Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (7/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $18.00 $10.00 125%
    EXA (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $31.80 $19.80 165%
CNL-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4-2 $26.00 $20.00 333%
    DD (7/4/5/8)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $28.90 $16.90 141%
CNL-3   PK3 (7/4/5/8)-(4/1/2)-(3/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-1-2 $100.20 $52.20 109%
CNL-6   EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-4 $12.70 $0.70 6%
CNL-7   DD (1/6/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-5 $21.20 $1.20 6%
CNL-8   WIN (6/9/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $16.80 $6.80 68%
    EXA (6/9/2/4/5)-(6/9/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-6 $27.40 $7.40 37%
    DD (10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-5 $53.10 $28.10 112%
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100  5/6/8-5-5 $235.80 $135.80 136%
CNL-9   WIN (6/10/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.00 $5.00 50%
    DD (6/9/2/4/5)-(6/10/4/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-1 $79.70 $54.70 219%
    PK3 (10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5)-(6/10/4/1/8) 125 $1.00 $125  5-5-1 $321.30 $196.30 157%
    PK4 (1/6/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5)-(6/10/4/1/8) 500 $1.00 $500  5/6/8-5-5-1 $1860 $1360 272%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH THIS BIRDIE 4 2 44 4 42 3½ 1½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00 W
  (by ASTERN out of BIRD HARBOR by BOSTON HARBOR)
BLESSING THE FLAG 3 1 3 33 3 1nk 2½ (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.40 P
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
QUEEN'S GARDEN 5 7 67 78 65 4 3 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 12.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUEEN'S PARADE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RUGELACH 6 4 22 2 2½ 2nk 4 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.20 56% 0.80 0.40  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
DETERMINED FIRST 1 3 55 54 5 6 5 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 12.00 9.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DANCEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 2 6 79 66 7 7 6 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00 26.10  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
HOPEFUL CURE 7 5 12 1 1½ 5 79 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MANICURE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  E M'S TREASUREGIRL               (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.50    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of AUNT JUDY'S FIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
CNL-2   07/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINT GAME 1 5 5 5 4 3½ 1 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 13% 6.90 2.50 W
TEMPLET 3 1 21 2 2 2nk 2 (connelly)GALLARDO A 125 1.80 51% 1.00 2.70 P
CITY PLAN 2 2 11 1 1 1nk 3 (zook w)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 12% 7.20 2.20 S
NOBLE CONQUEST 5 3 44 35 33 42 4 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 2.00  
PURPLE SHIRT 4 4 34 4 5 510 522¾ (harigeorgiou kon)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 29.50  
SCR  GUILLAUME               (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN HERO               (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
 
CNL-3   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLS HOUSE 2 6 5 43   21 1 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 1.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
HERECOMESPUDD 7 8 8 88   8 2 (oxendine adam)RIQUELME J 124 30.00 56.30  
ROMANCE IN HABANA 5 2 2 2   31 39 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00 8.10  
AIN'T NONCENTS 6 4 6 32   4 49 (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
LOVE KNOT 3 3 1 1   11 510 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.50 27% 2.70 2.20  
AHSOKA 4 1 42 5   5 610¼ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 10.00 11% 8.30 9.70  
RACE N RETURN 8 5 7 76   7 712¾ (harigeorgiou )KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 19.00  
RED DELICIOUS 1 7 3 6   6 816¾ (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 19.00  
 
CNL-4   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:143 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABLO DADDY 6 2 12 11 11 1½ 1 (zook jef)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 11.50  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SALLY FORTH by PARADE GROUND)
MOR THAN TOUGH 5 3 3 32 3 3 2 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RESILIENT ONE by HARD SPUN)
JEBY 1 6 43 42 52 5 33 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 1.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOGWOOD TRAIL by AWESOME OF COURSE)
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 2 5 22 21 21 2½ 4 (tomlinson mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 7.40  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SPRING BLOOM by AFTER MARKET)
FAR FROM HOME 3 1 53 6 6 6 55 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
AMANI'S TIGER 4 4 64 53 42 4 66 (motion g)SANCHEZ J 118 1.40 62% 0.60 1.50  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CNL-5   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:231 :47 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED SAIL 9 2 3 3   1 1¾ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 34.10  
  (by BERNARDINI out of INVOLUNTARY by CITY ZIP)
CALL THE QUESTION 4 1 44 4   2 2¾ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00 6.70  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
TROUBLED DREAMS 1 6 56 5   43 3 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 48% 1.10 3.00 S
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CARPE CASANOVA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
AFTERNEATH 8 7 66 6   6 4 (lightner mary)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00 16.60  
  (by DIALED IN out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
SHORESY 7 13 1312¼ 1313¾   1213 5 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 20.00 51.60  
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  COTINGA 10 12 10 1012¼   8 6 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 30.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ANTOANETA by SKIPSHOT)
13  CANDY DOLL 12 11 1111¼ 1112¼   1111½ 7 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 8.40  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
12  NURSE CARALYN 11 9 9 910¾   9 810½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 36.50  
  (by DOLPHUS out of MORE THAN GRACIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
14  STREETCORNER 13 3 22 22   3 911¼ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 25% 2.90 2.10  
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
VIOLET BICK 6 5 8 810½   10 1013 (nixon justin)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of TAP ME FREE by TAPIT)
IDA BOSS 3 8 1211¼ 1213¼   1315 1113¾ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GAME GIRL by CONGRATS)
MAKANI 2 10 7 77   7 1215¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 6.00 10.00  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
VARIEGATE 5 4 12 12   5 1320¾ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 20.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALWAAN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  OUTFACTORED               (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OUTRANK by COLONEL JOHN)
 
