 10 7 62¾ 62¼ 4¾ 42 21 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 7% 12.40 4.20 P
10  ADMIRAL'S WAVE 9 6 52¼ 52 72¾ 52¼ 31¾ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 12.00 22.70  
2  GRAEL 2 4 74¼ 83¼ 85¼ 85¼ 42½ (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 7% 12.80 4.50  
9  ANAMNESTIC 8 5 31 2nk 2nk 2½ 53 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  THE HAPPY GIANT 3 9 105¾ 105½ 108½ 97¼ 65½ (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00 40.80  
5  LE GRIFFON 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 3½ 76½ (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 48.90  
7  ROYAL VELVET 6 3 41¼ 3½ 62¼ 73¾ 87 (clement c)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 3.10  
4  SELECTO 4 8 94¾ 95¼ 95½ 109¼ 98½ (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 50.00 39.40  
8  TOLAGA BAY 7 2 21 41½ 52¼ 62¾ 1010½ (kingsle)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 9.40  
SCR  KANAAN               (bourke li)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:114 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOFFO KID 2 6 54 63¼ 54¼ 1nk 13 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 8.30  
4  MENTALIST 4 1 32½ 51¾ 32 2nk 23 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 2.50 2.20  
5  SUMMER ANTHEM 5 3 42½ 41¾ 42¼ 41¼ 35¼ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 1.60 70% 0.40 0.80 S
7  BOURBON BROWN 7 4 21 2nk 2nk 3.2 46¼ (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 9.30  
1  THANK YA PETE 1 2 11 1nk 1nk 52¾ 514 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
8  DON BERNARDO 8 5 77 76¼ 711¼ 69¾ 614¾ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 68.50  
6  ERLAN 6 8 64½ 3.2 69¼ 711¼ 720½ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 20.00 34.90  
3  THE THINKER 3 7 816 816¼ 823¼ 824¼ 838¾ (allen ferr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
 
CNL-6   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:262   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NORTHERN TICK TOCK 6 6 53½ 52¾ 52¾ 3.2 12½ (kee j)KARAMANOS A 125 10.00 8.30  
6  BAIL OUT 5 4 31½ 31 41¾ 1nk 22½ (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 2.00 2.30  
1  TAPIT BRIO 1 1 42 41¼ 31½ 2nk 32½ (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 123 1.40 46% 1.20 1.10 S
3  CRAZY ODDS 2 5 65 63¾ 63¼ 52¼ 44½ (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 6.00 26% 2.90 3.20  
5  MINEOLA MIKE 4 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 4¼ 55¾ (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 125 20.00 18.40  
4  CELTIC SEA 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 64¼ 610¾ (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
SCR  SMALL FIELD               (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
 
CNL-7   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AIR ONE 4 1 55½ 55½   4¼ 1¾ (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 10.00 15.60  
7  MOMENTOUS MISS 6 2 22½ 23   1nk 2¾ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.60 4.20 P
3  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 2 4 33½ 34   3.2 31¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 6% 15.90 3.00 S
6  LOVING CUP (JPN) 5 5 44½ 44   51¾ 43¼ (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 36% 1.80 2.70  
2  BABY LUCK 1 6 67 66½   62¾ 53¾ (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50 2.70  
8  TOVIA 7 3 12½ 13   2nk 66¼ (cazares laura)SANTOS ADEMAR 114 4.00 24% 3.20 5.40  
4  BEDTIMEBOURBON 3 7 79 78½   75¾ 77 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00 31.00  
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 2.50    
 
CNL-8   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MICHEAUX 1 1 12½ 12   14 12 (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 6.00 6.70  
3  DOC ROCK 2 4 54½ 53   34½ 22 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 2.30  
5  AWESOME STEPHEN 4 3 33 22   24 33 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00 7.30  
7  DANCIN IN DUBAI 6 5 43½ 32   44½ 46 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 27% 2.80 4.00  
4  TEMPTING MOMENT 3 2 22½ 42½   54¾ 57¼ (hester leanne)CASTANON L 115 30.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
6  GOLDBUSTER 5 6 67 68½   624¾ 637¾ (stidham michae)ROCCO S 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30  
SCR  DRUM AND DRUMMER               (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.50    
 
