Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $13.10 $1.10 9%
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $14.00 $2.00 17%
TAM-3   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $17.70 $5.70 48%
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $34.50 $22.50 188%
    PK3 (7/6/2/3)-(1/7/3)-(4/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-3-1 $77.80 $53.80 224%
TAM-4   WIN (8/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(8/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-5 $47.40 $31.40 196%
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(4/5/1/7)-(8/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-1-5 $128.75 $104.75 436%
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.00 $7.00 88%
    DD (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-4 $16.70 $0.70 4%
TAM-8   DD (5/4/9/6)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-1 $22.90 $6.90 43%
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/9/6)-(1/4/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00  2-4-1 $39.85 $7.85 25%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:102 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERIFIABLE 6 2 11 15 14 14 1 (manning j)BRACHO A 118 1.80 46% 1.20 1.30 W
LARNED GAZE 5 7 7 6 3 24 2 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 30% 2.40 4.30 P
MOONSHINING 7 3 5 5 5 46 35 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 2.50 2.40  
ANIMATED MISS 4 6 4 4 24 3 4 (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 124 10.00 10.90  
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT 1 1 32 25 46 5 512¾ (cook devin)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 10.80  
NO MORE FIRE 2 4 6 7 7 6 612¾ (jones douglas)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
D CITY GIRL 3 5 21 35 6 7 729¾ (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
SCR  APPLE SAUCY               (acker d)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
SCR  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING               (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50    
SCR  MS EXCUSE               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  SHE IS ROYALTY               (suarez wlaim)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00    
SCR  THE MONSTER IRUS               (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00    
 
TAM-2   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY TOM 2 2 2nk 1   1 1 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 13% 6.60 2.50 W
ACTION DREAM 5 3 3.2 2   2 2 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00 5.50  
DUKE SKYWALKER 1 6 5 4   3 310 (gonzalez j)ALONSO LUIS 122 3.00 38% 1.60 3.10 S
ERLAN 6 1 1nk 3   4 412¼ (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 1.60 23% 3.40 1.20  
TEDDY'S HONOR 3 4 6 6   56 516¼ (wasiluk peter)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00 30.50  
ZALFIERRO 4 5 4 5   6 618¾ (lusk r)COA J 122 20.00 15.70  
SCR  J T'S MY BOY               (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
 
TAM-3   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
See original race card.
:214 :45       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRVINIZED 1 6 11 1   1 15 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 18% 4.40 5.60 W
BURN THE BREEZE 4 4 3 34   34 25 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 1.40 19% 4.20 0.80 P
LUNA AMARILLA 3 3 21 2   2 35 (marrero nesto)FUENTES MARIO 124 4.00 6.70  
SAMURAI'SDON'TCRY 8 1 5 4   57 4 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 9.40  
TEA'S DREAM 2 7 65 5   46 59 (wasiluk peter)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 7.70  
REAL MIKEY 7 8 87 7   69 610¼ (lusk r)COA J 119 10.00 12% 7.40 12.00  
LIEUTENANTS SEQUEL 5 5 76 6   79 714¼ (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00 18% 4.40 19.90  
GILDED CHARMROSE 6 2 4 8   816 832¾ (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 124 20.00 26.70  
SCR  BYZANTINE EMPIRE               (burns patrici)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
SCR  SONG OF THE HEART               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 10.00    
 
TAM-4   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:03
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET GLIDE 5 3 53 55 2 2 1 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 4.00 9% 9.70 3.40 W
NORTH CAROLINA 8 5 11 1 1 1 2 (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 1.20 66% 0.50 1.40 P
VILLAGE PREACHER 4 7 6 65 6 35 35 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 13.40  
REMEMBER THE TUNE 2 1 75 8 8 5 4 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 2.50 1.60  
IT'S ME AGAIN 1 6 8 77 7 6 5 (santillana f)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 31.50  
HUSBAND IN LAW 3 2 32 44 5 4 610½ (dye steve)HERRERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 58.30  
FROSTY WARRIOR 7 8 42 32 3 711 717¼ (wasiluk peter )COA J 123 20.00 18.40  
ERUDITE (FR) 6 4 21 2 4 812 821¼ (burns patrici)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 5% 19.00 50.30  
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE               (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 123 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS MYTH               (ubide max)COA J 123 12.00    
SCR  SHIPWRECK               (knoll d)WALES GARY 123 20.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER               (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00    
 
