Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/2/1)-(6/1/2/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/1/2/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/1/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/1/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4/5)-(6/1/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4/5)-(6/1/2/4/5)-(6/1/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/6/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/12)-(2/6/11/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/12)-(2/6/11/8/12)-(2/6/11/8/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/12)-(7/10/1/4)-(7/3/8/4/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (7/10/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/4)-(7/10/9/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/1/4)-(7/10/9/1/4)-(7/10/9/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/1/4)-(7/3/8/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/1/4)-(7/3/8/4/12)-(2/5/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/3/8/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4/12)-(7/3/8/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4/12)-(7/3/8/4/12)-(7/3/8/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/4/12)-(2/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/4/12)-(2/5/4/8)-(3/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/8)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/8)-(3/2/7)-(7/8/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/11/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/11/7)-(3/2/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(7/8/1/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-9   WIN (7/8/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5/2)-(7/8/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5/2)-(7/8/1/5/2)-(7/8/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATCHING STARS Jul21 Jun03 May18 May05 Mar24 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 119 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEMONDROPONTHEROX by LEMON DROP KID)
2  FAR FROM HOME Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 May06 Apr16 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  OHANA HONOR Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 Nov06 Sep18 (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  EL CERRITO Jun14 May23 Sep14 Aug21 Jun30 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  XCELLENT MEN         (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
6  SHERIFF RONNIE Jul07 Jun16 May20 May14 Apr06 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
7  MORE THAN FIVE Mar26 Feb25 Feb02 Dec26 Dec03 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIVE STAR MOMMA by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
CNL-2   08/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CESAR Jul05 May30 Apr30 Apr01 Mar19 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00 5% 18.90    
2  SMALL FIELD Apr22 Sep07 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  MINE RUN Mar19 Feb05 Jan15     (russell britta)ROCCO S 118 0.80 37% 1.70    
4  ERLAN Jul14 Jun30 Jun18 May06 Apr12 (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
5  FEUILLETON Jun23 Jun07 Apr30     (chain pe)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
6  DAGDA Jul07 Jun22 May26 Aug22 Jul20 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00    
SCR  VILLAGE PREACHER Jul20 Jun30 May20 Apr29 Apr12 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
 
CNL-3   08/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISTLER         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ALWAYS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  COBBLESTONE BRIDGE         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HANALEI BAY         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BONNE RAFAELA (BRZ) by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  SAINT HELIER         (beckman whit)ROCCO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LOST STARS by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
5  IMMORTAL LION         (casse mark)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of IMMORTAL LIFE by IFFRAAJ)
6  MANABI         (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOLCE LEMONE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  BLUE CREEK         (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of GRANDMA FRAN by STREET BOSS)
8  PIRATE RADIO Jul15         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
  (by ENTICED out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
9  IRON STREETS         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of STREETS OFRICHMOND by STREET CRY (IRE))
10  MASTEROFHISCRAFT         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
SCR  HAWKS CREEK         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of COLD DESERT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
CNL-4   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEE MOUNTAIN Jul06 May19 Mar10 Nov19 Oct01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 30.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN by NAJRAN)
2  CHICKAHOMINY Jul15         (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TOCCOA by PURPLE COMET)
3  IMAGINE RITA Jul05 Jun10 Mar07 Feb20 Jan13 (russo j)ACOSTA D 119 30.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  CLARIFICATION Jul14 Jun09 May04 Apr15 Feb17 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 30.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR  LENAMAGNETTA Jun04         (testerman valora)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of THE SLIPPER FITS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  BLUE HOUR Jul06         (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of AYSHEA by MR. GREELEY)
7  LA BEFANA Jun18 Apr22       (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of EL VEDADO by BIG BROWN)
8  PRACTICAL MISS Jul21         (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISSYOULIKECRAZY by LION HEART)
9  CALL ME PENNY Oct28 Sep05 Aug02 Jun14 Feb06 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
10  RUN AROUND SLEW May12 Apr01 Mar10     (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 30.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)
11  ABSTRACT MOMENT Jul08 Jun17 Dec15 Oct21 Sep14 (payne be)SANCHEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
  (by TONALIST out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
