The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Colonial Downs
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $59.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-5 3 0 $213.00 -6.00
CNL-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $2.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5-4 3 0 $6.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-3 2 0 $11.40 -9.00
CNL-3   Win (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
    Exacta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 1 $16.60 $16.60 4.60
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-1-2 3 0 $36.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-3 2 1 $4.90 $4.90 -7.10
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 2-2/3-3 3 0 $49.20 -36.00
CNL-4   Win (1/2/5/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/2/5/9/11)-(1/2/5/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-11 2 1 $15.00 $15.00 -5.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/9/11)-(1/2/5/9/11)-(1/2/5/9/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-11-10 3 0 $138.90 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/3/7/8)-(1/2/5/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-1 2 1 $27.00 $27.00 7.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/2/5/9/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 2/3-3-1/6 3 1 $21.60 $21.60 -38.40
CNL-5   Win (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $18.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $35.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-4-5 3 0 $78.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/9/11)-(1/3/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-2 2 0 $37.80 -20.00
    Pick Three (1/3/7/8)-(1/2/5/9/11)-(1/3/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 3-1/6-2 3 0 $200.60 -80.00
CNL-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $18.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6 2 0 $30.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6-1 3 0 $60.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 0 $127.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5/9/11)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1/6-2-7 3 0 $268.70 -60.00
CNL-7   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $33.20 -8.00
    Exacta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-7 2 0 $111.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-7-3 3 0 $764.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-5 2 0 $180.50 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/4)-(3/6/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-7-5 3 0 $1439.50 -48.00
CNL-8   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $15.40 -6.00
    Exacta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3 2 0 $29.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3-5 3 0 $143.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-2 2 0 $249.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 7-5-2 3 0 $854.00 -36.00
CNL-9   Win (2/5/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 0 $8.20 -10.00
    Exacta (2/5/7/9/10)-(2/5/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 13-9 2 0 $19.60 -20.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7/9/10)-(2/5/7/9/10)-(2/5/7/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 13-9-2 3 0 $116.40 -60.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7)-(2/5/7/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-13 2 0 $39.10 -15.00
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8)-(4/6/7)-(2/5/7/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-2-4/13 3 0 $1174.00 -60.00

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:23 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O'CONNER SUNSET 2 6 4 4   3½ 11 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 9.40  
FREE SOUL 1 3 21 2nk   2nk 21 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00 6% 16.30 5.90 P
FREESTANDING 5 2 11 1nk   1nk 3(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.50 46% 1.20 1.90 S
WELAKA 4 4 6 6   56 4(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 2.70  
SPITBALL 6 1 31 3   45(mcmahon i)ROCCO S 122 2.00 6.10  
MANOLITO 3 5 5 5   6610¾ (klesaris robert )BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00 12% 7.30 3.30  
 
CNL-2   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
:223 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE UP HER SLEEVE 2 2 1½ 1   11(klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 0.60 38% 1.60 0.10 W
SERIOUS MOMENT 4 3 32 33   22(hester lea)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 3.70  
CLARIFICATION 3 1 2½ 2   3313 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 38% 1.70 19.80 S
BANK CARD 1 5 511 513   517½ 425 (pic)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 114 30.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
MAKAAN 5 4 44 46   412½ 526 (soldo elaine)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 20.00 12.20  
SCR  LENAMAGNETTA               (testerman valora)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
 
CNL-3   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
:222 :451 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING KONTIE 3 1 15 16   18 1(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 2.50 21% 3.70 3.80 W
MASSIF 1 8 79 511   59 2(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.80 35% 1.90 2.50 P
YAHMO 2 7 4 411   49 3(stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 1.80  
SASSE'S CLASS 8 5 8 611¼   34(milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
TECH DUINN 6 6 25 26   28 510¼ (venham d)ESQUILIN J 119 8.00 37.40  
TWO BRONZE STARS 5 3 36 39   6613 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 3.70  
CONCENTRATION 4 2 58 814¼   716¼ 719½ (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 10.00 18.10  
NANCY MADE MY DAY 7 4 6 714¼   817¼ 823 (cooney s)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
 
CNL-4   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:242 :493 1:133 1:252   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED FINN 1 10 8 7 3½ 1½ 11 (kelly blak)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 59% 0.70 2.70 W
11  CARRONADE 10 7 6 6 4¾ 42 21 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 7% 12.40 4.20 P
10  ADMIRAL'S WAVE 9 6 5 52 7 53(mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 12.00 22.70  
GRAEL 2 4 7 8 8 84(stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 7% 12.80 4.50  
ANAMNESTIC 8 5 31 2nk 2nk 2½ 53 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
THE HAPPY GIANT 3 9 10 10 10 96(fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00 40.80  
LE GRIFFON 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 3½ 7(escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 48.90  
ROYAL VELVET 6 3 4 3½ 6 787 (clement chr)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 3.10  
SELECTO 4 8 9 9 9 109(nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 50.00 39.40  
TOLAGA BAY 7 2 21 4 5 61010½ (kingsley )GONCALVES R 123 3.50 9.40  
SCR  KANAAN               (bourke liam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
:233 :474 1:114 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOFFO KID 2 6 54 6 5 1nk 13 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 8.30  
MENTALIST 4 1 3 5 32 2nk 23 (bentley fenneka)ROCCO S 123 2.50 2.20  
SUMMER ANTHEM 5 3 4 4 4 43(brion keri)CARRASCO R 123 1.60 70% 0.40 0.80 S
BOURBON BROWN 7 4 21 2nk 2nk 3.2 4(ferraro m )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 9.30  
THANK YA PETE 1 2 11 1nk 1nk 5514 (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
DON BERNARDO 8 5 77 7 711¼ 6614¾ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 68.50  
ERLAN 6 8 6 3.2 6 711¼ 720½ (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 20.00 34.90  
THE THINKER 3 7 816 816¼ 823¼ 824¼ 838¾ (allen ferris)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
 
