Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (7/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/8)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/8)-(4/1/2)-(3/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(4/5/3)-(1/14/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/14/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/14/3/10)-(1/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-5   WIN (1/14/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/14/3/10)-(1/14/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/14/3/10)-(1/14/3/10)-(1/14/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/14/3/10)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/14/3/10)-(1/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-7   WIN (10/5/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/3/7)-(10/5/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/3/7)-(10/5/4/3/7)-(10/5/4/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/4/3/7)-(6/9/2/4/5)-(6/10/4/1/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-8   WIN (6/9/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/4/5)-(6/9/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/4/5)-(6/9/2/4/5)-(6/9/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/4/5)-(6/10/4/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CNL-9   WIN (6/10/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/1/8)-(6/10/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/1/8)-(6/10/4/1/8)-(6/10/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Jun30 May05 Apr19 Mar10 Feb08 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.50    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of AUNT JUDY'S FIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  DETERMINED FIRST         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DANCEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jun22 May26 Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  BLESSING THE FLAG May29 May03 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  WATCH THIS BIRDIE May19 Apr15 Feb18 Dec10 Jul13 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of BIRD HARBOR by BOSTON HARBOR)
6  QUEEN'S GARDEN Sep05 Aug07       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUEEN'S PARADE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  RUGELACH Jun10 May12 Apr15 Mar18   (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.20 56% 0.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  HOPEFUL CURE Jul01 May27 Aug10     (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MANICURE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CNL-2   07/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT GAME Jun02 May12 May05 Nov07 Oct22 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 13% 6.90    
2  CITY PLAN Jun16 Jun04 May21 Oct25 Oct06 (zook w)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  GUILLAUME Jun09 May12 Apr29 Apr01 Feb04 (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50    
4  TEMPLET Jul04 Jun12 May23 May16 Oct25 (connelly)GALLARDO A 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN HERO Jun09 May20 Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
6  PURPLE SHIRT Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 May17 Mar29 (harigeorgiou kon)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
7  NOBLE CONQUEST Jun09 Oct23 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00    
 
CNL-3   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DELICIOUS Jun16 Apr14 Mar17 Jan13 Dec30 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00    
2  GIRLS HOUSE May02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 1.00 23% 3.40    
3  LOVE KNOT Jun18 May27 Apr01     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.50 27% 2.70    
4  AHSOKA Jun23 May27       (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 10.00 11% 8.30    
5  ROMANCE IN HABANA Jun03         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00    
6  AIN'T NONCENTS         (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  HERECOMESPUDD Apr27 Jan14 Nov18     (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
8  RACE N RETURN May19 May10 Apr20 Apr06 Nov16 (harigeorgiou )KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
 
CNL-4   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEBY May28 Apr29 Mar03 Dec10 Aug22 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOGWOOD TRAIL by AWESOME OF COURSE)
2  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Jun24 Mar11       (tomlinson mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SPRING BLOOM by AFTER MARKET)
3  FAR FROM HOME Jun30 Jun02 May06 Apr16 Mar19 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  AMANI'S TIGER Jun09         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 118 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MOR THAN TOUGH Feb25 Jan21 Dec10 Nov05   (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RESILIENT ONE by HARD SPUN)
6  DIABLO DADDY Jun11 May27 Aug22 Aug15 Jul31 (zook jef)GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SALLY FORTH by PARADE GROUND)
 
CNL-5   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED DREAMS Jun03 May01       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CARPE CASANOVA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
2  MAKANI         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
3  IDA BOSS         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GAME GIRL by CONGRATS)
4  CALL THE QUESTION Jun03 May05       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
5  VARIEGATE         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALWAAN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  VIOLET BICK         (nixon j)GONCALVES R 119 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TAP ME FREE by TAPIT)
7  SHORESY         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  AFTERNEATH May12         (lightner mary)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
9  DETERMINED SAIL         (schoenth)GALLARDO A 119 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of INVOLUNTARY by CITY ZIP)
10  COTINGA         (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ANTOANETA by SKIPSHOT)
SCR  OUTFACTORED         (godsey d)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OUTRANK by COLONEL JOHN)
12  NURSE CARALYN         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by DOLPHUS out of MORE THAN GRACIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
13  CANDY DOLL         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
14  STREETCORNER         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
 
