Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TAM-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
TAM-3   Win (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TAM-4   Win (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TAM-5   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $6.20  
TAM-6   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.40  
TAM-7   Win (11/6/5/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
TAM-8   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TAM-9   Win (1/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL FOOLS DAY 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 2.50 34% 2.00 1.40 W
JUST PLAIN ORNERY 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 1.80 29% 2.50 1.00 P
ASSERT DOMINANCE 2 3 31 32   3 32 (mcgoey monica)GARCIA GEOVANY 123 4.00 8% 11.10 2.00 S
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH               (ramirez luis)FERRER C 123 5.00    
SCR  MAGICAL JAIME               (delgado jos)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.50    
SCR  THEJIGISUP               (torres r)ALICEA JEREMY 116 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:09     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 4 2 1½ 1nk   11 1 (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.60 50% 1.00 1.70 W
MY MAN VITO 3 4 2½ 2nk   21 2 (rigattieri john)MENA E 120 4.00 4.50 P
MACHISMO 5 1 3½ 3   3 3 (poole a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.30 S
MORGAN POINT 2 5 53 5   55 4 (vinson g)BATISTA A 118 3.00 2.20  
HAPPY CAJUN 1 3 41 4   4 5 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 19.50  
SCR  HAMMER LANE               (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:382   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL ADVENTURE 1 6 32 3½ 11 1 13 (manning j)CENTENO E 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.00 W
DELTA RIDGE 4 4 5 5 4 34 23 (hayford jennif)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00 3.30  
GUNMAN 2 1 2 2½ 5 2 33 (manchan bert)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 8% 11.20 13.70 S
EDEN PARADISE 6 2 42 42 31 46 410¾ (james gerald)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 3.60  
FAST N STEADY 7 3 1 1½ 21 5 512 (gonzale)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 25.00  
FOOD BANK HELPER 3 5 7 65 6 615½ 626½ (mcburney pa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 9.50  
FROSTY WARRIOR 5 7 66 7 7 716 727 (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 123 15.00 14.70  
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC               (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  FORMAL TREASURE               (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZYS PALACE 2 4 1nk 21   2½ 1 (puckett dwi)RODRIGUEZ A 125 6.00 27% 2.70 2.60 W
VIMISOFA 3 1 3 32   3 2 (barboza victor )SOSA LAUREANO 111 5.00 1.90  
SONGTELLER 1 5 4 4   44 3 (baker r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 10.00 7% 12.60 9.70 S
RAIN OF BLESSING 5 3 55 5   55 49 (negrete javier)ARROYO S 125 4.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
J J MONET 4 2 2nk 11   1½ 510 (lusk r)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 6.00 7.80  
SCR  LIBERTALIA               (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E               (ramirez luis)MENA E 125 12.00    
SCR  SHOW ME LOVE               (negrete javi)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:391   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL OUR MUNNY 6 1 6 6 4¾ 3.2 1nk (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 6.00 2.10  
UNEXPECTED (JPN) 1 6 52 4 3½ 1nk 2nk (antonucci jena)ARROYO S 126 20.00 7.20  
JAWBREAK 4 5 3 3 6 5 3 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00 62% 0.60 2.40 S
SCARAB 5 4 4 5 2nk 2nk 4 (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 126 4.50 4.50  
FAST FIXER 2 3 11 11 1nk 4 517 (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 28.60  
MINTENON 3 2 21 21 5 6 618 (carrascojr vic)BATISTA A 126 1.40 11% 8.00 2.80  
SCR  DIAMONDHARD STONE               (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
 
TAM-6   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEM MAJOR 2 6 31 2½   3.2 1 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.00 1.20  
HOLLYWOOD HONEY 3 3 2½ 31   2nk 2 (barboza j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 40% 1.50 5.20 P
BELLA ROMANCE 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 3 (mcgoey monica)BATISTA A 123 4.00 23% 3.40 2.50 S
I SAID HEY 6 1 5 4   4 4 (house gary)ALLEN M 123 12.00 11% 8.40 10.00  
DEESSE 5 4 41 54   5 516 (dominguez luis )ALICEA JEREMY 116 30.00 24.00  
FINAL EPISODE 1 5 6 66   611¼ 626½ (minguet ramon)ARROYO S 118 4.50 4.00  
 
TAM-7   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:391   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SUCKER 3 1 2½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (mcgoey monica)BATISTA A 120 6.00 6% 15.70 2.80 DQ↓2
THE BEARRISH ONE 4 5 31 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.00 12% 7.40 2.50 W
10  UNXPECTED TIGER 9 2 77 8 710¼ 512½ 316¼ (ochoa gerard)MENA E 120 15.00 7.80  
BIALYSTOCK 8 3 53 55 5 411½ 417½ (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 2.00 3.90  
MIRO 7 9 98 7 610¼ 613 518½ (laurato michael)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 67.30  
SAGA (NZ) 2 7 4 43 35 310 618½ (woodard h)FERRER C 120 10.00 13.60  
RED OCTOBER 6 4 8 9 913½ 814 719¼ (escobar alison)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00 24.20  
BARONS BLITZ 1 8 1½ 3½ 48 713½ 827½ (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 120 20.00 39.40  
EL BUFFALO 5 6 63 6 813¼ 920 940½ (machado antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90  
SCR  CAPE COD SUMMER               (santillana)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FIRST SQUAD               (klesari)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 5% 17.40    
SCR  PERFECT MOON               (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)               (barrett gran)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00    
SCR  SEAX               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLENTITUDE 2 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 1 (clement christop)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 39% 1.60 1.00 W
HARD TO PLEASE 6 2 4 4   2nk 2 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 2.90 P
LONGING FOR MINTS 5 1 3 3½   32 3 (baker r)CENTENO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.70 S
BURN THE BREEZE 1 4 1nk 2nk   4 412½ (romero rafae)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 2.50 30% 2.40 5.40  
ROMPING 3 6 6 5   5 513 (sweezey kent)FERRER C 118 8.00 4.60  
JULIANNA'S RUBY 4 5 58 68   611½ 614 (cordero antoni)MENESES MARCOS 125 10.00 9.50  
SCR  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT               (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 125 15.00    
 
TAM-9   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:133 1:392   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN LEA RUN 7 3 55 5 4 3.2 14 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 8.00 4.30  
BOURBON BROWN 6 2 4 42 2nk 1nk 24 (ferraro anthon)ALLEN D 125 4.50 25% 3.10 4.60 P
POSEIDONS MYTH 5 6 76 7 6 6 3 (ubide max)ALICEA JEREMY 118 20.00 5% 18.70 3.60 S
JUST PRAISE 2 5 3 31 1nk 2nk 4 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00 2.10  
MAJOR DEAL 1 7 6 6 7 5 5 (santillana)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 8.00 7.20  
DISTORTED TIMES 3 4 11 1½ 3.2 4¾ 6 (hayford jenn)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00 21.00  
ANVIL 4 1 21 2½ 5 7 719 (parra h)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.00 5.90  
SCR  BEST CHANCE YET               (negrete javier)ARROYO S 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  COLORS               (lusk r)MENA E 125 12.00    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER               (marino gary)ALONSO LUIS 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.