Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-5   WIN (7/10/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $22.40 $14.40 180%
    DD (2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-1 $50.60 $34.60 216%
    PK3 (6/1/4/5/2)-(2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-2/5/13/14-1 $163.40 $83.40 104%
CNL-6   TRI (7/3/8/4/12)-(7/3/8/4/12)-(7/3/8/4/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00  7-4-3 $71.70 $11.70 20%
    DD (7/10/1/4)-(7/3/8/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-7 $36.80 $16.80 84%
    PK3 (2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4)-(7/3/8/4/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00  2/5/13/14-1-1/2/6/7/10/14 $123.70 $43.70 55%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OHANA HONOR 2 6 51¾ 41¼   11½ 14¼ (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 119 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 W
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  SHERIFF RONNIE 5 4 3.2 1nk   21½ 24¼ (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 3.70  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
7  MORE THAN FIVE 6 5 62 52¼   42½ 36 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.50 5.20  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIVE STAR MOMMA by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  EL CERRITO 3 3 2nk 2nk   32 46¾ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00 12.30  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  FAR FROM HOME 1 1 1nk 3.2   517½ 535½ (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  XCELLENT MEN 4 2 4¼ 62¾   619½ 638 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CATCHING STARS               (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 119 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEMONDROPONTHEROX by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CNL-2   08/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ERLAN 4 5 64½ 65 52 11½ 13¼ (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 6.00  
2  SMALL FIELD 2 4 53 54 31½ 33 23¼ (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 123 3.00 36% 1.80 4.10 P
3  MINE RUN 3 3 21 22 21 21½ 36¾ (russell britta)ROCCO S 118 0.80 37% 1.70 1.10 S
1  CESAR 1 6 42½ 43½ 42 45 410¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00 5% 18.90 10.30  
6  DAGDA 6 2 11 12 11 55½ 520¼ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 18.40  
5  FEUILLETON 5 1 32 33 63½ 613½ 632½ (chain pe)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 2.70  
SCR  VILLAGE PREACHER               (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
 
CNL-3   08/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:14 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MANABI 6 3 2½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 11½ (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 3.50 28% 2.60 3.70 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOLCE LEMONE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  HANALEI BAY 3 9 63¾ 63¾ 42½ 22½ 21½ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00 7.10  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BONNE RAFAELA (BRZ) by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  BLUE CREEK 7 10 1010¼ 912 75¾ 56½ 34½ (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00 17.20  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of GRANDMA FRAN by STREET BOSS)
2  COBBLESTONE BRIDGE 2 6 32 42¼ 52½ 34 45 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
  (by IRONICUS out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  PIRATE RADIO 8 2 42 32 31 46 57 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 4.20  
  (by ENTICED out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
10  MASTEROFHISCRAFT 10 8 98¾ 78¾ 86¼ 78 69 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 19.20  
  (by MASTERY out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
1  KISTLER 1 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 67½ 710½ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.20  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ALWAYS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  IMMORTAL LION 5 4 53½ 53¾ 62¾ 88½ 812¼ (casse mark)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of IMMORTAL LIFE by IFFRAAJ)
4  SAINT HELIER 4 5 88¾ 1012½ 1020¼ 923½ 927 (beckman whit)ROCCO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LOST STARS by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
9  IRON STREETS 9 7 76¾ 89 918¼ 1027½ 1037¼ (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 70.90  
  (by IRONICUS out of STREETS OFRICHMOND by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  HAWKS CREEK               (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of COLD DESERT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
CNL-4   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHICKAHOMINY 2 9 95¾ 84½   41½ 14¼ (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 124 2.50 39% 1.60 1.20 W
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TOCCOA by PURPLE COMET)
11  ABSTRACT MOMENT 10 4 31 21   21 24¼ (payne be)SANCHEZ J 124 4.00 ★ 4.90 P
  (by TONALIST out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
9  CALL ME PENNY 8 2 11 11   11 34¾ (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00 67.30  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
7  LA BEFANA 6 6 43 42½   51¾ 45¾ (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00 19.80  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of EL VEDADO by BIG BROWN)
10  RUN AROUND SLEW 9 5 63¾ 52¾   63¼ 56½ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 24.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  BLUE HOUR 5 1 21 31   31 67¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.70  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of AYSHEA by MR. GREELEY)
8  PRACTICAL MISS 7 7 53½ 62¾   76¼ 712 (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISSYOULIKECRAZY by LION HEART)
12  OUR BREW 11 11 85¼ 96½   87¼ 812¾ (rawlings a)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 56.40  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
3  IMAGINE RITA 3 10 118¾ 109½   99¼ 917¾ (russo j)ACOSTA D 119 30.00 72.70  
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  CLARIFICATION 4 3 107¼ 119½   1011¼ 1018¾ (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 30.00 40.70  
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
1  BEE MOUNTAIN 1 8 73¾ 73   1113¼ 1129¾ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 30.00 21.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN by NAJRAN)
SCR  LENAMAGNETTA               (testerman valora)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of THE SLIPPER FITS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  NINETEENAMENDMENT               (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAGGER BAGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT               (englehar)GALLARDO A 119 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
 