CNL-6   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIZIOSA Feb05 Jan14       (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 35% 1.80    
2  HIGH DONNA Jun16 May21 May05 Apr21 Feb26 (escobar alison)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
3  RIVER CITY ROCKER Mar17 Aug15       (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00    
4  LUNA AMARILLA Jun30 Mar12 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  BRITTY Apr30 Jan11 Oct01 Sep11   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER May03 Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
7  MS EXCUSE Jun04 May05 Apr12 Mar12 Feb11 (cascallar)HERRERA R 118 6.00    
8  MOONSHINING Jun30 Jun18 May13 Apr30 Apr01 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
CNL-7   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER CALL MAMA Jun25 Jun04 May24 Nov20 Oct23 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
2  SWEET SPIN Jun15 May04 Mar30 Feb09 Jul06 (locklear j)ALONSO LUIS 122 50.00    
3  ST. PAT'S DAY Jun17 May20 Apr07 Feb15 Jan20 (cazares laura)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 6% 14.60    
4  SUPER RENEE Jun17 May13 Apr08 Feb19 Nov26 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  SOL HOPE Feb10 Jan14 Oct02 Aug29 Aug03 (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
6  TAK E LADY Jun10 May24 Dec30 Nov22 Oct29 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
7  GLEAMING BRUTALITY Jul01 May06 Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LA BRODY Jul01 Jun04 May03 Apr15 Apr07 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 40.00    
9  LOVIELEE Jun09 Apr16 Apr01 Mar03 Feb12 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
10  WALKS LIKE A LADY Jun17 Mar22 Mar02 Feb08 Jan06 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
CNL-8   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTYKEEN Jun11 May25 Apr28 Apr02 Mar03 (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
2  COLOR CRUSH May27 May06 Nov19 Sep18 Aug29 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARIA'S HONOR Jun03 Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 (cibelli j)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
4  DETERMINED GOLD Jun13 May24 Apr28 Sep30 Sep07 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  INANNA'S QUEST Jul07 Jun14 May27 Mar25 Feb25 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIGHTRESS May27 Feb10 Jan04     (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  LUCK IN THE DUSK Apr28 Nov19 Oct29 Sep09 Aug23 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00    
8  MALAWNIA May12 Jan12 Dec03 Sep17 Aug13 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 7.00    
9  ALEXA'S DREAM May28 Mar26 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
10  MELITZA Jun07 Sep27 Sep09 Aug01 Jul13 (pessanha ney)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00    
 
CNL-9   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr30   (boniface kevin)ROSADO JOHAN 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
2  PRINCE'S REWARD Jun09 Apr22 Jan20 Sep29 Aug31 (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 50.00    
3  REAL RICK Jun09 Sep08 Aug31 Aug15   (williams g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 50.00    
4  B G LEE Jun21 Jun04 Jan05 Dec07 Nov13 (zook w)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  PERFECT MOON Jun30 Jun03 May20 May06 Apr15 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00    
6  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Jul07 Jun16 May25 Mar25 Feb25 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  FLEETS BAY Jun24 May27       (boniface kevi)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 40.00    
8  THE FIRE WITHIN Jun21 Jun01 Jun11     (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  ICETECA Jun25 May19 Feb26 Feb17 Jan27 (hunt james)ALONSO LUIS 118 40.00    
10  STORMING CHROME Jun16 Apr29 Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
11  RED OCTOBER May20 Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 Feb17 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
12  SCHMEAR Jun16 May29 May14 Oct23   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.