Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/3)-(1/7/3)-(4/1/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(4/1/5/7)-(8/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7)-(8/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7)-(8/5/3/6)-(6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/6)-(8/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/6)-(8/5/3/6)-(8/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/6)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/6)-(6/1/5)-(7/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(7/2/5/4)-(5/4/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/9/6)-(1/4/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/6)-(5/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/6)-(5/4/9/6)-(5/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/9/6)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Jun24 Jun10 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 (cook devin)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
NO MORE FIRE Jun04 May05 Apr26 Apr08 Mar10 (jones douglas)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
D CITY GIRL Apr28 Apr06 Mar10     (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  APPLE SAUCY Apr29 Mar16 Feb18 Jan26   (acker d)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
ANIMATED MISS May03 Feb08 Jan22 Dec21 Nov30 (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 124 10.00    
LARNED GAZE         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
VERIFIABLE Jun03 May05 Mar24 Feb12   (manning j)BRACHO A 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
MOONSHINING Jun18 May13 Apr30 Apr01   (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 2.50    
SCR  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Apr21 Mar05 Feb03 Dec30   (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50    
SCR  THE MONSTER IRUS Apr05         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00    
SCR  MS EXCUSE Jun04 May05 Apr12 Mar12 Feb11 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  SHE IS ROYALTY May26 Apr05 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 (suarez wlaim)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00    
 
TAM-2   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE SKYWALKER May26 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 (gonzalez j)ALONSO LUIS 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  J T'S MY BOY May03 Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 Mar03 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
RUNAWAY TOM Jun16 May26 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
TEDDY'S HONOR May03 Apr22 Feb17 Jan28 Jan15 (wasiluk peter)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00    
ZALFIERRO Aug29 Aug22       (lusk r)COA J 122 20.00    
ACTION DREAM Jun11 May26 Apr22 Mar29 Mar08 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00    
ERLAN Jun18 May06 Apr12 Mar19 Mar01 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-3   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRVINIZED         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
TEA'S DREAM May06 Apr26 Apr08 Mar08 Jan08 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 4.50    
LUNA AMARILLA Mar12 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Dec23 (marrero nesto)FUENTES MARIO 124 4.00    
BURN THE BREEZE Jun16 Apr28 Apr12     (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 1.40 19% 4.20    
LIEUTENANTS SEQUEL May03 Apr01       (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00 18% 4.40    
GILDED CHARMROSE Jun03 May20 Mar12 Feb19   (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 124 20.00    
REAL MIKEY         (lusk r)COA J 119 10.00 12% 7.40    
SAMURAI'SDON'TCRY Jun02 May26 May06 Mar22 Mar10 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
SCR  SONG OF THE HEART Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb25 Feb08 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 10.00    
SCR  BYZANTINE EMPIRE May03 Apr15 Apr05 Feb24 Feb17 (burns patrici)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
 
TAM-4   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S ME AGAIN Jun16 May27 Apr22 Mar24 Feb22 (santillana f)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
REMEMBER THE TUNE Apr29 Apr05 Mar04 Feb11   (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 2.50    
HUSBAND IN LAW Jul31 Jul01       (dye steve)HERRERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
VILLAGE PREACHER May20 Apr29 Apr12 Mar19 Feb15 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00    
STREET GLIDE Apr19 Jan29 Jan11 Dec14 Nov30 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 4.00 9% 9.70    
ERUDITE (FR) May03         (burns patrici)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTY WARRIOR Apr28 Apr08 Mar05 Feb16 Dec17 (wasiluk peter )COA J 123 20.00    
NORTH CAROLINA Jun11 Apr22 Feb10 Jan06 Oct19 (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 1.20 66% 0.50    
SCR  SHIPWRECK Jun11 May13 Apr30 Mar03 Feb01 (knoll d)WALES GARY 123 20.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS MYTH May27 Apr28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 (ubide max)COA J 123 12.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER Apr30 Apr23 Apr16 Apr07 Mar24 (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE May06 Apr19 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 123 6.00    
 
TAM-5   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SENSE         (cascallares nest)BRACHO A 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TOUCHING BEAUTY by TAPIT)
FAR FROM HOME Jun02 May06 Apr16 Mar19 Feb04 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  LEFT ON BOYLSTON Oct08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 Apr15 (hennessy josep)COA J 124 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SRIKINGLYBEAUTIFUL by SMART STRIKE)
HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Apr26 Jan29       (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.50    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of SAMANTHA B. by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
MAJESTICKNIGHT CAT         (ramos juan )SOLORZANO JORGE 124 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by PURE WHITE GOLD out of CASHMERE KITTEN by TIGER RIDGE)
BOY O' BOY Jan12 Dec08 Oct08 Sep03   (deaton willia)SOSA LAUREANO 111 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
SCR  TIZ A TALE Apr30 Apr12       (holtzinger ca)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of TOUCH THE TOP by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-6   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUPITER BLUES Jun10 May28 Jan13 Nov26 May28 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
POSEIDON'S SON Jun03 May05 Apr02 Mar18 Dec21 (suarez wlaim)MENESES MARCOS 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
MANGROVE MAMMA Nov11 Oct26 Feb18 Jan30   (cook devin)MBATHA LUCKY 107 30.00    
NO COMMISSION Jun10 Mar12 Dec31 Dec14 Nov23 (figueroa cesa)FLORES ADRIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEFFNER May20 May05 Apr19 Sep30 Sep22 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Feb01 Dec30 (drake robert)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50    
JOYFUL HEART May06 Apr23 Apr05 Jan14 Dec14 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
I'M MONEY Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 Dec16 Oct10 (cahill steven)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00    
SCR  SIR KAHN Jun17 Jun02 May04 Apr08 Mar18 (pita daniel)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00    
 
TAM-7   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLING ROSE         (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 12.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ARABIAN ROSE by SAINT ANDDAN)
OPEN SKY Apr19 Mar25 Mar01 Dec23 Jun30 (burns patric)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of QUEEN OF SCOTS by IMPEACHMENT)
SCR  LONGING FOR MINTS May12 Apr28       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 3.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of ALOHA STREET by HERE COMES BEN)
JUST MERCY Apr29 Jan29       (preudhomm)HERRERA R 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Apr29 Apr01       (cahill steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MO TOWN out of HAIRDO by MILLENNIUM WIND)
JORDI'S DREAM         (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
SCR  TWO LILLIES         (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 119 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SHARP ACT by OUR NEW RECRUIT)
LILY OF WICKLOW Sep16 Jul22 Jul08     (miller r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DAYTIME PROMISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
RAGGEDY May26 Mar04 Jan15     (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 1.80 12% 7.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
 
TAM-8   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOES N THE SAND Feb03 Dec30 Nov25     (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
ROYAL FOX HILLS Jun09 Mar30 Mar11 Dec24 Dec03 (jehaludi moha)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.00    
SAGA (NZ) Apr28 Apr14       (woodard walte)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00    
STREET COP OFFICER Jun03 May06 Apr14 Mar31 Mar10 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80 12% 7.10    
PERFECT MOON Jun03 May20 May06 Apr15   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE May06 Apr22 Apr05 Mar12 Feb26 (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
BARONS BLITZ May06 Apr28 Apr15     (wasiluk peter )COA J 118 20.00    
KADAR INDY Jun09 May03       (gonzalez j)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  SIR AUSTIN         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE HERO         (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.