CNL-5   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:232 :49 1:124 1:373   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAINUDOTHETWIST 1 7 107 106 41½ 21 1¾ (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20 W
6  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM 6 2 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 2¾ (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 3.80  
7  KOBE'S SMILE 7 8 96½ 95¾ 94¼ 54½ 34 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 60% 0.70 4.30 S
5  PARTY DREAM 5 9 54 52¾ 52 43½ 46¾ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 3.70  
8  SWIGERT 8 3 31 32 2½ 33 57 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 124 30.00 32.70  
4  REBEL CONSORT 4 1 43½ 42½ 62½ 66½ 611¼ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
3  IN OPEN COURT 3 5 64 85¼ 106¾ 88 711¼ (kendall elise)CASTANON L 118 20.00 71.50  
2  APRIL FIRST 2 6 75½ 74¼ 83¼ 76½ 812½ (payne beale)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 6.00  
9  AMOR SALVAJE 9 10 86 64¼ 73 98½ 913½ (ochoa ge)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★ 3.80  
10  PALACSINTA 10 4 2½ 2nk 31½ 1012½ 1024 (russell britta)ROCCO S 118 6.00 17% 4.80 8.40  
 
CNL-6   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DETERMINED JESTER 4 1 1nk 1nk   13 12 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 35% 1.80 1.90 W
4  NEXT EPISODE 2 2 64¼ 75¾   54½ 22 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00 8% 12.20 9.10 P
3  LOST MY SOCK 1 8 85½ 65¼   74¾ 32¾ (ryan s)CASTANON L 122 5.00 26% 2.80 3.30 S
5  CIRCLE HOME 3 9 95½ 86   64¾ 42¾ (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 4.70  
12  ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO 8 5 52¾ 43¼   44½ 53¾ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
13  DETERMINED CHARM 9 4 2nk 2nk   23 64 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 3.70  
11  MELIPONINI BEE 7 7 74½ 96   85 74¼ (cooney su)CARRASCO R 122 30.00 65.90  
8  CAROLINA SUN 5 6 42¾ 53¼   34 84¾ (farrior anthon)ROCCO S 122 6.00 9% 9.80 14.20  
9  BABA 6 3 3.2 33   95 95½ (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 30.00 21.90  
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE               (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 30.00    
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA               (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.50    
SCR  CLOUDS OF WHITE               (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
SCR  MOMENTOUS MISS               (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
SCR  MY BOSS LADY               (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:102 1:34   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDEER 1 6 44 33½ 33½ 23½ 11¾ (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 2.20 DH
2  KING VEGA (GB) 2 1 12½ 12 12 13½ 11¾ (motion graha)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.00 54% 0.90 2.50 W
5  SY DOG 4 5 55 55½ 55½ 35 31¾ (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.50 18% 4.50 3.60 S
7  HENLEY'S JOY 6 3 78¼ 77¼ 67 55½ 42½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 30.00 19.20  
8  HARLAN ESTATE 7 4 34 43½ 43½ 610½ 57¾ (beckman whit)ROCCO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
4  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) 3 7 68 67 77½ 710¾ 68 (kenneally edd)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
6  PASSION PLAY 5 2 22½ 22 22 45½ 78½ (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 24.40  
SCR  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE               (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
 
CNL-8   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:241 :503 1:144 1:391   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COPAZO 4 5 32½ 3½ 2nk 1½ 11 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 23.90  
2  PRINCE OF PORTLAND 2 6 53½ 72¾ 51¼ 3½ 21 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.10 P
3  FINGAL 3 7 63¾ 52½ 62¾ 2½ 31¾ (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 70% 0.40 0.60 S
9  ASSERT DOMINANCE 8 3 22 2½ 31 41 43½ (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 34.00  
1  NICKY BEAR 1 10 85¼ 104½ 83 53 54 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 6.10  
11  HOMETOWN HERO 10 8 73¾ 42 41¼ 64½ 67¼ (morgan c)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 ★ 5.10  
7  KNOCKHOLT 7 1 95½ 83¾ 93½ 84¾ 78½ (morris nei)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
10  IT'S ME AGAIN 9 4 12 1½ 1nk 74¾ 89½ (santillana fr)MARTIN MATTIE 116 30.00 94.50  
5  AUCHINCRUIVE 5 2 42½ 62¾ 73 96¾ 912 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 6.40  
6  TRANSFER THE FUNDS 6 9 106½ 94¼ 108½ 109¾ 1015¾ (buckley rick)ACOSTA D 119 30.00 83.50  
SCR  BOFFO KID               (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 125 5.00    
SCR  GARMENTO               (russo anthony )CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-9   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKED AND FAMOUS 1 8 41¾ 42   2nk 1¾ (de ho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 14% 5.90 2.10 W
3  FOLE'S NOTION 3 10 96 86¾   42½ 2¾ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 121 8.00 5.60  
10  CAPITAL CONQUEST 10 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 31½ (lake scott)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 4.90  
5  LAMARVELOUS 5 6 73½ 75¼   53 45¼ (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
9  MY MAMBA 9 7 85 96¾   75½ 56½ (lawrence james)ROCCO S 118 30.00 22.90  
8  BOMBOLONI 8 3 63¼ 63¾   64½ 66¾ (capuano phillip)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 20% 4.10 7.50  
2  SPRITZER 2 4 2nk 2nk   32 77½ (hester leanne)CASTANON L 121 30.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
6  AKINGISALWAYSKING 6 9 1010 1010¾   99½ 88¾ (murtaugh an)ESQUILIN J 121 30.00 96.70  
4  TAPIO (IRE) 4 5 53¼ 53½   86½ 99½ (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 7.40  
7  COVERT KAT 7 2 31½ 31   109¾ 1016½ (trombett)GALLARDO A 123 1.80 41% 1.40 5.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.