CNL-6   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
:242 :492 1:141 1:262   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN TICK TOCK 6 6 5 5 5 3.2 1(kee j)KARAMANOS A 125 10.00 8.30  
BAIL OUT 5 4 3 31 4 1nk 2(de hora)CARRASCO R 123 2.00 2.30  
TAPIT BRIO 1 1 42 4 3 2nk 3(kurtinecz li)SANCHEZ J 123 1.40 46% 1.20 1.10 S
CRAZY ODDS 2 5 65 6 6 54(bentley fenneka)ROCCO S 123 6.00 26% 2.90 3.20  
MINEOLA MIKE 4 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 4¼ 5(deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 125 20.00 18.40  
CELTIC SEA 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 6610¾ (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
SCR  SMALL FIELD               (huffman g)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
 
CNL-7   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:223 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR ONE 4 1 5 5   4¼ 1¾ (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 10.00 15.60  
MOMENTOUS MISS 6 2 2 23   1nk 2¾ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.60 4.20 P
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 2 4 3 34   3.2 3(tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 6% 15.90 3.00 S
LOVING CUP 5 5 4 44   54(mcmahon i)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 36% 1.80 2.70  
BABY LUCK 1 6 67 6   65(ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50 2.70  
TOVIA 7 3 1 13   2nk 6(cazares laura)SANTOS ADEMAR 114 4.00 24% 3.20 5.40  
BEDTIMEBOURBON 3 7 79 7   777 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00 31.00  
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 120 2.50    
 
CNL-8   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
:222 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICHEAUX 1 1 1 12   14 12 (clement roland )JIMENEZ MANNY 117 6.00 6.70  
DOC ROCK 2 4 5 53   322 (mcmahon i)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 2.30  
AWESOME STEPHEN 4 3 33 22   24 33 (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00 7.30  
DANCIN IN DUBAI 6 5 4 32   446 (brown kelton)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 27% 2.80 4.00  
TEMPTING MOMENT 3 2 2 4   55(hester leanne)CASTANON L 115 30.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
GOLDBUSTER 5 6 67 6   624¾ 637¾ (stidham michael)ROCCO S 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30  
SCR  DRUM AND DRUMMER               (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.50    
 
CNL-9   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
:222 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GET THEM DIGITS 12 11 10 6   51(allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 3.10  
DISCREET DEVIL 8 2 2½ 2nk   12(ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 10% 8.70 3.60 P
STARSTREET 2 6 8 9   73(stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 46% 1.20 5.40 S
MUNNIS PRETTY 7 1 44 5   43 4(cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 30.00 19.80  
10  SWIFT DANCER 9 3 32 3   25(williams l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 10% 8.70 6.90  
SMILIN JACK 6 10 76 7   86(preciado gua)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 11% 8.40 7.70  
HIT THE JACKPOT 4 7 9 10   106 7(allen f)GONCALVES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
11  HEAVY WEIGHT 10 5 5 4   386 (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 40.00 28.80  
12  SHAMELESS APPEAL 11 12 1210¼ 12   128 99 (soldo elaine)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 50.00 52.90  
KALINBA 1 8 66 8   116 1011¾ (cascallares nes)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00 7.50  
RIP IT 3 9 11 11   96 1112 (haughton don)ALONSO LUIS 124 50.00 48.80  
GREAT CALL 5 4 1½ 1nk   61224¼ (meyers f)CASTANON L 119 15.00 9.40  
SCR  TAKE AIM               (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 12.00    
 
CNL-10   07/14/2023 11880ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
:563 1:524 2:483 3:163 3:421 4:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIBOLIAN 3 712 7 7 7 31 1¼ (kingsley arc)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154   8% 11.50   W
HIGH DEFF (FR) 4 446 35 31 1½ 2¼ (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
10  NATHAN DETROIT 10 610½ 68 57 6 2½ 3½ (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154   8% 11.50   S
BE YOURSELF 8 915 911 9 9 59 4(morris r)ENGLAND DAVID 154      
STRAW INTO GOLD 5 24 2 2 1½ 41 5(gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) 7 59 5 67 5 610 616 (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
ICANDOTHAT 9 1018 1013 1012¼ 10 917½ 722½ (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148   8% 11.50    
GARRISON FOREST (IRE) 6 813 8 89 8 714 823 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 148      
FINDING FREEDOM 1 14 1 1 2½ 817 931¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154   8% 11.50    
ABSAM 2 33 46 4 1018½ 1044¾ (dowling william)GARNER THOMAS 154   8% 11.50    
SCR  GOOD BOY (FR)               (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
SCR  REASSURED               (beecher mark)WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
 
CNL-11   07/14/2023 11880ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
4:202         4:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD CHARM (IRE) 6 69 65 65 3 11 1(murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 147   13% 6.60   W
LACEY UNDERALL 2 16 12 11 1½ 21 2(brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 140   13% 6.60   P
AFRAID NOT 5 37 22 21 2½ 334 (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 147      
FOX IN THE PARK (IRE) 1 26 33 43 43 44 4(young f)DUNNE ROBERT 153   13% 6.60    
BOURBON DIVERSION 3 48 44 54 610½ 5511 (kingsley arc)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 147      
FUSEE DE POCHE (IRE) 4 58 54 3 5 611½ 621½ (dowling willia)DALTON BERNARD 153      
SCR  LADY'S GAME (GB)               (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 147   13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.