Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-4 $11.50 $7.50 188%
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00  5-4-6 $11.40 $9.40 470%
TAM-3   DD (5/6)-(9/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $8.70 $2.70 45%
TAM-4   DD (9/1/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $12.90 $0.90 8%
    PK3 (5/6)-(9/1/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-4 $16.25 $4.25 35%
TAM-8   TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-6-5 $33.85 $24.85 276%
    SFT (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-6-5-1 $16.32 $14.52 807%
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALL FOOLS DAY 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.50 34% 2.00 1.40 W
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 1.80 29% 2.50 1.00 P
3  ASSERT DOMINANCE 2 3 31 32   32½ 32 (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 123 4.00 8% 11.10 2.00 S
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH               (ramirez lui)FERRER C 123 5.00    
SCR  MAGICAL JAIME               (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.50    
SCR  THEJIGISUP               (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 116 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:09     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 4 2 1½ 1nk   11 12¼ (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.60 50% 1.00 1.70 W
4  MY MAN VITO 3 4 2½ 2nk   21 22¼ (rigattieri john)MENA E 120 4.00 ★ 4.50 P
6  MACHISMO 5 1 3½ 31½   31½ 32¼ (poole jeffrey )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.30 S
2  MORGAN POINT 2 5 53 53½   55 48½ (vinson john )BATISTA A 118 3.00 2.20  
1  HAPPY CAJUN 1 3 41 42½   44½ 58¾ (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 19.50  
SCR  HAMMER LANE               (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:382   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL ADVENTURE 1 6 32 3½ 11 12½ 13 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.00 W
5  DELTA RIDGE 4 4 54½ 52½ 41½ 34 23 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00 3.30  
2  GUNMAN 2 1 21½ 2½ 51¾ 22½ 33 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 8% 11.20 13.70 S
7  EDEN PARADISE 6 2 42 42 31 46 410¾ (james gerald)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 ★ 3.60  
8  FAST N STEADY 7 3 11½ 1½ 21 56½ 512 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 25.00  
3  FOOD BANK HELPER 3 5 76¼ 65 67¾ 615½ 626½ (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 ★ 9.50  
6  FROSTY WARRIOR 5 7 66 75¼ 77¾ 716 727 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 15.00 14.70  
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC               (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  FORMAL TREASURE               (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COZYS PALACE 2 4 1nk 21   2½ 14¼ (puckett d)RODRIGUEZ A 125 6.00 27% 2.70 2.60 W
5  VIMISOFA 3 1 31½ 32   33½ 24¼ (barboza victo)SOSA LAUREANO 111 5.00 1.90  
2  SONGTELLER 1 5 43½ 42½   44 36¼ (baker r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 10.00 7% 12.60 9.70 S
7  RAIN OF BLESSING 5 3 55 52½   55 49 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 125 4.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
6  J J MONET 4 2 2nk 11   1½ 510 (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 6.00 7.80  
SCR  LIBERTALIA               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E               (ramirez lu)MENA E 125 12.00    
SCR  SHOW ME LOVE               (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:391   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALL OUR MUNNY 6 1 62½ 62¼ 4¾ 3.2 1nk (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 2.10  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY BELSARA by BOUNDARY)
2  UNEXPECTED (JPN) 1 6 52 41½ 3½ 1nk 2nk (antonucci je)ARROYO S 126 20.00 7.20  
  (by SMART FALCON out of SHIRAYUKI by KUROFUNE)
5  JAWBREAK 4 5 31½ 31½ 61¾ 52¾ 31¼ (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00 62% 0.60 2.40 S
  (by TAPIT out of FLASHY AMERICAN by FLASHY BULL)
6  SCARAB 5 4 41½ 51¾ 2nk 2nk 41½ (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 4.50 ★ 4.50  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHESAKITTY by TAPIT)
3  FAST FIXER 2 3 11 11 1nk 42¼ 517 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 28.60  
  (by BUCCHERO out of MONSLEWN by SLEW CITY SLEW)
4  MINTENON 3 2 21 21 51¼ 64¾ 618 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 126 1.40 11% 8.00 2.80  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
SCR  DIAMONDHARD STONE               (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00 ★    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of WHITE DIAMOND GIRL by PIONEERING)
 