TAM-5   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:101 1:222   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASN'T HAD ENOUGH 3 2 11 1 1 1 1 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.50 1.40  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of SAMANTHA B. by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
BOY O' BOY 5 3 32 2 2 2 2 (deaton willia)SOSA LAUREANO 111 2.50 50% 1.00 1.70 P
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
FAR FROM HOME 2 1 21 33 3 3 3 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 6.00 3.10  
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
BIG SENSE 1 5 44 45 46 4 414 (cascallares nest)BRACHO A 118 4.00 14% 6.10 6.00  
  (by STREET SENSE out of TOUCHING BEAUTY by TAPIT)
MAJESTICKNIGHT CAT 4 4 5 513 514 513½ 522¼ (ramos juan )SOLORZANO JORGE 124 12.00 14% 6.30 20.70  
  (by PURE WHITE GOLD out of CASHMERE KITTEN by TIGER RIDGE)
SCR  LEFT ON BOYLSTON               (hennessy josep)COA J 124 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SRIKINGLYBEAUTIFUL by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TIZ A TALE               (holtzinger ca)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of TOUCH THE TOP by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-6   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S SON 2 8 8 7   41 1 (suarez wlaim)MENESES MARCOS 122 1.60 26% 2.90 1.60 W
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT 6 3 7 54   3½ 2 (drake robert)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50 5.00  
HEFFNER 5 4 3.2 42   2½ 3 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 S
JUPITER BLUES 1 7 2nk 1nk   1½ 4 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 24.40  
JOYFUL HEART 7 2 5 3   7 511½ (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 45% 1.20 2.10  
I'M MONEY 8 1 1nk 2nk   52 612½ (cahill steven)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00 9.60  
NO COMMISSION 4 6 4 6   6 713½ (figueroa cesa)FLORES ADRIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
MANGROVE MAMMA 3 5 6 810¼   811¾ 833½ (cook devin)MBATHA LUCKY 107 30.00 67.30  
SCR  SIR KAHN               (pita daniel)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00    
 
TAM-7   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:213 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MERCY 3 2 6 5   3 1 (preudhomm)HERRERA R 119 3.50 28% 2.60 6.50 W
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
LILY OF WICKLOW 6 5 5 6   75 2 (miller r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00 3.70  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DAYTIME PROMISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
RAGGEDY 7 6 4 31   1½ 3 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 1.80 12% 7.40 1.70 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
JORDI'S DREAM 5 7 7 75   4 4 (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL 4 4 32 42   6 5 (cahill steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 2.50 37% 1.70 3.30  
  (by MO TOWN out of HAIRDO by MILLENNIUM WIND)
CURLING ROSE 1 1 11 1½   2½ 6 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 12.00 22.90  
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ARABIAN ROSE by SAINT ANDDAN)
OPEN SKY 2 3 21 2½   5 7 (burns patric)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 4.40  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of QUEEN OF SCOTS by IMPEACHMENT)
SCR  LONGING FOR MINTS               (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 3.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of ALOHA STREET by HERE COMES BEN)
SCR  TWO LILLIES               (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 119 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SHARP ACT by OUR NEW RECRUIT)
 
TAM-8   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:11 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOES N THE SAND 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 1 1½ (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50 56% 0.80 1.80 W
ROYAL FOX HILLS 2 2 6 65 4 4 2½ (jehaludi )HERRERA R 111 3.00 2.70  
BARONS BLITZ 7 5 3 3 32 3 3 (wasiluk peter )COA J 118 20.00 41.70  
STREET COP OFFICER 4 3 4 4 5 54 47 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80 12% 7.10 2.30  
PERFECT MOON 5 4 21 2nk 2nk 2 5 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE 6 8 7 7 7 7 6 (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 8.00 7% 14.30 10.00  
SAGA (NZ) 3 6 8 88 8 8 712 (woodard walte)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00 12.70  
KADAR INDY 8 7 5 5 6 6 813¾ (gonzalez javi)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00 18.00  
SCR  NOBLE HERO               (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 118 10.00    
SCR  SIR AUSTIN               (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.