Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-2   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.60 $9.60 120%
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $28.70 $16.70 139%
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-4-1 $55.80 $31.80 133%
CT-3   DD (1/4/3/7)-(8/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-8 $28.40 $12.40 78%
CT-4   SFT (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-5-4-3 $20.90 $2.90 16%
    PK3 (1/4/3/7)-(8/7)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-8-6 $51.90 $27.90 116%
CT-8   EXA (7/4/3/9)-(7/4/3/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-9 $20.90 $4.90 31%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:22 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DUNCAN IDAHO 6 3 21     12½ 11½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.60 46% 1.20 0.30 W
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  HARLEY SIOUX 2 4 36½     22½ 21½ (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 11% 8.50 10.90 P
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1  ALL ROADS TO DENIS 1 7 713½     69½ 38 (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 116 15.00 27.10  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
7  WINDSOR'S STAR 7 1 47     46½ 49¼ (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 116 12.00 18.60  
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
4  BIG BAD BRASS 4 6 59½     57 510¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 14% 6.20 4.90  
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
5  B. J. MOOSE 5 2 11     33 611½ (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00 9% 10.20 8.00  
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  MYLASHURRAH 3 5 612½     715½ 723¾ (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 15.00 28.70  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WAVERLY COTT by GRAEME HALL)
 
CT-2   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:131     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MUCHACHO MACHO 3 2 2½ 1½   14 12¼ (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 12% 7.30 7.80 W
4  UNCAPTURED KING 4 5 54 49½   24 22¼ (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 13% 6.60 2.80 P
1  ELVIRUS 1 3 33 38½   36 35 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 41% 1.40 0.90 S
2  MI GUSTO ES 2 1 1½ 2½   46 49 (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 26.60  
5  SPRING THE BEAST 5 6 43 513½   511½ 511¾ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 10.80  
7  INDIANA RED 7 4 66 718½   716 614 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 12% 7.50 5.20  
6  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR 6 7 77 616½   613 715 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 30.00 57.80  
8  MONGOLIAN HERO 8 8 88½ 820½   816¼ 818¼ (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 42.80  
 
CT-3   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:22 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DOC ELM 6 2 31½     1nk 13¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
2  ROCKING TO HOME 1 7 47½     44½ 23¼ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 42.40  
6  JEFFERSON SECURITY 4 4 59     55½ 33¼ (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 ★ 12.30 S
9  BEAR'S ESTATE 7 1 21     3½ 45¼ (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00 1.80  
3  SPECTACULO 2 5 69     68½ 56 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 ★ 4.60  
4  TICKLING SPRINGS 3 6 714½     714½ 69 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 15.00 14.70  
7  HE'S ON THE LINE 5 3 11     2nk 715¼ (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 18% 4.50 20.80  
SCR  ELEANORS JACK               (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
SCR  WELL EQUIPPED               (brown ro)BUTTERFLY L 122 4.00    
 
CT-4   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:152 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JAYJAYDEE 5 4 12 11 11½ 15 16 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.50 W
5  VELVET GHOST 4 5 22 21 21½ 25 26 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00 15% 5.50 5.40 P
4  WELLING 3 3 43½ 33 32½ 36½ 36¾ (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.40 19% 4.20 1.00 S
3  LOKOYA ROAD 2 2 54½ 55½ 44 48½ 410¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 ★ 20.30  
8  MASTER THIS 6 6 68 67½ 58 511½ 512 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 15.00 12.40  
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING 1 1 32½ 43½ 611½ 627½ 634½ (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 30.00 29.90  
SCR  FLAT CAT               (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
SCR  HOT N SPICY LOVE               (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
 
CT-5   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAE SAI PRINCESS 3 1 11 11   12 12½ (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 ★ 3.30  
5  MISS WILD 5 3 21 21   22 22½ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 17% 5.00 9.40 P
2  FLOATING BY 2 6 78 45½   34½ 36¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 19% 4.40 1.80 S
7  LIFE IN FLASH 7 8 911 89   67¾ 46¾ (harting chr)BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 8.00 12.70  
6  LIGHTFOOT MISS 6 5 88½ 78½   47½ 57¼ (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 ★ 50.90  
9  STORMI CAT LADY 9 7 1013 1015½   911¼ 611½ (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00 19.60  
10  EMMA AND I 10 10 32 34   57½ 711½ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 41% 1.40 2.40  
8  UPSY DAISY DO 8 9 53 66½   78¾ 811¾ (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00 69.10  
1  SO RED THE ROSE 1 2 65½ 99½   88¾ 911¾ (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 30.00 34.40  
4  SEEDS OF TIME 4 4 43 56   1012¾ 1025¾ (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 16.50  
SCR  STYLISH PAINT               (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:14     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REVEIRS MINUTE 7 5 32 31½   2nk 11¾ (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00 23.00  
4  KATALIMA 4 4 69½ 65   64¾ 21¾ (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 8% 10.80 5.30 P
5  RATIONALMILLENNIAL 5 6 56½ 54   53¼ 32 (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00 13.00  
2  SEEMS TO WHISPER 2 2 43 42½   4¾ 42¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 2.70  
1  RIVER REWARDS RVF 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 54¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20  
10  BAYLIS STREET 8 8 2nk 2nk   3.2 64¼ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 29% 2.50 2.50  
8  COFFEE BEAN 6 7 79¾ 711   79¾ 77¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 17.40  
3  TIZBIT 3 3 815¼ 813   811¾ 88¾ (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 ★ 39.20  
SCR  ARROWWOOD               (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 114 6.00    
SCR  MISS LAUREN               (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50    
 
CT-7   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN WINNIE 1 2 21 21½   21½ 12¾ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 ★ 16.60  
3  TIMETOGETUP 3 1 11 11½   11½ 22¾ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 6.00 16.40  
8  HESSICA 8 5 54½ 54½   34 33¾ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 40% 1.50 3.50 S
7  CHANGE THE WORLD 7 8 42½ 44   55½ 44½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 0.40  
4  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD 4 4 67½ 68½   68½ 55¾ (jackson )BUTTERFLY L 124 15.00 28.60  
2  TIMELY SECRET 2 3 32 33   44 68 (jackson l)CULLUM W 116 15.00 35.10  
6  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY 6 7 711½ 815½   712½ 79½ (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 27.00  
5  BAYS CASTLE 5 6 814½ 715½   812¾ 810½ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 ★ 13.30  
 
CT-8   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:153     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLOUD MOVER 3 3 2½ 1½   15½ 13¼ (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 5% 17.60 1.40 W
9  TAPTAP 8 9 913 811½   57 23¼ (pyke joseph)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
2  LAURA'S GRAND 2 1 31½ 34½   36 34½ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 20.40  
1  LADY GANGSTER 1 2 1½ 2½   25½ 44½ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 ★ 4.00  
7  JUJU ON DA BEAT 6 6 42 45   46 55 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.20 60% 0.70 2.10  
10  BANK CARD 9 8 63½ 510   68½ 68½ (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 15.90  
6  SUNSET QUEEN 5 5 74 710½   712½ 79¾ (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00 42.50  
8  TRACE ESTATE 7 7 87½ 916   915¾ 811¾ (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 20.00 43.10  
5  ONLY ROMANCE 4 4 53½ 610   812¾ 915¼ (jones micha)BOCACHICA ABNEL 108 20.00 37.90  
SCR  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE               (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 124 30.00    
SCR  JUST HAVE FAITH               (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY               (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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