CNL-6   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:231 :462 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINING 6 2 5 3   1nk 1 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.30 W
LUNA AMARILLA 4 6 2½ 2   2nk 2 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 7% 12.90 3.80 P
MS EXCUSE 5 1 64 4   4¾ 3 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 6.00 3.80  
HIGH DONNA 2 4 42 67   5 4 (escobar alison)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 4.50  
DELIZIOSA 1 3 1½ 1   3.2 511¾ (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 35% 1.80 17.50  
RIVER CITY ROCKER 3 5 31 5   6 617 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 2.50  
SCR  BRITTY               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER               (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
CNL-7   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOL HOPE 5 2 3 2   21 1¾ (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 13% 6.90 2.90 W
10  WALKS LIKE A LADY 10 5 2 32   11 2¾ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.60 P
TAK E LADY 6 3 43 4   43 33 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 28.70  
SUPER RENEE 4 7 6 64   64 4 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 10% 9.10 3.40  
LOVIELEE 9 1 1 1   3 5 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00 38.30  
GLEAMING BRUTALITY 7 9 9 97   77 6 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
BETTER CALL MAMA 1 4 5 5   5 7 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 7.80  
ST. PAT'S DAY 3 6 7 75   88 810¾ (cazares laura)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 6% 14.60 4.40  
LA BRODY 8 8 8 8   10 911 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 40.00 66.70  
SWEET SPIN 2 10 10 10   99 1013 (locklear j)ALONSO LUIS 122 50.00 75.40  
 
CNL-8   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INANNA'S QUEST 4 6 3 32 32 22 1¾ (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 7.40 W
LIGHTRESS 5 1 11 11 11 12 2¾ (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20 P
MALAWNIA 7 3 21 21 21 32 3 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 7.00 4.50  
COLOR CRUSH 2 7 6 5 64 55 4 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
ALEXA'S DREAM 8 4 54 6 5 6 5 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 31% 2.20 3.70  
LUCK IN THE DUSK 6 2 4 4 4 4 6 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00 22.50  
PRETTYKEEN 1 8 9 9 8 7 7 (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 19.50  
DETERMINED GOLD 3 5 7 75 96 8 8 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 4.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
10  MELITZA 9 9 8 8 75 9 97 (pessanha ney)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00 49.90  
SCR  MARIA'S HONOR               (cibelli j)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
 
CNL-9   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 1 9 53 87 54 3 1 (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 118 6.00 7% 12.90 6.50 W
12  SCHMEAR 12 6 42 3 3 2nk 2 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00 8.20  
B G LEE 4 1 7 7 9 7 3 (zook jef)GALLARDO A 117 8.00 11% 7.90 6.60 S
NANGA PARBAT (GB) 6 11 9 99 6 6 42 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20  
FLEETS BAY 7 3 31 4 4 5 53 (boniface kevi)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 40.00 75.20  
10  STORMING CHROME 10 4 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 6 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70 4.00  
THE FIRE WITHIN 8 5 8 66 8 8 7 (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
PERFECT MOON 5 8 11 1111½ 10 10 8 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 29.90  
PRINCE'S REWARD 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 43 9 (oxendine adam)RIQUELME J 124 50.00 48.90  
11  RED OCTOBER 11 7 6 54 75 9 10 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 14.50  
REAL RICK 3 12 1215¾ 1221½ 1223¾ 1231½ 1127¾ (williams gary )MENDEZ KEVIN 124 50.00 58.60  
ICETECA 9 10 10 10 1115¾ 1123½ 1230¼ (hunt james)ALONSO LUIS 118 40.00 61.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.