12  OUR BREW         (rawlings amand)CEDENO CAROL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT Jun26 Jun05 May08 Apr25 Sep26 (englehar)GALLARDO A 119 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
SCR  NINETEENAMENDMENT Jul06 May25       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAGGER BAGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CNL-5   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAINUDOTHETWIST Nov06 Oct29 Oct02 Sep07 Aug22 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  APRIL FIRST Jul13 Jun24 May18 Apr22 Dec02 (payne beale)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00    
3  IN OPEN COURT Jul20 Jun29 Jun13     (kendall elise)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
4  REBEL CONSORT Jul08 Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 Dec28 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  PARTY DREAM Jul08 May06 Apr30 Mar04 Jan29 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
6  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM Jul07 May26 Apr15 Feb24 Jan27 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
7  KOBE'S SMILE Jul20 Jun24 May27 May12 Jul20 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
8  SWIGERT May17 Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 124 30.00    
9  AMOR SALVAJE Jul01 May13 Apr23 Mar26 Feb24 (ochoa ge)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★    
10  PALACSINTA Jul15 Jun25 May27 Apr23 Mar04 (russell britta)ROCCO S 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
CNL-6   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jul14 Jun03 May04 Mar31 Mar02 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 30.00    
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA Jul15 Jun18 May19     (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.50    
3  LOST MY SOCK Jul02 Jun04 May20 Apr20 Jun19 (ryan s)CASTANON L 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  NEXT EPISODE Jul01 Jun10 Nov27 Oct24 Oct10 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00 8% 12.20    
5  CIRCLE HOME Jul06 Jun10 Jul04 May27 May01 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00    
SCR  MOMENTOUS MISS Jul14         (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
7  DETERMINED JESTER Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21   (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 35% 1.80    
8  CAROLINA SUN Jul15 Jun25 May27 Apr20 Nov20 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
9  BABA Jun10 May28 Apr06 Feb25 Feb10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 30.00    
SCR  MY BOSS LADY Jul15 Jun17 Feb17 Feb04 Jan20 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
11  MELIPONINI BEE Jun16 Jun09 May12 Oct30 Oct20 (cooney su)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
12  ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Apr28 Mar03       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  DETERMINED CHARM Jul15 Jun13 Dec03 Nov18 Oct20 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  CLOUDS OF WHITE Jul14 May25       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDEER Jun17 Apr20 Jul30 Apr02 Jan29 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50    
2  KING VEGA (GB) Oct23 Sep18 Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 (motion graha)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jul01 Jun11 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
4  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) Jun20 Nov13 Oct02 Aug21 Jul24 (kenneally edd)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SY DOG Jul04 Aug06 Jul09 May07 Apr08 (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  PASSION PLAY Jul15 Nov07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug19 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
7  HENLEY'S JOY May19 Apr07 Mar04 Jan28 Jan04 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 30.00    
8  HARLAN ESTATE Jul01 Jun03 May11 Feb18 Jan28 (beckman whit)ROCCO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKY BEAR Jul08 Jun10 May25 May05 Dec30 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
2  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Jul08 Jun24 Dec18 Nov27 Nov14 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FINGAL Jul20 Jan22 Jan13     (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 70% 0.40    
4  COPAZO Jul20 Jun28 Jun09 Apr30 Mar25 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00    
5  AUCHINCRUIVE Jul13 Jun21 Nov04 Sep19 Aug25 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
6  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Jul08 Jun22 May24 May11 Apr05 (buckley rick)ARAUJO DENIS 119 30.00    
7  KNOCKHOLT         (morris nei)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GARMENTO May28 Apr30 Feb16 Jan05 Oct16 (russo anthony )CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ASSERT DOMINANCE Jul16 Jul07 Jun17 May28 May04 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00    
10  IT'S ME AGAIN Jun30 Jun16 May27 Apr22 Mar24 (santillana fr)MARTIN MATTIE 116 30.00    
11  HOMETOWN HERO Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May30 May20 (morgan c)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  BOFFO KID Jul14 Jun24 Nov24 Oct06 Aug19 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 125 5.00    
 
CNL-9   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKED AND FAMOUS Jul20 May29 May12 Mar11 Feb09 (de ho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
2  SPRITZER Jul20 Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 Dec09 (hester leanne)CASTANON L 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  FOLE'S NOTION Jun20 May31 Apr26 Apr13 Jan16 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
4  TAPIO (IRE) Jul15 Jun11 May20 Mar04 Jun24 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
5  LAMARVELOUS Apr30 Feb20 Jan21 Nov20   (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jul13 Jun02 May20 May06 Nov29 (murtaugh an)ESQUILIN J 121 30.00    
7  COVERT KAT Jul08 Jun09 May19 Feb10 Jan13 (trombett)GALLARDO A 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
8  BOMBOLONI Jun24 May29 May05 Jan26 Jan06 (capuano phillip)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
9  MY MAMBA May29 May05 Oct27 Oct02 Sep06 (lawrence james)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
10  CAPITAL CONQUEST Jul04 Jun22 May24 May03 Apr17 (lake scott)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.