Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/6)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/2)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/7/2)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(5/4)-(3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/4/6)-(6/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/5/4)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/1/5)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THEJIGISUP Apr19 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb10 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 116 20.00    
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Mar31 Mar17 May04 Mar13 Jan16 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  ASSERT DOMINANCE Mar31 Mar17 Feb22 Feb11 May21 (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 123 4.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH Jul06 Jun04 May25 Apr23 Feb11 (ramirez lui)FERRER C 123 5.00    
5  ALL FOOLS DAY Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Feb27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  MAGICAL JAIME Apr16 Mar02 Feb01 Oct08 Aug28 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.50    
 
TAM-2   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CAJUN Apr05 Mar26 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
2  MORGAN POINT Feb11 Jan29 Dec10 Oct01 Sep02 (vinson john )BATISTA A 118 3.00    
SCR  HAMMER LANE Mar26 Dec22 Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
4  MY MAN VITO Mar26 Mar15 Jan11 Dec30 Dec10 (rigattie)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 ★    
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Apr05 Mar17 Jul12     (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
6  MACHISMO Apr05 Feb17 Jan15 Nov26 Sep29 (poole jeffrey )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-3   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Apr22 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  GUNMAN Apr19 Mar26 Mar12 Feb19 Feb01 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 8% 11.20    
3  FOOD BANK HELPER Mar22 Mar03 Sep23 Aug15 Jul22 (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  FORMAL TREASURE Apr22 Mar03 May21 Apr29   (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
5  DELTA RIDGE Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Sep15 Aug25 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
6  FROSTY WARRIOR Apr08 Mar05 Feb16 Dec17 Jan22 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 15.00    
7  EDEN PARADISE Mar24 Feb26 Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 (james gerald)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 ★    
8  FAST N STEADY Mar22 Feb26 Feb01 Dec08 May06 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Mar22 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec02 (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOW ME LOVE Apr20 Apr09 Mar05 Jan26 Dec15 (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 6.00    
2  SONGTELLER Mar29 Mar05 Feb25 Jan20 Dec22 (baker r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 10.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  LIBERTALIA Jan08 Dec21 Oct06 Sep26 Sep07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  COZYS PALACE         (puckett d)RODRIGUEZ A 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  VIMISOFA Mar08 Jan20 Nov04     (barboza victo)SOSA LAUREANO 111 5.00    
6  J J MONET May06         (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 6.00    
7  RAIN OF BLESSING Apr12 Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Jan11 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 125 4.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E Jun08 May28 May06 Feb16 Feb03 (ramirez lu)MENA E 125 12.00    
 
TAM-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAMONDHARD STONE Oct17         (cooper thomas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00 ★    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of WHITE DIAMOND GIRL by PIONEERING)
2  UNEXPECTED (JPN) Mar22 Jan05       (antonucci je)ARROYO S 126 20.00    
  (by SMART FALCON out of SHIRAYUKI by KUROFUNE)
3  FAST FIXER Apr12 Apr02 Mar22 Mar11 Feb24 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MONSLEWN by SLEW CITY SLEW)
4  MINTENON Mar19 Feb15 Dec28 Dec02   (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 126 1.40 11% 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
5  JAWBREAK Mar01         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by TAPIT out of FLASHY AMERICAN by FLASHY BULL)
6  SCARAB         (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 4.50 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHESAKITTY by TAPIT)
7  ALL OUR MUNNY Mar11 Jan14 Dec24     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY BELSARA by BOUNDARY)
 
TAM-6   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL EPISODE Apr06 Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 Dec28 (minguet ramo)ARROYO S 118 4.50    
2  CHEM MAJOR Mar24 Feb05       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Dec16 Nov04 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  BELLA ROMANCE Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  DEESSE Apr15 Mar15 Feb25 Mar26 Mar06 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 116 30.00    
6  I SAID HEY Apr12 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan15 (house gary)ALLEN M 123 12.00 11% 8.40    
 
TAM-7   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Apr07 Mar03 Dec02 Oct21   (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00    
2  BARONS BLITZ Apr15         (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 20.00    
3  SAGA (NZ) Apr14         (woodard h)FERRER C 120 10.00    
4  HELLO SUCKER Apr15 Mar31 Mar10 Feb05 Nov27 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 6.00 6% 15.70    
5  THE BEARRISH ONE Apr07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb03 Dec02 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  EL BUFFALO Mar08         (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
7  RED OCTOBER Mar25 Mar08 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00    
8  MIRO Jan27 Jan13 Dec22     (laurato micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00    
9  BIALYSTOCK Apr14 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12   (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 2.00    
10  UNXPECTED TIGER Apr16 Apr08 Mar22 Feb26 Feb05 (ochoa gerard)MENA E 120 15.00    
SCR  CAPE COD SUMMER Apr15         (santilla)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FIRST SQUAD Jan14         (klesa)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 5% 17.40    
SCR  PERFECT MOON Apr15         (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  SEAX Apr21 Apr07 Mar22 Feb09 Jan08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURN THE BREEZE Apr12         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNDER SUSPICION by FRIEND OR FOE)
2  PLENTITUDE         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
3  ROMPING         (sweezey kent)FERRER C 118 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHASTISE by BLAME)
4  JULIANNA'S RUBY Apr19 Mar01 Jan27     (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 125 10.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
5  LONGING FOR MINTS         (baker r)CENTENO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of ALOHA STREET by HERE COMES BEN)
6  HARD TO PLEASE         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PACIFY by NORTHERN BABY)
SCR  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Aug03 (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 125 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
 
TAM-9   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLY MEISTER Apr16 Feb01       (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
2  MAJOR DEAL Apr16 Feb24 Feb05 Jan13 Dec24 (santilla)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 8.00    
3  JUST PRAISE Apr12 Mar22 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00    
4  DISTORTED TIMES Apr12 Mar24 Mar05 Jul28 Jun18 (hayford je)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00    
5  ANVIL Mar03 Jan20 Jan06 Nov26 Oct14 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.00    
6  POSEIDONS MYTH Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 Mar03 Jan18 (ubide max)ALICEA JEREMY 118 20.00 5% 18.70    
7  BOURBON BROWN Mar22 Mar03 Feb01 Nov30 Aug16 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 125 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  COLORS Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb22 Jan22 (lusk r)MENA E 125 12.00 ★    
9  RUN LEA RUN Apr12 Mar26 Feb19 Oct25 Sep08 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 8.00    
SCR  BEST CHANCE YET Nov06 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02   (negrete javi)ARROYO S 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.