The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 10.00
    Exacta (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 1 $31.80 $31.80 19.80
    Trifecta (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-6 3 0 $202.70 -24.00
CNL-2   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 5.80
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4-2 3 1 $26.00 $26.00 20.00
    Daily Double (4/5/7/8)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $28.90 $28.90 16.90
CNL-3   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 0 $92.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-7-5 3 0 $854.10 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-2 2 1 $8.90 $8.90 -3.10
    Pick Three (4/5/7/8)-(1/2/4)-(2/3/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 5-1-2 3 1 $100.20 $100.20 52.20
CNL-4   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $25.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5 2 0 $67.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-1 3 0 $175.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/6)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-6 2 0 $28.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(2/3/4/6)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 1-2-6 3 0 $94.00 -36.00
CNL-5   Win (1/3/10/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $70.20 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/10/14)-(1/3/10/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-4 2 0 $297.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/10/14)-(1/3/10/14)-(1/3/10/14) 24 $1.00 $24.00 9-4-1 3 0 $983.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(1/3/10/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-9 2 0 $301.10 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(1/3/10/14) 6-11 2 0 $10.70 0.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4/6)-(3/4/5)-(1/3/10/14) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-6-9 3 0 $485.60 -48.00
CNL-6   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
    Exacta (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-4 2 1 $12.70 $12.70 6.70
    Trifecta (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-4-7 3 0 $38.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/10/14)-(1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-8 2 0 $61.30 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/10/14)-(1/4/8) 9-6 2 0 $21.40 0.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5)-(1/3/10/14)-(1/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 6-9-5/6/8 3 0 $552.40 -36.00
CNL-7   Win (3/4/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -2.20
    Exacta (3/4/5/7/10)-(3/4/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-10 2 1 $11.70 $11.70 -8.30
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7/10)-(3/4/5/7/10)-(3/4/5/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-10-6 3 0 $96.70 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/4/8)-(3/4/5/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 8-5 2 1 $21.20 $21.20 6.20
    Pick Three (1/3/10/14)-(1/4/8)-(3/4/5/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 9-5/6/8-5 3 0 $259.40 -60.00
CNL-8   Win (2/4/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 6.80
    Exacta (2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-6 2 1 $27.40 $27.40 7.40
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-6-8 3 0 $183.90 -60.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 5-5 2 1 $53.10 $53.10 28.10
    Pick Three (1/4/8)-(3/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/6/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 5/6/8-5-5 3 1 $117.90 $117.90 42.90
CNL-9   Win (1/4/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 5.00
    Exacta (1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-12 2 0 $91.60 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-12-4 3 0 $968.90 -60.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6/9)-(1/4/6/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 5-1 2 1 $79.70 $79.70 54.70
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/6/9)-(1/4/6/8/10) 125 $1.00 $125.00 5-5-1 3 1 $321.30 $321.30 196.30

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
:241 :483 1:124 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH THIS BIRDIE 4 2 44 4 42 3½ 1½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00 W
BLESSING THE FLAG 3 1 3 33 3 1nk 2½ (correas ignacio)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.40 P
QUEEN'S GARDEN 5 7 67 78 65 43(mcgaughey claude)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 12.00  
RUGELACH 6 4 22 2 2½ 2nk 4(motion graham)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.20 56% 0.80 0.40  
DETERMINED FIRST 1 3 55 54 5 65(schoenthal )CARRASCO R 118 12.00 9.40  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 2 6 79 66 7 76(arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00 26.10  
HOPEFUL CURE 7 5 12 1 1½ 579 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
SCR  E M'S TREASUREGIRL               (bennett gerald)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.50    
 
CNL-2   07/13/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINT GAME 1 5 5 5 4 3½ 1(magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 13% 6.90 2.50 W
TEMPLET 3 1 21 2 2 2nk 2(connelly t)GALLARDO A 125 1.80 51% 1.00 2.70 P
CITY PLAN 2 2 11 1 1 1nk 3(zook w)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 12% 7.20 2.20 S
NOBLE CONQUEST 5 3 44 35 33 42 4(allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 2.00  
PURPLE SHIRT 4 4 34 4 5 510 522¾ (harigeorgiou konst)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 29.50  
SCR  GUILLAUME               (allen ferr)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN HERO               (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
 
CNL-3   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
:23 :461 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLS HOUSE 2 6 5 43   21 1(jones e)HO WESLEY 124 1.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
HERECOMESPUDD 7 8 8 88   82(oxendine adam)RIQUELME J 124 30.00 56.30  
ROMANCE IN HABANA 5 2 2 2   31 39 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00 8.10  
AIN'T NONCENTS 6 4 6 32   449 (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
LOVE KNOT 3 3 1 1   11 510 (stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.50 27% 2.70 2.20  
AHSOKA 4 1 42 5   5610¼ (brion keri)CARRASCO R 118 10.00 11% 8.30 9.70  
RACE N RETURN 8 5 7 76   7712¾ (harigeorgiou ko)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 19.00  
RED DELICIOUS 1 7 3 6   6816¾ (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 19.00  
 