CNL-9   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GET THEM DIGITS 12 11 107¼ 63¾   53¼ 11½ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 3.10  
9  DISCREET DEVIL 8 2 2½ 2nk   12½ 21½ (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 10% 8.70 3.60 P
2  STARSTREET 2 6 86½ 95¼   74¼ 32¾ (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 46% 1.20 5.40 S
8  MUNNIS PRETTY 7 1 44 52¾   43 43¼ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 30.00 19.80  
10  SWIFT DANCER 9 3 32 31½   22½ 54¼ (williams gary)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 10% 8.70 6.90  
7  SMILIN JACK 6 10 76 73¾   84½ 65¼ (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 11% 8.40 7.70  
5  HIT THE JACKPOT 4 7 96¾ 106¼   106 75½ (allen a)GONCALVES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
11  HEAVY WEIGHT 10 5 54½ 42½   32½ 86 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 40.00 28.80  
12  SHAMELESS APPEAL 11 12 1210¼ 129¾   128 99 (soldo elaine)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 50.00 52.90  
1  KALINBA 1 8 66 84¼   116 1011¾ (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00 7.50  
3  RIP IT 3 9 118¼ 117¼   96 1112 (haughton d)ALONSO LUIS 124 50.00 48.80  
6  GREAT CALL 5 4 1½ 1nk   63¼ 1224¼ (meyers madison)CASTANON L 119 15.00 9.40  
SCR  TAKE AIM               (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 12.00    
 
CNL-10   07/14/2023 11880ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:563 1:524 2:483 3:163 3:421 4:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CIBOLIAN 3 712 78½ 78½ 72¼ 31 1¼ (kingsley a)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154   8% 11.50   W
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of YADIRA by PULPIT)
4  HIGH DEFF (FR) 4 47½ 46 35 31 1½ 2¼ (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
  (by UNKNOWN out of JAKONDA by KINGMAMBO)
10  NATHAN DETROIT 10 610½ 68 57 61¾ 2½ 3½ (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154   8% 11.50   S
  (by UNION RAGS out of GRACIE SQUARE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  BE YOURSELF 8 915 911 99¼ 94¼ 59 46¼ (morris r)ENGLAND DAVID 154      
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ENJOY YOURSELF (GB) by UNKNOWN)
5  STRAW INTO GOLD 5 24 23½ 23½ 1½ 41 56¾ (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
  (by HARD SPUN out of STRIKE IT RICH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) 7 59 57½ 67 51½ 610 616 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
  (by GETAWAY out of CORSKEAGH SHADOW by BENEFICIAL)
9  ICANDOTHAT 9 1018 1013 1012¼ 109¼ 917½ 722½ (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148   8% 11.50    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CALLIOPE by OUTFLANKER)
6  GARRISON FOREST (IRE) 6 813 88½ 89 83¼ 714 823 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 148      
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of MY POLLYANNA by PRESENTING (GB))
1  FINDING FREEDOM 1 14 13½ 13½ 2½ 817 931¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154   8% 11.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
2  ABSAM 2 37½ 35½ 46 41½ 1018½ 1044¾ (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 154   8% 11.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  GOOD BOY (FR)               (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
  (by DIAMOND BOY out of MARALYPHA by LOUVETEAU)
SCR  REASSURED               (beecher mark)WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
  (by BANDBOX out of BRIDLED ASSURANCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CNL-11   07/14/2023 11880ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
4:202         4:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOLD CHARM (IRE) 6 69 65 65 31½ 11 12¾ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 147   13% 6.60   W
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of DEVERON by COZZENE)
2  LACEY UNDERALL 2 16 12 11 1½ 21 22¾ (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 140   13% 6.60   P
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  AFRAID NOT 5 37 22 21 2½ 32½ 34 (gomens juli)GALLIGAN GERARD 147      
  (by TOURIST out of TREPIDATION by SEEKING THE GOLD)
1  FOX IN THE PARK (IRE) 1 26 33 43 43 44 47¼ (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 153   13% 6.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOX THEATRE by KING'S THEATRE (IRE))
4  BOURBON DIVERSION 3 48 44 54 610½ 56½ 511 (kingsley a)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 147      
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BOURBON TWIST by LANGFUHR)
5  FUSEE DE POCHE (IRE) 4 58 54 32½ 55½ 611½ 621½ (dowling will)DALTON BERNARD 153      
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of ISITYOURSELF by MILAN (GB))
SCR  LADY'S GAME (GB)               (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 147   13% 6.60    
  (by BLUE BRESIL out of GRAINNE NI MAILLE by TERIMON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.