TAM-6   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHEM MAJOR 2 6 31 2½   3.2 12¼ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.00 1.20  
3  HOLLYWOOD HONEY 3 3 2½ 31   2nk 22¼ (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 40% 1.50 5.20 P
4  BELLA ROMANCE 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 33½ (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 123 4.00 23% 3.40 2.50 S
6  I SAID HEY 6 1 51½ 41½   43¼ 47½ (house gary)ALLEN M 123 12.00 11% 8.40 10.00  
5  DEESSE 5 4 41 54   57¼ 516 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 116 30.00 24.00  
1  FINAL EPISODE 1 5 61¾ 66   611¼ 626½ (minguet ramo)ARROYO S 118 4.50 4.00  
 
TAM-7   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:391   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HELLO SUCKER 3 1 2½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 6.00 6% 15.70 2.80 DQ↓2
5  THE BEARRISH ONE 4 5 31 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.00 12% 7.40 2.50 W
10  UNXPECTED TIGER 9 2 77 87¾ 710¼ 512½ 316¼ (ochoa gerard)MENA E 120 15.00 7.80  
9  BIALYSTOCK 8 3 53 55 58¼ 411½ 417½ (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 2.00 3.90  
8  MIRO 7 9 98 77¾ 610¼ 613 518½ (laurato micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 67.30  
3  SAGA (NZ) 2 7 41½ 43 35 310 618½ (woodard h)FERRER C 120 10.00 13.60  
7  RED OCTOBER 6 4 87½ 99¾ 913½ 814 719¼ (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00 24.20  
2  BARONS BLITZ 1 8 1½ 3½ 48 713½ 827½ (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 20.00 39.40  
6  EL BUFFALO 5 6 63 65¼ 813¼ 920 940½ (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90  
SCR  CAPE COD SUMMER               (santilla)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FIRST SQUAD               (klesa)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 5% 17.40    
SCR  PERFECT MOON               (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)               (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00    
SCR  SEAX               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLENTITUDE 2 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 11½ (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 39% 1.60 1.00 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
6  HARD TO PLEASE 6 2 45½ 42½   2nk 21½ (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 ★ 2.90 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of PACIFY by NORTHERN BABY)
5  LONGING FOR MINTS 5 1 33½ 3½   32 38¾ (baker r)CENTENO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.70 S
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of ALOHA STREET by HERE COMES BEN)
1  BURN THE BREEZE 1 4 1nk 2nk   42½ 412½ (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 2.50 30% 2.40 5.40  
  (by MO TOWN out of UNDER SUSPICION by FRIEND OR FOE)
3  ROMPING 3 6 68¼ 55½   57½ 513 (sweezey kent)FERRER C 118 8.00 4.60  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHASTISE by BLAME)
4  JULIANNA'S RUBY 4 5 58 68   611½ 614 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 125 10.00 9.50  
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
SCR  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT               (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 125 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
 
TAM-9   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:133 1:392   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUN LEA RUN 7 3 55 52½ 41¼ 3.2 14 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 8.00 4.30  
7  BOURBON BROWN 6 2 42½ 42 2nk 1nk 24 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 125 4.50 25% 3.10 4.60 P
6  POSEIDONS MYTH 5 6 76 74½ 63¼ 63¾ 36½ (ubide max)ALICEA JEREMY 118 20.00 5% 18.70 3.60 S
3  JUST PRAISE 2 5 31½ 31 1nk 2nk 47¾ (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00 2.10  
2  MAJOR DEAL 1 7 65½ 63½ 73¾ 53¾ 58¼ (santilla)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 8.00 7.20  
4  DISTORTED TIMES 3 4 11 1½ 3.2 4¾ 69½ (hayford je)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00 21.00  
5  ANVIL 4 1 21 2½ 52¼ 79¾ 719 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.00 5.90  
SCR  BEST CHANCE YET               (negrete javi)ARROYO S 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  COLORS               (lusk r)MENA E 125 12.00 ★    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER               (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.