CNL-4   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:25 :501 1:143 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABLO DADDY 6 2 12 11 11 1½ 1(zook jeff )GALLARDO A 124 6.00 11.50  
MOR THAN TOUGH 5 3 3 32 3 32(danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
JEBY 1 6 43 42 52 533 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 1.50  
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 2 5 22 21 21 2½ 4(tomlinson micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 7.40  
FAR FROM HOME 3 1 53 6 6 655 (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
AMANI'S TIGER 4 4 64 53 42 466 (motion gra)SANCHEZ J 118 1.40 62% 0.60 1.50  
 
CNL-5   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:39
:231 :47 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED SAIL 9 2 3 3   11¾ (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 34.10  
CALL THE QUESTION 4 1 44 4   22¾ (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00 6.70  
TROUBLED DREAMS 1 6 56 5   43 3(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 48% 1.10 3.00 S
AFTERNEATH 8 7 66 6   64(lightner mary)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00 16.60  
SHORESY 7 13 1312¼ 1313¾   1213 5(schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 20.00 51.60  
10  COTINGA 10 12 10 1012¼   86(nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 30.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
13  CANDY DOLL 12 11 1111¼ 1112¼   1111½ 7(trombetta m)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 8.40  
12  NURSE CARALYN 11 9 9 910¾   9810½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 36.50  
14  STREETCORNER 13 3 22 22   3911¼ (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 25% 2.90 2.10  
VIOLET BICK 6 5 8 810½   101013 (nixon justin)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12.50  
IDA BOSS 3 8 1211¼ 1213¼   1315 1113¾ (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
MAKANI 2 10 7 77   71215¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 6.00 10.00  
VARIEGATE 5 4 12 12   51320¾ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 20.40  
SCR  OUTFACTORED               (godsey kare)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
:231 :462 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINING 6 2 5 3   1nk 1(mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.30 W
LUNA AMARILLA 4 6 2½ 2   2nk 2(marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 7% 12.90 3.80 P
MS EXCUSE 5 1 64 4   4¾ 3(cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 6.00 3.80  
HIGH DONNA 2 4 42 67   54(escobar alison)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 4.50  
DELIZIOSA 1 3 1½ 1   3.2 511¾ (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 35% 1.80 17.50  
RIVER CITY ROCKER 3 5 31 5   6617 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 2.50  
SCR  BRITTY               (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER               (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
CNL-7   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:23 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOL HOPE 5 2 3 2   21 1¾ (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 13% 6.90 2.90 W
10  WALKS LIKE A LADY 10 5 2 32   11 2¾ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.60 P
TAK E LADY 6 3 43 4   43 33 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 28.70  
SUPER RENEE 4 7 6 64   64 4(stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 10% 9.10 3.40  
LOVIELEE 9 1 1 1   35(munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00 38.30  
GLEAMING BRUTALITY 7 9 9 97   77 6(klesaris steve)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
BETTER CALL MAMA 1 4 5 5   57(maldonado jonathan)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 7.80  
ST. PAT'S DAY 3 6 7 75   88 810¾ (cazares laura)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 6% 14.60 4.40  
LA BRODY 8 8 8 8   10911 (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 40.00 66.70  
SWEET SPIN 2 10 10 10   99 1013 (locklear jam)ALONSO LUIS 122 50.00 75.40  
 
CNL-8   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
:24 :482 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INANNA'S QUEST 4 6 3 32 32 22 1¾ (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 7.40 W
LIGHTRESS 5 1 11 11 11 12 2¾ (delacour arn)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20 P
MALAWNIA 7 3 21 21 21 32 3(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 7.00 4.50  
COLOR CRUSH 2 7 6 5 64 55 4(allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
ALEXA'S DREAM 8 4 54 6 5 65(bennett gerald)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 31% 2.20 3.70  
LUCK IN THE DUSK 6 2 4 4 4 46(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00 22.50  
PRETTYKEEN 1 8 9 9 8 77(cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 19.50  
DETERMINED GOLD 3 5 7 75 96 88(schoenthal )CARRASCO R 123 4.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
10  MELITZA 9 9 8 8 75 997 (pessanha ney)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00 49.90  
SCR  MARIA'S HONOR               (cibelli jan)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
 
CNL-9   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
:24 :481 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 1 9 53 87 54 31(boniface kevin )KARAMANOS A 118 6.00 7% 12.90 6.50 W
12  SCHMEAR 12 6 42 3 3 2nk 2(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 8.20  
B G LEE 4 1 7 7 9 73(zook jeff )GALLARDO A 117 8.00 11% 7.90 6.60 S
NANGA PARBAT (GB) 6 11 9 99 6 642 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20  
FLEETS BAY 7 3 31 4 4 553 (boniface kevin )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 40.00 75.20  
10  STORMING CHROME 10 4 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 6(mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70 4.00  
THE FIRE WITHIN 8 5 8 66 8 87(deiter lynn)AVILES YAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
PERFECT MOON 5 8 11 1111½ 10 108(cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 29.90  
PRINCE'S REWARD 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 43 9(oxendine adam)RIQUELME J 124 50.00 48.90  
11  RED OCTOBER 11 7 6 54 75 910(escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 14.50  
REAL RICK 3 12 1215¾ 1221½ 1223¾ 1231½ 1127¾ (williams l)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 50.00 58.60  
ICETECA 9 10 10 10 1115¾ 1123½ 1230¼ (hunt d)ALONSO LUIS 118 40.00 61.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.